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GRC vs KMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Gorman-Rupp (GRC) vs. Kennametal (KMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- GRC (Gorman-Rupp) has delivered strong recent momentum, with a notable year-to-date gain driven by record sales, order intake, and margin expansion in its pump and liquid-handling business.
- KMT (Kennametal) has benefited from an unprecedented rise in tungsten prices, lifting revenue and operating margins, but that same dynamic has pressured working capital and free cash flow.
- The two companies operate in different industrial niches: fluid-handling equipment versus materials science and metal-cutting tooling, creating distinct growth and risk profiles.
- GRC's trend appears steadier and supported by a growing order backlog, while KMT's performance is more cyclical and tied to commodity-driven pricing timing.
- Both stocks pay dividends, but their relative performance and market positioning have diverged in recent months, giving momentum-oriented and value-oriented investors different trade-offs.
Introduction
Investors comparing industrial equipment makers often weigh stability against cyclical upside. GRC and KMT offer a useful contrast: one is a specialist pump manufacturer with a long dividend history, the other a global materials-science and tooling company exposed to aerospace, defense, energy, and earthworks. This stock comparison is relevant for traders assessing relative performance and market positioning, as well as longer-term investors evaluating growth drivers, sector exposure, and risk factors. The two names have moved on very different catalysts in recent weeks, making them an instructive pair for understanding how momentum and fundamentals interact across the industrial landscape.
GRC Overview and Recent Performance
The Gorman-Rupp Company, founded in 1933, designs and manufactures pumps and pump systems for water, wastewater, construction, dewatering, industrial, petroleum, agricultural, fire suppression, and HVAC (heating, ventilating, and air conditioning) applications. Its products serve a broad base of end markets, including municipal water and original equipment manufacturers.
Recent market activity has been notably favorable for GRC. The stock has posted a substantial year-to-date gain, supported by record full-year sales, adjusted earnings per share (EPS), and incoming orders. The company's order backlog has expanded, and management has pointed to improved operating leverage, cost discipline, and reduced interest expense following debt refinancing. Recent quarterly results showed EPS above consensus even as revenue came in slightly below estimates, and the company extended its streak of consecutive quarterly dividends. Sentiment has been further supported by margin resilience and a positive growth outlook, although some analysts have shifted toward a more cautious "Hold" stance after the strong price run.
KMT Overview and Recent Performance
Kennametal Inc., founded in 1938 and headquartered in Pittsburgh, delivers materials science, tooling, and wear-resistant solutions across two segments: Metal Cutting and Infrastructure. Its customers span aerospace and defense, earthworks, energy, general engineering, and transportation, and it operates in nearly 100 countries.
KMT has experienced a more volatile stretch. An unprecedented rise in tungsten prices—from roughly $900 to as high as $3,000 per metric ton—has driven a sharp increase in sales and operating margins through favorable pricing timing. The Infrastructure and Metal Cutting segments both reported strong growth, and management raised its fiscal outlook. However, the same commodity dynamic has inflated inventory values and pressured working capital, pushing free operating cash flow into negative territory. The company pursued financing transactions to strengthen liquidity, and several analysts recently issued downgrades or price-target cuts. After a strong one-year run, the stock has cooled in recent months as investors weigh execution risk against commodity-driven earnings strength.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between GRC and KMT lies in their business models and what drives their earnings. GRC is a fluid-handling specialist with a fragmented, acquisition-friendly market and a steadier demand profile tied to water infrastructure and diversified industrial applications. Its growth story emphasizes organic price and volume gains, disciplined cost control, and a growing backlog. KMT, by contrast, is more cyclical and more exposed to raw-material pricing, aerospace and defense build rates, and mining and construction activity.
On momentum, GRC has trended upward with relative consistency, while KMT's gains have been punctuated by sharper pullbacks and a heavier dependence on tungsten pricing timing. Risk factors also differ: GRC carries meaningful debt and goodwill on its balance sheet, while KMT faces working-capital strain, negative free cash flow, and tariff and commodity volatility. Sector exposure further separates them—GRC leans toward municipal and water infrastructure, whereas KMT is anchored in manufacturing, energy, and defense end markets. In short, GRC offers a more stable compounding profile, while KMT offers higher cyclical torque with greater cash-flow uncertainty.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, catalyst visibility, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward GRC in the current environment. Its steadier upward trend, expanding order backlog, and improving profitability provide a more predictable setup than KMT's commodity-driven earnings, which are currently complicated by negative free cash flow and analyst downgrades. That said, KMT's valuation and cyclical leverage could appeal to strategies tuned to mean reversion or commodity momentum. The probabilistic read favors GRC for trend-following and stability-oriented models, while acknowledging that KMT may generate larger swings for higher-risk, catalyst-focused strategies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GRC is a Hold and KMT is a Hold.
