GOAU
Price
$42.94
Change
+$0.85 (+2.02%)
Updated
Nov 6 closing price
Net Assets
181.33M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SGDM
Price
$74.50
Change
+$1.92 (+2.65%)
Updated
Nov 6 closing price
Net Assets
616.52M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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GOAU vs SGDM

GOAU vs SGDM Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Nov 06, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? U.S. Global GO GOLD and Precious Metal Miners ETF (GOAU) vs. Sprott Gold Miners ETF (SGDM)

Key Takeaways

  • Exposure divergence: GOAU is heavily weighted toward gold royalty and streaming companies, while SGDM emphasizes large-cap gold producers such as Agnico Eagle, Barrick Gold, and Newmont.
  • Cost structure: SGDM carries a lower expense ratio (0.50%, or 0.46% net) versus GOAU's 0.60%, giving SGDM a structural cost-efficiency edge over full market cycles.
  • Diversification and liquidity: SGDM holds roughly 49 issuers with meaningfully larger assets under management (AUM), while GOAU holds about 30 positions and a smaller asset base, making SGDM more diversified and liquid.
  • Risk profile: GOAU's royalty-heavy, mid-cap tilt can smooth downside but may lag in sharp gold rallies; SGDM's producer-heavy, large-cap tilt offers higher beta to gold prices.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: SGDM — its lower cost, deeper diversification, stronger liquidity, and large-cap producer exposure give it a structural and momentum advantage over GOAU.

Introduction

GOAU and SGDM both offer investors concentrated access to the gold and precious-metals mining complex, yet they pursue that objective through materially different portfolios. They do not compete head-to-head as identical products; instead, they represent alternative ways to express the same gold-equity theme. GOAU favors royalty and streaming names selected through a fundamental factor screen, while SGDM tracks a rules-based index tilted toward large, liquid Canadian and U.S. gold miners. In an environment where gold prices and mining margins are central to investor decisions, understanding this structural divide is essential to evaluating fund performance and relative positioning.

U.S. Global GO GOLD and Precious Metal Miners ETF (GOAU) Overview

GOAU is a passively managed, rules-based ETF that tracks the U.S. Global GO GOLD and Precious Metal Miners Index. The index uses a fundamental "smart-factor" model to select companies deriving at least 50% of revenue from precious metals through either active mining or passive royalty and streaming arrangements. Holdings are weighted by a combination of market capitalization and fundamental factors, and the fund is non-diversified, meaning it can concentrate risk.

The fund holds roughly 30 positions with an expense ratio of 0.60%. Its top holdings lean heavily toward royalty companies, including FNV (Franco-Nevada), RGLD (Royal Gold), and WPM (Wheaton Precious Metals), which together represent a substantial share of assets. By country, Canada dominates at more than half of the portfolio, followed by the United States, Australia, and South Africa. The fund has a mid-cap tilt and a comparatively smaller asset base, which can affect secondary-market liquidity.

Sprott Gold Miners ETF (SGDM) Overview

SGDM seeks to correspond, before fees and expenses, to the Solactive Gold Miners Custom Factors Total Return Index, which tracks larger gold companies listed on major Canadian and U.S. exchanges. The underlying index applies a custom factor methodology and rebalances quarterly. Like GOAU, SGDM is non-diversified and concentrated in the materials sector, with gold accounting for more than 80% of industry weighting.

SGDM holds roughly 49 issuers, providing broader diversification than GOAU, and reports an expense ratio of 0.50% (0.46% net of fee reimbursements). Its largest positions are producer names such as AEM (Agnico Eagle), Barrick Gold, NEM (Newmont), and WPM (Wheaton Precious Metals), with FNV (Franco-Nevada) and KGC (Kinross Gold) also prominent. The portfolio skews toward large-capitalization companies, is overwhelmingly Canada- and U.S.-domiciled, and benefits from a substantially larger AUM base, which generally supports tighter trading spreads and greater institutional accessibility.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate within the broader gold-mining and precious-metals sector, whose fortunes are driven by real interest rates, U.S. dollar strength, central-bank bullion purchases, and geopolitical risk appetite. Recent market cycles have featured elevated gold prices, supported by sustained central-bank buying and investor demand for defensive assets. Higher bullion prices tend to expand producer profit margins, while royalty and streaming companies benefit more gradually through rising revenue tied to production at their counterparties' mines.

