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HD vs HVT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? The Home Depot (HD) vs. Haverty Furniture Companies (HVT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HD is a large-cap home improvement leader, while HVT is a regional, small-cap home furnishings retailer — a contrast in both scale and market positioning.
- HD posted low-single-digit comparable sales growth against a "frozen" housing market; HVT delivered its fourth straight quarter of positive comparable sales, up roughly 8%.
- HD leans on professional (Pro) customers and acquisitions such as SRS Distribution, while HVT is driven by design services and an affluent, resilient customer base.
- HD carries a large, debt-heavy balance sheet and a ~3% dividend yield; HVT is debt-free with strong cash reserves and a smaller but active capital-return program.
- Relative performance diverged in recent months: HD shares have underperformed the broader market year to date, while HVT's positive momentum reflects improving fundamentals.
Introduction
Investors weighing exposure to the housing and home-goods economy often face a choice between a dominant, blue-chip retailer and a smaller, more focused specialist. This stock comparison examines HD (The Home Depot, Inc.) and HVT (Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc., operating as Havertys). The two businesses serve adjacent markets but operate at very different scales, with distinct growth drivers and risk profiles. For traders assessing relative performance and market positioning in a period of elevated mortgage rates and cautious consumer spending, the contrast between a national home improvement giant and a regional furniture retailer offers a useful lens on where momentum, stability, and catalysts currently reside.
HD Overview and Recent Performance
The Home Depot is the world's largest home improvement retailer, operating roughly 2,360 stores plus more than 1,300 SRS Distribution locations across North America. In its most recent fiscal quarter, net sales rose 5.7% year over year to about $47.9 billion, while comparable sales increased 1.7% and adjusted earnings advanced to $4.92 per share. Online sales grew double digits, and the Pro (professional contractor) business continued to outperform the do-it-yourself segment, supported by acquisitions including SRS Distribution and Gypsum Management & Supply.
Despite solid execution, sentiment has been constrained by a difficult macro backdrop. Management has repeatedly described a "frozen housing market," with low housing turnover and elevated mortgage rates keeping consumers cautious on larger discretionary projects. Comparable transactions declined while average ticket rose, signaling that growth is driven more by spending per visit than by traffic. The stock has underperformed the S&P 500 in recent months and trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio near 20, below its historical premium. A long dividend growth record and continued share repurchases provide support, but near-term momentum has been muted.
HVT Overview and Recent Performance
Haverty Furniture Companies, founded in 1885, is a full-service home furnishings retailer with 129 showrooms across 17 states in the Southern and Midwestern regions, serving middle- to upper-middle-income customers. In its latest reported quarter, net sales rose 7.7% to about $194.9 million, comparable store sales increased roughly 8%, and diluted earnings per share doubled year over year. This marked a fourth consecutive quarter of positive comparable sales, with average ticket up about 14% and design-related business contributing more than a third of total sales.
HVT's recent momentum reflects a resilient, affluent customer base, an expanding store footprint (with plans to reach 133 locations and enter an 18th state), and effective merchandising. The company ended the quarter with over $100 million in cash and no funded debt, a meaningful contrast to leveraged peers. However, pressures remain: higher fuel and container costs, rising third-party credit expenses, and tariff-related uncertainty continue to weigh on margins and variable costs. Still, management has pointed to improving traffic and broad-based category growth as signs of firming demand.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies differ most sharply in business model and scale. HD is a national big-box operator expanding into professional distribution and digital fulfillment, targeting a total addressable market management pegs near $1.2 trillion. HVT is a regional specialty retailer focused on design-led furniture sales with a much smaller footprint. Consequently, their growth drivers diverge: HD's story rests on Pro share gains, acquisition integration, and a housing recovery, while HVT's relies on store expansion, average-ticket growth, and its design-services business.
