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CCK vs GEF
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Crown Holdings (CCK) vs. Greif (GEF) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CCK (Crown Holdings) is a global beverage-can and rigid-packaging leader posting strong volume growth and a rising earnings outlook.
- GEF (Greif) is a diversified industrial-packaging company that has refocused its portfolio after large divestitures and is prioritizing margin and balance-sheet strength.
- Crown has outperformed Greif in recent market activity, supported by accelerating beverage-can demand across North America, Europe, and Asia.
- Greif has delivered sharp adjusted earnings growth and deleveraging, but its end markets remain softer and more cyclical.
- Both companies face elevated input-cost inflation tied in part to geopolitical tensions, though their exposure and pricing mechanisms differ.
- Analyst sentiment skews more favorable toward Crown (consensus Buy) than Greif (consensus Hold), reflecting divergent growth visibility.
Introduction
Investors evaluating the packaging sector often weigh high-growth, consumer-facing rigid packaging against diversified industrial packaging tied to manufacturing cycles. This stock comparison examines CCK, Crown Holdings, the world's leading beverage-can producer, against GEF, Greif, a global provider of industrial packaging products and services. The two companies differ meaningfully in business model, end-market exposure, and recent momentum, making the relative performance and market positioning a useful case study for traders and long-term investors seeking to understand where value and growth currently reside within the broader materials and packaging universe.
CCK Overview and Recent Performance
CCK, Crown Holdings, is a leading global supplier of rigid packaging, most notably aluminum beverage cans and ends, along with food cans, aerosol cans, closures, and transit-protective packaging. In recent market activity, the stock has shown resilience, supported by robust global beverage-can volumes that rose roughly 6% year over year in the latest quarter, with double-digit growth in Asia and solid gains in North America and Europe.
Recent quarterly results reflected higher net sales driven by shipment growth and the pass-through of rising material costs, though inflationary pressures—particularly energy, freight, and industrial gases affected by Middle East tensions—weighed on segment income. Management has maintained its full-year adjusted earnings outlook while narrowing the range, and has continued aggressive share repurchases alongside a disciplined balance sheet. This combination of volume momentum, pricing recovery mechanisms, and capital returns has underpinned relatively positive sentiment, with analysts maintaining a consensus Buy rating and an average price target well above the prevailing share price.
GEF Overview and Recent Performance
GEF, Greif, is a global industrial-packaging company producing steel, plastic, and fiber drums, intermediate bulk containers, closures, and paper-based packaging. Following the divestiture of its containerboard and timberlands businesses, Greif has pivoted toward a more focused, higher-margin portfolio while using proceeds to reduce leverage to historically low levels.
In recent quarters, Greif has delivered meaningful adjusted earnings and EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) growth despite a soft industrial demand backdrop, with margin expansion and cost-optimization programs ahead of schedule. However, volumes have remained flat to lower across several segments, particularly in steel and fiber, and management has noted continued headwinds tied to geopolitical disruptions. The company has raised its dividend and expanded buyback authorizations, reinforcing shareholder returns, yet analyst sentiment remains comparatively cautious, with a consensus Hold rating and price targets near current levels. Greif's relative performance reflects a trade-off between improving profitability and a more muted, cyclical growth environment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The core contrast between these two stocks lies in their end-market exposure. CCK is anchored to consumer beverage demand, a relatively stable and structurally growing category that has shown sustained volume expansion. GEF serves industrial, chemical, and agricultural customers, making its revenue more sensitive to manufacturing and trade cycles, which have remained subdued.
