GLD
Price
$355.78
Change
-$12.79 (-3.47%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
136.06B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
GLDM
Price
$76.83
Change
-$2.73 (-3.43%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
30.63B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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GLD vs GLDM

GLD vs GLDM Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 26, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) vs. SPDR Gold MiniShares (GLDM)

1) Key Takeaways

  • Identical exposure, different wrapper. Both GLD and GLDM are physically backed grantor trusts that track the spot price of gold bullion; neither holds gold-mining equities.
  • Cost is the decisive difference. GLDM charges a 0.10% expense ratio, versus 0.40% for GLD — a gap that compounds over long holding periods.
  • Scale and liquidity favor GLD. With more than $140 billion in assets under management (AUM), GLD is the deepest, most liquid gold vehicle, with an active options market; GLDM is smaller and growing.
  • Accessibility favors GLDM. Its lower share price makes GLDM easier for smaller, dollar-cost-averaging retail positions.
  • Neither fund pays a dividend. Both are structured as grantor trusts holding physical metal, so investors receive no income yield.
  • Risk profile is essentially equal. Because both hold the same underlying asset, their volatility and drawdown patterns closely mirror gold itself.

2) Introduction

Few ETF comparisons are as instructive as this one, because GLD and GLDM are not rival strategies — they are two wrappers around the exact same asset. Both are sponsored within the State Street and World Gold Council ecosystem and hold allocated physical gold bullion in London vaults. The real question for investors is structural efficiency: whether the modestly higher cost of the market-leading, ultra-liquid GLD is justified, or whether the lower-cost GLDM delivers superior long-term value for identical exposure. This comparison examines the structural characteristics, cost profiles, and positioning of each fund in the current macro environment.

3) SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) Overview

GLD is a grantor trust that seeks to reflect the performance of the price of gold bullion, less expenses, benchmarked to the LBMA Gold Price PM (the London Bullion Market Association afternoon gold auction). Launched in November 2004, it is the oldest and largest physically backed gold exchange-traded product in the world, with AUM exceeding $140 billion in recent months.

Its holdings consist of essentially one asset: 100% allocated physical gold in the form of London Good Delivery bars, held with custodians including HSBC and JPMorgan Chase, with a small cash balance to cover expenses. There is no sector diversification, no rebalancing, and no derivatives exposure — the trust's gold is not loaned or leased. The expense ratio is 0.40% annually. Shares trade on NYSE Arca with a 30-day median bid-ask spread of roughly 0.01%, and the fund supports an active listed options market, which makes it the preferred vehicle for institutional hedging and tactical trading.

4) SPDR Gold MiniShares (GLDM) Overview

GLDM is a newer grantor trust launched in June 2018, sponsored within the same World Gold Council and State Street framework as GLD. Its objective is identical: to track the LBMA Gold Price PM, less expenses, by holding allocated physical gold bullion in London vaults, with custodians including JPMorgan Chase and ICBC Standard Bank.

The defining structural difference is cost. GLDM carries an expense ratio of just 0.10% — one-quarter of GLD's fee. Its holdings are likewise 100% gold bullion with a negligible cash buffer. Because each share represents a smaller fraction of an ounce of gold, GLDM trades at a much lower share price, improving accessibility for smaller investors. Assets have grown steadily to roughly $30 billion in recent months, and while average daily volume and bid-ask spreads are slightly less favorable than GLD's, liquidity remains ample for most buy-and-hold investors. Like GLD, it pays no dividend and offers no options market.

5) Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds sit squarely in the precious-metals commodity complex, where gold has served as a hedge against currency debasement, inflation, and geopolitical uncertainty. Over recent years, gold has posted a powerful secular advance, driven by sustained central-bank buying, elevated fiscal deficits, and declining real interest-rate expectations — factors that have kept bullion demand structurally elevated across market cycles.

More recently, the metal has consolidated and pulled back from record highs as near-term positioning cooled and the U.S. dollar firmed. These fluctuations affect GLD and GLDM nearly identically, since both track spot bullion. The primary risks to both are rising real yields, a stronger dollar, and a broader risk-on rotation that reduces demand for safe-haven assets. Neither fund carries the operational, cost-inflation, or company-specific risks associated with gold miners.

6) Performance and Positioning Comparison

Because GLD and GLDM hold the same underlying asset, their relative performance is almost entirely a function of fees. Over longer measurement windows — three to five years — GLDM has edged ahead on both net asset value (NAV) and market-price returns, reflecting its 30-basis-point cost advantage. In recent weeks and months, both have tracked gold's consolidation closely, with only marginal divergence.

Positioning differs by use case rather than by performance driver. GLD remains the instrument of choice for institutions, options traders, and high-frequency participants who value maximum liquidity and tight spreads. GLDM appeals to cost-conscious, long-horizon investors seeking pure sector exposure with minimal fee drag. Volatility and drawdown profiles are effectively interchangeable, as both mirror the metal's price path.

7) AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market using technical patterns, fundamentals, trend strength, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of securities with customizable filters, including industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener is designed to surface trade ideas, trending names, and breakout candidates far more efficiently than manual screening. For investors comparing vehicles such as GLD and GLDM, the AI Screener offers a practical way to monitor relative positioning and momentum. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own screening process.

8) Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on structural efficiency, cost profile, and risk-adjusted positioning, Tickeron's AI would most likely favor GLDM for the majority of long-horizon investors. With a 0.10% expense ratio — a full 30 basis points below GLD — and identical physical-gold exposure, GLDM offers a mathematically superior compounding profile over time, with no meaningful sacrifice in tracking quality or diversification. That said, GLD retains a distinct advantage for traders and institutions requiring maximum liquidity, tight spreads, and an active options market. In probabilistic terms, the AI would weight the low-cost, structurally equivalent option more favorably for buy-and-hold gold exposure, while acknowledging that short-term, liquidity-sensitive participants may still reasonably prefer GLD.

9) Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
GLD vs. GLDM commentary
Nov 01, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GLD is a Hold and GLDM is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GLD with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

GLD in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026

The 10-day moving average for GLD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GLD as a result. In 54 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GLD turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 68%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GLD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

The Aroon Indicator for GLD entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for GLD's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +1.55% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GLD advanced for three days, in 291 of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

GLD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GLDM with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

GLDM sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

GLDM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 22, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 49 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 67%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GLDM as a result. In 55 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

The 10-day moving average for GLDM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GLDM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

The Aroon Indicator for GLDM entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for GLDM's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +1.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GLDM advanced for three days, in 275 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

GLDM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
GLDGLDM
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
62%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
63%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
68%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
67%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
71%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
84%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
66%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
66%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
65%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
64%
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GLDM
Daily Signal:
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