Sector risks remain meaningful. Mining equities carry operational risk, permitting and jurisdictional risk, and sensitivity to input costs such as energy and labor. Currency moves — particularly the Canadian dollar, given both funds' heavy Canadian exposure — can also influence returns reported in U.S. dollars. Investors should weigh these factors alongside gold's macro backdrop when comparing fund performance.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and months, both ETFs have generally tracked the direction of gold prices, but their relative performance has diverged based on portfolio composition. SGDM's producer-heavy, large-cap positioning has historically captured more upside during periods of strong gold momentum, because miners' earnings and free cash flow are highly leveraged to bullion prices. GOAU's royalty-weighted structure can lag in rapid rallies, as royalty companies convert higher gold prices into revenue more gradually.

Conversely, GOAU's royalty exposure has historically offered a degree of downside resilience, since royalty companies avoid many capital-intensive operating risks that producers carry. On a relative positioning basis, SGDM has displayed higher beta to gold, while GOAU has provided a more defensive expression of the same theme. Cost differentials and liquidity also favor SGDM over longer holding periods, given its lower expense ratio and larger asset base.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market using technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs with customizable filters, including industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps surface trade ideas, trending securities, breakout candidates, and market opportunities far more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to apply these signals to your own gold-mining and precious-metals watchlist.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor SGDM over GOAU in the current environment. SGDM combines a lower expense ratio, a larger and more liquid asset base, broader issuer diversification, and a large-cap producer tilt that is well positioned to capture sector momentum when gold prices are elevated. GOAU remains a compelling vehicle for investors seeking royalty-heavy, factor-screened exposure, but its higher cost, smaller footprint, and mid-cap orientation introduce incremental tradeoffs. Probabilistically, SGDM's cost efficiency, trend consistency, and diversification profile support a modest structural advantage as the preferred expression of the gold-mining theme.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
GOAU vs. SGDM commentary
Nov 08, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GOAU is a StrongBuy and SGDM is a Buy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GOAU with price predictions
Nov 06, 2026

GOAU's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for GOAU moved out of oversold territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 28 of the 29 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GOAU as a result. In 72 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOAU just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where GOAU's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Following a +4.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOAU advanced for three days, in 290 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

GOAU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The 10-day moving average for GOAU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The 50-day moving average for GOAU moved below the 200-day moving average on November 06, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOAU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

The Aroon Indicator for GOAU entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SGDM with price predictions
Nov 06, 2026

SGDM's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for SGDM moved out of oversold territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 24 of the 24 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SGDM as a result. In 77 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SGDM just turned positive on November 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where SGDM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 44 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +5.08% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SGDM advanced for three days, in 288 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SGDM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The 10-day moving average for SGDM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SGDM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Aroon Indicator for SGDM entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
GOAUSGDM
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
88%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
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GOAU and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GOAU has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 95% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GOAU jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To GOAU
1D Price
Change %
GOAU100%
+2.01%
WPM - GOAU
95%
Closely correlated
+2.91%
OR - GOAU
91%
Closely correlated
+2.87%
FNV - GOAU
91%
Closely correlated
+1.70%
AU - GOAU
90%
Closely correlated
+5.00%
OGC - GOAU
89%
Closely correlated
+1.86%
More

SGDM and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SGDM has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SGDM jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SGDM
1D Price
Change %
SGDM100%
+2.65%
AEM - SGDM
96%
Closely correlated
+1.33%
WPM - SGDM
95%
Closely correlated
+2.91%
IAG - SGDM
93%
Closely correlated
+7.20%
NEM - SGDM
93%
Closely correlated
+1.00%
OR - SGDM
91%
Closely correlated
+2.87%
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