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GFI vs KGC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Gold Fields Limited (GFI) vs. Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both GFI and KGC have delivered strong one-year returns exceeding 100%, driven by elevated gold prices and operational efficiencies.
- GFI trades at a lower trailing P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) of 10.68 compared to KGC's 12.57, suggesting relatively better valuation.
- KGC reported record Q1 free cash flow (FCF) of approximately $840 million, highlighting superior cash generation in recent market activity.
- GFI boasts higher profit margins at 40.76% versus KGC's 35.99%, with recent analyst upgrades boosting sentiment.
- Both stocks exhibit robust quarterly revenue growth—GFI at 71% and KGC at 61% year-over-year—amid favorable gold sector dynamics.
- GFI has a lower beta of 0.82, indicating less volatility than KGC's 1.37.
Introduction
Gold Fields Limited (GFI) and Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) are prominent gold mining companies whose stocks have benefited from sustained gold price strength and operational improvements. This comparison analyzes their business models, recent performance, and market positioning, offering insights for investors tracking the precious metals sector. Traders seeking exposure to gold amid economic uncertainty, inflation concerns, and geopolitical tensions may find value in evaluating relative momentum, valuations, and risk profiles between these two producers. With both delivering triple-digit one-year gains, the focus is on which stock shows stronger trend consistency in the current environment.
GFI Overview and Recent Performance
Gold Fields Limited (GFI), a South Africa-headquartered gold producer, operates mines across Australia, South America, and West Africa. The company has emphasized cost discipline and production growth, contributing to a profit margin of 40.76% and return on equity of 51.93%. In recent market activity, GFI has shown resilience with a one-year return of over 103%, though year-to-date gains lag at 0.81%. Key influences include strong fiscal 2025 results with revenue up 68% year-over-year and significant EPS growth, alongside analyst upgrades from Canaccord to Buy and Morgan Stanley to Equal Weight. Strategic investments in junior explorers like Founders Metals have enhanced growth prospects, supporting positive sentiment despite gold price fluctuations.
KGC Overview and Recent Performance
Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC), based in Canada, focuses on mines in the Americas, West Africa, and other regions, prioritizing low-cost production and capital returns. It reported an operating margin of 55.09% and debt-to-equity ratio of 8.20%. Recent performance features a one-year return of about 109% and year-to-date advance of 3.41%, reflecting robust gold leverage. In recent weeks, Q1 results showcased record free cash flow near $840 million, net earnings doubling year-over-year, and revenue growth of 61%, despite a post-earnings pullback. Shareholder returns via dividends and buybacks, coupled with maintained Buy ratings, have driven sentiment amid high gold realizations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both GFI and KGC operate as pure-play gold producers, but GFI emphasizes South American and Australian assets for diversification, while KGC leverages North and South American operations for lower geopolitical risk. Growth drivers include high quarterly revenue and EPS expansion for both, though GFI edges in margins and KGC in FCF. Recent momentum favors KGC with superior YTD gains and cash returns, versus GFI's valuation appeal via lower P/E and forward multiples. Risk factors differ: GFI's higher debt/equity (37%) contrasts KGC's conservative 8%, but GFI offers lower beta for stability. Market sentiment is bullish across the board, tied to gold's safe-haven status, with trade-offs in volatility versus cash flow strength.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward KGC due to its exceptional free cash flow trajectory, accelerated shareholder distributions, and relative outperformance in recent quarters amid gold strength. Factors like lower debt levels and high operating margins position it favorably for sustained upside, though GFI remains competitive with superior profitability and analyst support. This probabilistic edge reflects trend consistency rather than guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GFI is a Hold and KGC is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GFI’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileKGC’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- GFI’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- KGC’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GFI’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KGC’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GFI’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KGC’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
GFI (@Precious Metals) experienced а -10.23% price change this week, while KGC (@Precious Metals) price change was -9.93% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -0.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +64.48%.
Reported Earning Dates
GFI is expected to report earnings on Aug 21, 2026.
KGC is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-0.28% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| GFI | KGC | GFI / KGC | |
| Capitalization | 39.7B | 34B | 117% |
| EBITDA | 6.34B | 5.15B | 123% |
| Gain YTD | -5.078 | 0.904 | -562% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.22 | 12.08 | 85% |
| Revenue | 8.75B | 7.96B | 110% |
| Total Cash | 1.78B | 2.19B | 81% |
| Total Debt | 3.22B | 738M | 436% |
GFI | KGC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 56 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 4 Undervalued | 20 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 26 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 21 | 27 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 81 | 64 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GFI's Valuation (4) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (20). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (33). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's SMR Rating (21) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (27). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (47). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's P/E Growth Rating (64) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (81). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
| GFI | KGC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | N/A | 6 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 63% |
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| ISTB | 48.13 | -0.11 | -0.23% |
| iShares Core 1-5 Year USD Bond ETF | |||
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| BondBloxx Bloomberg FiveYrTrgDurUSTrsETF | |||
| IJUN | 30.59 | -0.19 | -0.61% |
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| VGI | 7.37 | -0.06 | -0.81% |
| VIRTUS GLOBAL MULTI-SECTOR Income FUND | |||
| RSMC | 27.54 | -0.54 | -1.94% |
| Rockefeller U.S. Small-Mid Cap ETF | |||
GFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GFI has been closely correlated with AU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GFI jumps, then AU could also see price increases.