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HGTY vs MCY
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HGTY is a StrongBuy and MCY is a Buy.
HGTY's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HGTY turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where HGTY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HGTY as a result. In 62 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +5.49% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HGTY advanced for three days, in 206 of 273 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 122 of 183 cases where HGTY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HGTY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
HGTY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HGTY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HGTY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 53, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.019) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.862). HGTY's P/E Ratio (91.294) is considerably higher than the industry average of (9.348). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.252) is also within normal values, averaging (3.303). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. HGTY's P/S Ratio (3.458) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.594).
MCY's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MCY turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where MCY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MCY as a result. In 52 of 73 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
MCY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MCY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Following a +2.25% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCY advanced for three days, in 226 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
MCY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for MCY entered a downward trend on October 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 53, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 29 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.053) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.862). P/E Ratio (6.212) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.348). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.040) is also within normal values, averaging (3.303). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.890) is also within normal values, averaging (1.594).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MCY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
MCY | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 29 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 23 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 29 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 86 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| HGTY | MCY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | about 1 month ago 66% | 8 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 69% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HGTY’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while MCY’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- HGTY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MCY’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HGTY’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MCY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HGTY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MCY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
HGTY (@Property/Casualty Insurance) experienced а +4.23% price change this week, while MCY (@Property/Casualty Insurance) price change was +2.65% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Property/Casualty Insurance industry was +3.54%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.07%.
Reported Earning Dates
HGTY is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
MCY is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Property/Casualty Insurance (+3.54% weekly)Property and casualty companies insure against accidents of non-physical harm, such as lawsuits, damage to personal assets, car crashes and more. Progressive Corporation, Travelers Companies, Inc. and Allstate Corporation are some of the biggest providers of such products.
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HGTY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HGTY has been loosely correlated with AFG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HGTY jumps, then AFG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HGTY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HGTY | 100% | +0.39% | ||
| AFG - HGTY | 49% Loosely correlated | +0.29% | ||
| AIZ - HGTY | 45% Loosely correlated | +0.24% | ||
| MKL - HGTY | 45% Loosely correlated | -0.65% | ||
| MCY - HGTY | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.07% | ||
| ALL - HGTY | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.45% | ||
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MCY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCY has been loosely correlated with L. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MCY jumps, then L could also see price increases.