GRC in -1.44% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on October 16, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where GRC declined for three days, in 180 of 283 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GRC as a result. In 50 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GRC turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 63%.
GRC moved below its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 46 of 64 cases where GRC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Following a +3.22% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GRC advanced for three days, in 200 of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 144 of 228 cases where GRC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 63%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 37 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GRC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.420) is normal, around the industry mean (4.327). P/E Ratio (31.169) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.298). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.881) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.715) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
KMT sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
KMT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 14, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 52 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for KMT moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 65%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KMT as a result. In 58 of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
KMT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KMT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 41 of 62 cases where KMT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The 10-day moving average for KMT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
Following a +2.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KMT advanced for three days, in 195 of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
KMT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 113 of 179 cases where KMT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 63%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 42 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.514) is normal, around the industry mean (3.160). KMT has a moderately low P/E Ratio (6.929) as compared to the industry average of (22.360). KMT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.050) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.020). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.976) is also within normal values, averaging (2.217).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. KMT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KMT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock worse than average.
GRC | KMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 77 | 88 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 42 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 57 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 17 | 94 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 37 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KMT's Valuation (42) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GRC (78). This means that KMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than GRC’s over the last 12 months.
GRC's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Industrial Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for KMT (100). This means that GRC’s stock grew significantly faster than KMT’s over the last 12 months.
KMT's SMR Rating (40) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as GRC (57). This means that KMT’s stock grew similarly to GRC’s over the last 12 months.
GRC's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as KMT (51). This means that GRC’s stock grew similarly to KMT’s over the last 12 months.
GRC's P/E Growth Rating (17) in the Industrial Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for KMT (94). This means that GRC’s stock grew significantly faster than KMT’s over the last 12 months.
| GRC | KMT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 65% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 69% | 17 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 64% | 1 day ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 63% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GRC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while KMT’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- GRC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- KMT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GRC’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KMT’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GRC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
GRC (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +1.28% price change this week, while KMT (@Tools & Hardware) price change was +0.68% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -7.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -16.92%, and the average quarterly price growth was -22.09%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was -1.93%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.54%.
Reported Earning Dates
GRC is expected to report earnings on Oct 23, 2026.
KMT is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (-7.37% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Tools & Hardware (-1.93% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
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GRC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GRC has been closely correlated with LECO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GRC jumps, then LECO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GRC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRC | 100% | -5.06% | ||
| LECO - GRC | 69% Closely correlated | -2.34% | ||
| KMT - GRC | 68% Closely correlated | -4.89% | ||
| RBC - GRC | 65% Loosely correlated | -5.24% | ||
| NPO - GRC | 65% Loosely correlated | -9.16% | ||
| HLMN - GRC | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.38% | ||
More | ||||
KMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KMT has been closely correlated with HLIO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KMT jumps, then HLIO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KMT | 100% | -4.89% | ||
| HLIO - KMT | 70% Closely correlated | -4.16% | ||
| MIDD - KMT | 69% Closely correlated | +1.51% | ||
| TNC - KMT | 68% Closely correlated | +1.18% | ||
| SXI - KMT | 65% Loosely correlated | -9.90% | ||
| WTS - KMT | 64% Loosely correlated | -1.78% | ||
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
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| PPTY | 32.12 | 0.54 | +1.71% |
| US Diversified Real Estate ETF (PPTY) | |||
| MILN | 44.41 | 0.59 | +1.34% |
| Global X Millennial Consumer ETF (MILN) | |||
| IWMI | 48.43 | 0.03 | +0.06% |
| NEOS Russell 2000 High Income ETF (IWMI) | |||
| QQDN | 22.26 | N/A | N/A |
| ProShares UltraShort Top QQQ | |||
| BOCT | 55.13 | -0.44 | -0.79% |
| Innovator U.S. Equity Buffer ETF - October (BOCT) | |||