On growth drivers, Crown benefits from secular trends in aluminum-can adoption and emerging-market expansion, while Greif leans on cost optimization, portfolio reshaping, and price-cost discipline rather than top-line expansion. In terms of risk, both contend with input-cost inflation and geopolitical disruption, but Crown's contractual cost pass-through mechanisms and higher growth visibility tend to provide more predictable earnings, whereas Greif's smaller scale and cyclical mix introduce greater sensitivity to volume swings. Market sentiment reflects this divergence: Crown carries a consensus Buy rating versus Greif's Hold, and Crown's year-to-date and recent relative performance has outpaced Greif.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors—trend consistency, earnings-growth visibility, pricing power, and relative positioning—Tickeron's AI would likely favor CCK over GEF in the current environment. Crown's sustained beverage-can volume momentum, maintained guidance, robust buyback activity, and more favorable analyst consensus suggest stronger trend alignment and clearer near-term catalysts. Greif's improving margins and low leverage are genuine positives, but its softer and more cyclical end markets, combined with a neutral analyst stance, imply a less consistent upward trajectory. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, reflecting current data rather than a prediction of future prices.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CCK is a Hold and GEF is a Buy.
Momentum Indicator for CCK turns positive, indicating new upward trend
CCK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 54 of the 84 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 64%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CCK just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where CCK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
CCK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CCK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 6 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.
Following a +4.46% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CCK advanced for three days, in 186 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CCK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
CCK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for CCK entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CCK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.409) is normal, around the industry mean (1.311). P/E Ratio (16.627) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.417). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.637) is also within normal values, averaging (1.023). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.956) is also within normal values, averaging (1.259).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CCK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock better than average.
GEF's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GEF turned positive on October 20, 2026. Looking at past instances where GEF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GEF's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 34 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Following a +1.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GEF advanced for three days, in 185 of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
GEF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GEF as a result. In 54 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
GEF moved below its 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GEF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GEF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
The Aroon Indicator for GEF entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GEF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 49 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.552) is normal, around the industry mean (1.267). P/E Ratio (24.970) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.383). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.070) is also within normal values, averaging (1.023). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.868) is also within normal values, averaging (1.259).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
CCK | GEF | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 36 | 60 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 49 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 76 | 36 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 35 | 75 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GEF's Valuation (49) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as CCK (74). This means that GEF’s stock grew similarly to CCK’s over the last 12 months.
GEF's Profit vs Risk Rating (36) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CCK (76). This means that GEF’s stock grew somewhat faster than CCK’s over the last 12 months.
CCK's SMR Rating (35) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GEF (75). This means that CCK’s stock grew somewhat faster than GEF’s over the last 12 months.
GEF's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as CCK (43). This means that GEF’s stock grew similarly to CCK’s over the last 12 months.
CCK's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as GEF (38). This means that CCK’s stock grew similarly to GEF’s over the last 12 months.
| CCK | GEF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 58% | 9 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 2 days ago 59% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CCK’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while GEF’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CCK’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- GEF’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CCK’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GEF’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CCK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- GEF’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CCK (@Containers/Packaging) experienced а +4.61% price change this week, while GEF (@Containers/Packaging) price change was +4.89% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Containers/Packaging industry was +2.42%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.76%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.27%.
Reported Earning Dates
CCK is expected to report earnings on Feb 09, 2027.
GEF is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Containers/Packaging (+2.42% weekly)The containers/packing sector includes companies that manufacture containers (like plastic and aluminum food containers, glass bottles, metal cans, cardboard, storage and waste bags, giftwraps etc.) and provide packing services. Food-and-beverage and household products are major markets for this business. Several companies in this industry cater to international markets in addition to serving domestic customers. Consumer spending habits could potentially affect this industry’s performance. Some products, that use oil-based materials as inputs, are likely to see their costs of production get impacted (to some extent) by energy price movements. The ever-expanding e-commerce market has only supercharged the amount/frequency of goods shipped domestically and across borders, thereby creating ample potential opportunities for containers and packaging businesses. Ball Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor Plc and Packaging Corporation of America are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
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CCK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CCK has been loosely correlated with AMCR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CCK jumps, then AMCR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CCK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCK | 100% | +2.62% | ||
| AMCR - CCK | 61% Loosely correlated | +2.23% | ||
| GEF - CCK | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.50% | ||
| AMBP - CCK | 55% Loosely correlated | +3.05% | ||
| SON - CCK | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.35% | ||
| SW - CCK | 51% Loosely correlated | +2.34% | ||
More | ||||
GEF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GEF has been loosely correlated with PKG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GEF jumps, then PKG could also see price increases.
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