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GEF vs SLGN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Greif (GEF) vs. Silgan Holdings (SLGN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Greif (GEF) and Silgan Holdings (SLGN) both operate in the packaging sector but serve distinct markets: Greif focuses on industrial packaging while Silgan emphasizes consumer goods containers.
- Recent market activity shows Greif benefiting from a 10.7% dividend increase and cost optimization, supporting margin expansion despite softer volumes.
- Silgan Holdings reported Q1 earnings that exceeded expectations and raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance, reflecting resilience in consumer segments.
- Both stocks have experienced downward pressure over recent weeks amid broader market volatility, with Greif trading near the middle of its 52-week range and Silgan Holdings near its lows.
- Greif demonstrates stronger deleveraging progress with a low leverage ratio, while Silgan Holdings highlights consistent dividend payments and guidance upgrades as key positives.
- Relative performance reflects trade-offs between industrial exposure and consumer demand stability in the current environment.
Introduction
Greif (GEF) and Silgan Holdings (SLGN) represent two established players in the packaging industry, offering investors a focused comparison within the materials sector. Both companies produce rigid containers and related products but target different end markets, providing insight into how industrial versus consumer demand influences stock behavior. This analysis appeals to traders and investors seeking to evaluate relative performance, sector positioning, and recent momentum drivers in packaging stocks. The comparison highlights observable contrasts in business models, earnings trends, and market sentiment without favoring one over the other.
GEF Overview and Recent Performance
Greif, Inc. is a global provider of industrial packaging products and services, including steel, plastic, and fibre drums, intermediate bulk containers, and containerboard. The company operates across multiple segments focused on customized polymer solutions, durable metal solutions, sustainable fiber solutions, and integrated services. In recent market activity, Greif announced a 10.7% increase in its quarterly cash dividend to $0.62 per Class A share, underscoring commitment to shareholder returns. Q2 2026 results showed adjusted EBITDA growth of 7.5% year-over-year and adjusted EPS gains exceeding 60%, supported by cost savings programs and pricing actions. These positives occurred alongside softer volumes influenced by external factors such as regional conflicts. Stock behavior reflected mixed sentiment, with shares trading around $63–64 amid a 52-week range of approximately $55.75 to $77.14. Operational improvements, including margin expansion to 14.6% and a historically low leverage ratio of 1.1x, have contributed to financial flexibility.
SLGN Overview and Recent Performance
Silgan Holdings Inc. is a leading supplier of sustainable rigid packaging for consumer goods, producing metal cans, plastic containers, and dispensing systems for food, beverage, personal care, and fragrance products. The company maintains a global manufacturing footprint serving major consumer brands. Recent performance featured Q1 2026 results that beat analyst expectations on both revenue and adjusted EPS, with net sales reaching $1.56 billion. Management raised full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $3.73 to $3.93. These outcomes were driven by contractual pass-through of raw material costs and strength in beauty and fragrance segments. Stock prices have traded near $36–37 in recent weeks, within a 52-week range of roughly $35.68 to $57.04. The company has maintained its long-running quarterly dividend streak, providing a yield around 2.2%. Broader market conditions and consumer sentiment shifts have influenced price behavior, resulting in periods of relative stability compared to industrial peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Greif (GEF) and Silgan Holdings (SLGN) differ in primary end markets, with Greif oriented toward industrial customers in chemicals, agriculture, and construction, while Silgan Holdings targets consumer packaged goods. This distinction creates contrasting growth drivers: Greif benefits from cost controls and pricing in cyclical industrial demand, whereas Silgan Holdings gains from volume stability and contractual pricing in essential consumer categories. Recent momentum shows Greif advancing through dividend hikes and deleveraging, contrasted with Silgan Holdings’ earnings beats and raised guidance. Risk factors include volume sensitivity for Greif amid geopolitical influences and broader consumer spending caution for Silgan Holdings. Sector exposure places both in packaging and containers, yet Greif carries greater industrial cyclicality while Silgan Holdings offers more defensive consumer characteristics. Market sentiment reflects these dynamics, with each stock displaying resilience through operational measures amid overall sector volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as earnings consistency, guidance revisions, and relative stability in recent periods, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic weighting to Silgan Holdings (SLGN). The company’s Q1 beat and upward guidance adjustment provide clearer near-term catalysts compared with Greif’s volume headwinds, even as both demonstrate operational strengths. Trend consistency and positioning favor a cautious preference for the consumer-oriented profile in the prevailing environment, though outcomes remain subject to evolving market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GEF is a Hold and SLGN is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GEF’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSLGN’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- GEF’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SLGN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GEF’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SLGN’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GEF’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SLGN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
GEF (@Containers/Packaging) experienced а +9.31% price change this week, while SLGN (@Containers/Packaging) price change was +6.38% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Containers/Packaging industry was +2.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +14.68%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.16%.
Reported Earning Dates
GEF is expected to report earnings on Sep 02, 2026.
SLGN is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Containers/Packaging (+2.77% weekly)The containers/packing sector includes companies that manufacture containers (like plastic and aluminum food containers, glass bottles, metal cans, cardboard, storage and waste bags, giftwraps etc.) and provide packing services. Food-and-beverage and household products are major markets for this business. Several companies in this industry cater to international markets in addition to serving domestic customers. Consumer spending habits could potentially affect this industry’s performance. Some products, that use oil-based materials as inputs, are likely to see their costs of production get impacted (to some extent) by energy price movements. The ever-expanding e-commerce market has only supercharged the amount/frequency of goods shipped domestically and across borders, thereby creating ample potential opportunities for containers and packaging businesses. Ball Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor Plc and Packaging Corporation of America are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
| GEF | SLGN | GEF / SLGN | |
| Capitalization | 3.56B | 4.4B | 81% |
| EBITDA | 629M | 918M | 69% |
| Gain YTD | 5.035 | 4.819 | 104% |
| P/E Ratio | 28.48 | 15.60 | 183% |
| Revenue | 5.43B | 6.58B | 83% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 435M | - |
| Total Debt | 1.21B | 4.66B | 26% |
GEF | SLGN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 24 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 19 Undervalued | 31 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 92 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 15 | 73 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 48 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GEF's Valuation (19) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as SLGN (31). This means that GEF’s stock grew similarly to SLGN’s over the last 12 months.
GEF's Profit vs Risk Rating (59) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SLGN (92). This means that GEF’s stock grew somewhat faster than SLGN’s over the last 12 months.
SLGN's SMR Rating (64) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as GEF (76). This means that SLGN’s stock grew similarly to GEF’s over the last 12 months.
GEF's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as SLGN (50). This means that GEF’s stock grew similarly to SLGN’s over the last 12 months.
GEF's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SLGN (73). This means that GEF’s stock grew somewhat faster than SLGN’s over the last 12 months.
| GEF | SLGN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 51% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 7 days ago 48% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 18 days ago 55% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 45% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 46% |
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GEF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GEF has been closely correlated with PKG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GEF jumps, then PKG could also see price increases.
SLGN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SLGN has been loosely correlated with GEF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SLGN jumps, then GEF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SLGN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLGN | 100% | +0.50% | ||
| GEF - SLGN | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.29% | ||
| CCK - SLGN | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.23% | ||
| AVY - SLGN | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.46% | ||
| BALL - SLGN | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.81% | ||
| OI - SLGN | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.33% | ||
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