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HRL vs MDLZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) vs. Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HRL and MDLZ operate in the consumer staples packaged foods sector, with MDLZ maintaining a significantly larger market capitalization and broader global snack portfolio.
- Recent market activity shows MDLZ raising its 2026 organic net revenue growth outlook to at least 2% following a Q2 beat, while HRL reported steady organic sales growth amid a leadership transition to a new CEO effective October 2026.
- HRL offers a higher dividend yield near 4.9% and defensive characteristics, with recent weeks reflecting pressure from margin trends and an antitrust lawsuit mention.
- MDLZ demonstrates stronger recent momentum through volume growth, emerging market strength, and a new Kansas City Chiefs sponsorship, though elevated cocoa costs continue to weigh on margins.
- Relative performance in recent market activity favors MDLZ on top-line visibility, while HRL emphasizes portfolio simplification and consistent dividend returns.
- Sector exposure for both remains defensive, yet MDLZ faces commodity volatility risks distinct from HRL’s protein and retail channel dynamics.
Introduction
Investors and traders often compare HRL and MDLZ to assess relative value within the packaged foods industry, where both companies navigate consumer demand shifts, commodity costs, and competitive positioning. This analysis focuses on observable factors such as recent earnings trends, strategic developments, and market sentiment to highlight contrasts in scale, growth drivers, and risk profiles. Portfolio managers seeking defensive staples exposure, dividend-oriented investors, or those evaluating consumer staples for stability amid economic uncertainty may find the comparison relevant for diversification decisions.
HRL Overview and Recent Performance
Hormel Foods Corporation produces branded meat, poultry, and other protein products sold primarily through U.S. retail and foodservice channels, with a smaller international presence. In recent market activity, the stock has traded in a range reflecting mixed sentiment tied to leadership changes and operational updates. The company announced that John Ghingo will assume the CEO role effective October 26, 2026, succeeding interim leadership. Earlier quarterly results showed organic net sales growth of 3% alongside adjusted earnings per share gains, with all segments contributing positively. Recent weeks have included portfolio adjustments such as the sale of a Brazilian business and preparations for the third-quarter earnings call, alongside mentions of an antitrust matter. The stock’s defensive profile and dividend yield near 4.9% have supported stability, though broader market volatility has influenced shorter-term price behavior.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International, Inc. focuses on global snacking with iconic brands including OREO, RITZ, and CHIPS AHOY!, generating the majority of revenue outside North America in emerging and developed markets. Recent market activity reflects positive momentum following second-quarter results that exceeded expectations, with net revenues rising 4.1% year over year and organic net revenues increasing 2.2%. Management raised the 2026 organic net revenue growth outlook to at least 2%, citing volume/mix improvements and regional strength in Asia, Middle East & Africa, and Latin America. A new sponsorship as the Kansas City Chiefs’ Official Snacking Partner adds brand visibility. However, higher cocoa costs and increased marketing spending have pressured margins, with adjusted earnings per share declining modestly on a constant-currency basis. The larger scale provides diversified exposure but introduces sensitivity to commodity fluctuations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
HRL and MDLZ share consumer staples sector exposure yet differ markedly in scale and focus. MDLZ operates with a global snacking emphasis and higher market capitalization, enabling broader emerging-market participation, while HRL centers on protein products with heavier U.S. retail and foodservice weighting. Growth drivers contrast as MDLZ benefits from recent volume recovery and outlook upgrades, whereas HRL highlights consecutive quarters of organic sales expansion alongside leadership stabilization. Recent momentum appears firmer for MDLZ following its earnings beat and partnership announcement, though both face margin pressures—cocoa costs for MDLZ and input logistics for HRL. Risk factors include commodity volatility for MDLZ versus potential litigation and channel-specific dynamics for HRL. Market sentiment in recent weeks has reflected greater optimism around MDLZ’s revised guidance compared with HRL’s transitional period.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings momentum, outlook revisions, and trend consistency, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to MDLZ over HRL. The upgraded growth guidance and volume improvements provide clearer near-term visibility, while HRL’s leadership transition introduces additional variables. This assessment remains probabilistic and tied to evolving data rather than a definitive recommendation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HRL is a Hold and MDLZ is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HRL’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMDLZ’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- HRL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HRL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MDLZ’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HRL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
HRL (@Food: Major Diversified) experienced а +1.88% price change this week, while MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was -0.89% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Major Diversified industry was -2.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.43%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.22%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was -5.20%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.99%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.72%.
Reported Earning Dates
HRL is expected to report earnings on Dec 02, 2026.
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Major Diversified (-2.17% weekly)Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (-5.20% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
| HRL | MDLZ | HRL / MDLZ | |
| Capitalization | 11.9B | 78.4B | 15% |
| EBITDA | 1B | 6.28B | 16% |
| Gain YTD | -4.915 | 17.988 | -27% |
| P/E Ratio | 34.97 | 22.51 | 155% |
| Revenue | 12.2B | 39.7B | 31% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.72B | - |
| Total Debt | 2.86B | 22.1B | 13% |
HRL | MDLZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 82 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 11 Undervalued | 22 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 75 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 81 | 61 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 20 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HRL's Valuation (11) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry is in the same range as MDLZ (22) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that HRL’s stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Profit vs Risk Rating (75) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as HRL (100) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry. This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to HRL’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's SMR Rating (61) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as HRL (81) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry. This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to HRL’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as HRL (62) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry. This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to HRL’s over the last 12 months.
HRL's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (42) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that HRL’s stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
| HRL | MDLZ | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 4 days ago 66% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 50% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 11 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 49% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 36% | 2 days ago 33% |
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