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GEF vs PKG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Greif, Inc. (GEF) vs. Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Greif, Inc. (GEF) and Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) both operate in the industrial packaging sector, with GEF focused on rigid containers and PKG on containerboard and corrugated products.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks experiencing sector-driven volatility tied to raw material costs and demand from manufacturing and e-commerce.
- PKG maintains a larger market capitalization and broader product scale, while GEF offers exposure to specialized industrial solutions with potentially different margin profiles.
- Relative performance in recent weeks has reflected broader economic indicators, including industrial production data and supply chain trends affecting packaging demand.
- Market sentiment for both remains influenced by input cost pressures and customer inventory management strategies common in the packaging industry.
- Head-to-head metrics highlight trade-offs in scale, diversification, and exposure to specific end markets such as chemicals versus consumer goods.
Introduction
Greif, Inc. (GEF) and Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) represent two established players in the packaging industry, making them relevant for comparison among investors and traders seeking exposure to industrial and consumer supply chains. This analysis examines their business models, recent price behavior, and market positioning in the current environment. Portfolio managers, sector-focused investors, and those evaluating relative value within materials may find this comparison useful for understanding differentiation in scale, product focus, and operational drivers. The review emphasizes verifiable developments and observable factors without forward-looking projections.
GEF Overview and Recent Performance
Greif, Inc. (GEF) produces and sells industrial packaging products including steel, fiber, and plastic drums, rigid intermediate bulk containers, and related services worldwide. Its operations span customized polymer solutions, durable metal solutions, sustainable fiber solutions, and integrated offerings. In recent weeks, GEF stock has reflected broader packaging sector dynamics, including fluctuations in raw material prices and industrial demand. Sentiment has been shaped by ongoing customer inventory adjustments and global manufacturing trends, contributing to measured price movements rather than sharp directional shifts.
PKG Overview and Recent Performance
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) manufactures containerboard and corrugated packaging products, serving as one of the larger producers in North America. The company also produces uncoated freesheet paper. Recent market activity for PKG has aligned with industry patterns, influenced by pricing environments, mix improvements, and demand from packaging end markets. Stock behavior in recent weeks has incorporated responses to macroeconomic signals affecting containerboard volumes, resulting in performance consistent with peer movements in the sector.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Greif, Inc. (GEF) emphasizes specialized rigid industrial packaging with exposure to chemicals, agriculture, and food sectors, while Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) focuses on high-volume containerboard and corrugated solutions with broader reach into e-commerce and consumer goods. In terms of scale, PKG holds a larger market position, potentially offering greater operational diversification. Recent momentum for both has tracked packaging industry indicators such as containerboard pricing and industrial output data. Risk factors differ, with GEF facing potential concentration in metal and plastic inputs and PKG navigating larger-scale production efficiencies. Sector exposure overlaps in materials but varies in end-market emphasis, influencing relative sensitivity to economic cycles. Market sentiment remains neutral overall, shaped by shared themes of cost management and demand stability rather than company-specific catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, operational stability, and relative positioning within the packaging sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to Packaging Corporation of America (PKG). This assessment draws from PKG’s larger scale and broader product mix, which may support more consistent performance characteristics in recent market conditions compared to GEF’s more specialized focus. The evaluation remains probabilistic and tied to verifiable data points rather than definitive outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GEF is a Buy and PKG is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GEF’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePKG’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- GEF’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PKG’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GEF’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PKG’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GEF’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PKG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
GEF (@Containers/Packaging) experienced а +7.55% price change this week, while PKG (@Containers/Packaging) price change was +2.43% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Containers/Packaging industry was +7.64%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.54%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.38%.
Reported Earning Dates
GEF is expected to report earnings on Sep 02, 2026.
PKG is expected to report earnings on Jul 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Containers/Packaging (+7.64% weekly)The containers/packing sector includes companies that manufacture containers (like plastic and aluminum food containers, glass bottles, metal cans, cardboard, storage and waste bags, giftwraps etc.) and provide packing services. Food-and-beverage and household products are major markets for this business. Several companies in this industry cater to international markets in addition to serving domestic customers. Consumer spending habits could potentially affect this industry’s performance. Some products, that use oil-based materials as inputs, are likely to see their costs of production get impacted (to some extent) by energy price movements. The ever-expanding e-commerce market has only supercharged the amount/frequency of goods shipped domestically and across borders, thereby creating ample potential opportunities for containers and packaging businesses. Ball Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor Plc and Packaging Corporation of America are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
| GEF | PKG | GEF / PKG | |
| Capitalization | 3.51B | 20.3B | 17% |
| EBITDA | 629M | 1.82B | 35% |
| Gain YTD | 1.865 | 11.318 | 16% |
| P/E Ratio | 28.26 | 27.73 | 102% |
| Revenue | 5.43B | 9.22B | 59% |
| Total Cash | 286M | 544M | 53% |
| Total Debt | 1.21B | 4.37B | 28% |
GEF | PKG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 34 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 19 Undervalued | 33 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 36 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 53 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 28 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 18 | 24 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GEF's Valuation (19) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as PKG (33). This means that GEF’s stock grew similarly to PKG’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's Profit vs Risk Rating (36) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as GEF (64). This means that PKG’s stock grew similarly to GEF’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's SMR Rating (53) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as GEF (76). This means that PKG’s stock grew similarly to GEF’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's Price Growth Rating (28) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as GEF (51). This means that PKG’s stock grew similarly to GEF’s over the last 12 months.
GEF's P/E Growth Rating (18) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as PKG (24). This means that GEF’s stock grew similarly to PKG’s over the last 12 months.
| GEF | PKG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 62% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 60% | 7 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 64% |
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GEF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GEF has been loosely correlated with PKG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GEF jumps, then PKG could also see price increases.
PKG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PKG has been closely correlated with SW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PKG jumps, then SW could also see price increases.