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GEF vs PKG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Greif, Inc. (GEF) vs. Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- GEF and PKG operate in the industrial packaging sector, with GEF offering diversified rigid packaging solutions and PKG focusing primarily on corrugated and containerboard products.
- Both companies have demonstrated resilience in recent market activity amid fluctuating raw material costs and steady demand from manufacturing and consumer goods sectors.
- GEF has shown relatively stronger value metrics in recent analyses compared to PKG, including lower forward price-to-earnings ratios.
- Recent performance for both stocks reflects broader sector trends influenced by economic indicators and supply chain stabilization efforts.
- PKG maintains a larger market capitalization and higher share price, positioning it differently in terms of liquidity and institutional interest.
- Sector exposure for both remains tied to industrial and sustainable packaging trends, with varying degrees of exposure to recycled materials and global trade dynamics.
Introduction
This comparison examines GEF and PKG, two established players in the packaging industry. Investors and traders seeking to understand relative performance within the industrial packaging space may find this analysis relevant, particularly those focused on sector-specific trends, valuation differences, and market positioning. The discussion highlights observable business characteristics and recent stock behavior without projecting future outcomes.
GEF Overview and Recent Performance
Greif, Inc. produces and sells industrial packaging products worldwide, operating segments that include customized polymer solutions, durable metal solutions, sustainable fiber solutions, and integrated solutions. In recent weeks, GEF stock has reflected steady interest amid broader market conditions, with price movements influenced by earnings reports and sector-wide factors such as raw material pricing. Sentiment has been shaped by the company’s diversified product offerings and efforts in container lifecycle management, contributing to measured performance relative to peers.
PKG Overview and Recent Performance
Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells corrugated packaging products, containerboard, and related items primarily for the domestic market. During recent market activity, PKG shares have moved in line with industry dynamics, including demand from e-commerce and manufacturing clients. Performance has been supported by operational efficiency initiatives and exposure to sustainable paper-based packaging, resulting in a profile that balances stability with sensitivity to economic cycles.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
GEF and PKG share exposure to the packaging industry but differ in business models, with GEF emphasizing a broader range of rigid and fiber products while PKG concentrates on corrugated solutions. Growth drivers for GEF include global operations and integrated services, whereas PKG benefits from domestic scale and paper-based sustainability trends. Recent momentum has varied, with valuation metrics such as forward price-to-earnings ratios showing GEF often appearing more attractively priced in comparative assessments. Risk factors include commodity price volatility for both, though PKG’s larger market capitalization may offer different liquidity characteristics. Market sentiment remains tied to industrial demand and economic indicators, presenting trade-offs in diversification versus specialization.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, valuation positioning, and sector stability, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a probabilistic preference toward GEF due to relatively favorable value metrics and diversified exposure in recent analyses. This assessment reflects data-driven patterns rather than certainty, and outcomes may shift with evolving market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GEF is a Hold and PKG is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GEF’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePKG’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- GEF’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PKG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GEF’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PKG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GEF’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- PKG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
GEF (@Containers/Packaging) experienced а +3.01% price change this week, while PKG (@Containers/Packaging) price change was +9.15% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Containers/Packaging industry was +1.59%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.97%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.75%.
Reported Earning Dates
GEF is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
PKG is expected to report earnings on Oct 26, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Containers/Packaging (+1.59% weekly)The containers/packing sector includes companies that manufacture containers (like plastic and aluminum food containers, glass bottles, metal cans, cardboard, storage and waste bags, giftwraps etc.) and provide packing services. Food-and-beverage and household products are major markets for this business. Several companies in this industry cater to international markets in addition to serving domestic customers. Consumer spending habits could potentially affect this industry’s performance. Some products, that use oil-based materials as inputs, are likely to see their costs of production get impacted (to some extent) by energy price movements. The ever-expanding e-commerce market has only supercharged the amount/frequency of goods shipped domestically and across borders, thereby creating ample potential opportunities for containers and packaging businesses. Ball Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor Plc and Packaging Corporation of America are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
| GEF | PKG | GEF / PKG | |
| Capitalization | 4.01B | 22.7B | 18% |
| EBITDA | 629M | 1.82B | 35% |
| Gain YTD | 18.138 | 24.898 | 73% |
| P/E Ratio | 32.49 | 33.04 | 98% |
| Revenue | 5.43B | 9.22B | 59% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 1.21B | 4.37B | 28% |
GEF | PKG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 84 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 23 Undervalued | 35 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 23 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 53 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | 17 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GEF's Valuation (23) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as PKG (35). This means that GEF’s stock grew similarly to PKG’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's Profit vs Risk Rating (23) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as GEF (39). This means that PKG’s stock grew similarly to GEF’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's SMR Rating (53) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as GEF (76). This means that PKG’s stock grew similarly to GEF’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as GEF (43). This means that PKG’s stock grew similarly to GEF’s over the last 12 months.
GEF's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as PKG (17). This means that GEF’s stock grew similarly to PKG’s over the last 12 months.
| GEF | PKG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 60% | 4 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 55% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 62% |
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GEF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GEF has been loosely correlated with PKG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GEF jumps, then PKG could also see price increases.
PKG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PKG has been closely correlated with SW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PKG jumps, then SW could also see price increases.