Momentum and fundamentals also contrast. HVT has generated accelerating comparable sales and higher gross margins of roughly 61%, supported by a debt-free balance sheet. HD shows steadier but slower growth, a compressed but still premium valuation, and meaningful leverage from acquisitions. Risk factors differ in kind: HD is exposed to housing turnover, interest rates, and acquisition integration, whereas HVT faces tariff volatility, rising credit and fuel costs, and concentration in a single regional footprint. Sector exposure overlaps in consumer discretionary spending but diverges in customer base — HD skews toward homeowners and contractors, HVT toward affluent furniture buyers.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely assign a relative edge to HVT on current momentum, given its streak of positive comparable sales, improving margins, and clean balance sheet. At the same time, HD offers greater trend stability, diversification, and long-term durability that may appeal to more conservative positioning. The verdict is probabilistic rather than definitive: a trend- and catalyst-oriented AI would probably favor HVT's improving relative performance in the near term, while a stability- and positioning-focused model might lean toward HD for its scale and defensive characteristics. Neither ticker presents a one-sided case, and the appropriate weight depends on the specific strategy and timeframe an investor is evaluating.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HD is a StrongBuy and HVT is a StrongBuy.
HD in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026
HD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 25 of 37 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HD as a result. In 47 of 73 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HD just turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where HD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Following a +1.77% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HD advanced for three days, in 195 of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
HD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for HD entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: HD's P/B Ratio (18.861) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.543). P/E Ratio (21.952) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.112). HD's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.446) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.177). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.227) among similar stocks. HD's P/S Ratio (1.781) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.937).
HVT's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HVT turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where HVT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HVT as a result. In 62 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
HVT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for HVT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +1.57% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HVT advanced for three days, in 194 of 288 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 153 of 228 cases where HVT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HVT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
HVT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HVT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.513) is normal, around the industry mean (1.526). P/E Ratio (20.099) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.178). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.768) is also within normal values, averaging (1.177). Dividend Yield (0.046) settles around the average of (0.228) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.581) is also within normal values, averaging (0.937).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HVT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
HD | HVT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 40 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 60 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 83 | 85 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 14 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 24 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HVT's Valuation (60) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as HD (91) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that HVT’s stock grew similarly to HD’s over the last 12 months.
HD's Profit vs Risk Rating (83) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as HVT (85) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to HVT’s over the last 12 months.
HD's SMR Rating (14) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HVT (77) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that HD’s stock grew somewhat faster than HVT’s over the last 12 months.
HVT's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as HD (56) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that HVT’s stock grew similarly to HD’s over the last 12 months.
HVT's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HD (62) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that HVT’s stock grew somewhat faster than HD’s over the last 12 months.
| HD | HVT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 59% | 24 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 2 days ago 67% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while HVT’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- HD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- HVT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HD’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HVT’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- HVT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
HD (@Home Improvement Chains) experienced а +6.32% price change this week, while HVT (@Home Improvement Chains) price change was +3.63% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Home Improvement Chains industry was +3.79%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.40%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.34%.
Reported Earning Dates
HD is expected to report earnings on Nov 17, 2026.
HVT is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Home Improvement Chains (+3.79% weekly)The home improvement chains industry sells home improvement merchandise and do-it-yourself repair and building goods. Customers include individual contractors or construction managers on one hand; on the other hand, there are retail consumers who’d either buy raw materials/items from the store to do a project on their own, or pay extra for installation services. Products sold include fencing supplies, lumber materials, hardware, lighting fixtures, plumbing supplies, home decor items, bathroom remodel items, roofing materials, tools and wallboard to name a few. The Home Depot Inc., Lowe’s Companies, Inc. and Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. are some of the biggest home improvement retailing companies in the U.S. Allowing all types of customers the flexibility to choose or buy products both offline and online and then having the products shipped to the respective sites/homes are some of the potential drivers of a home improvement chain’s popularity. Many big-box home improvement chains are looking to expand their overseas presence. Supply-chain efficiency and distribution management are some of the key ingredients to grow/make profit in this industry.
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HVT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HVT has been loosely correlated with LOW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HVT jumps, then LOW could also see price increases.