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IHG vs MAR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) vs. Marriott International (MAR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Marriott International (MAR) has outperformed InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) year-to-date, with a 14.64% return compared to IHG's 1.81%.
- MAR's one-year return stands at 46.88%, surpassing IHG's 34.32%, reflecting stronger momentum in recent market activity.
- MAR boasts a larger market capitalization of $94.06 billion versus IHG's $21.29 billion, indicating greater scale.
- Both stocks trade at premium valuations, with MAR's P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) at 37.33 and IHG's at 29.41, amid hospitality sector recovery.
- IHG has pursued share buybacks in recent weeks, signaling management confidence in its positioning.
- MAR approaches its Q1 2026 earnings release, potentially driving sentiment shifts.
Introduction
InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) and Marriott International (MAR) stand as leading players in the global hospitality industry, both employing asset-light franchise models to capitalize on travel demand. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business dynamics, and market positioning amid ongoing sector recovery and economic uncertainties. Traders seeking momentum plays and long-term investors eyeing stable growth in lodging will find value in understanding their relative strengths, valuation trade-offs, and sensitivity to RevPAR (revenue per available room) trends.
IHG Overview and Recent Performance
InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG), a UK-based multinational, operates a portfolio of over 6,000 hotels across 20 brands including Holiday Inn and InterContinental, focusing primarily on franchising and management contracts. In recent market activity, IHG shares have traded around $143, near the upper end of their 52-week range ($110-$151), with a year-to-date gain of 1.81% but a robust 34% one-year return. Sentiment has been supported by ongoing share repurchase programs, including multiple transactions in late April, underscoring confidence in long-term growth prospects. Broader influences include steady global expansion and resilience in group bookings, though softer U.S. demand has tempered gains in recent weeks.
MAR Overview and Recent Performance
Marriott International (MAR), the world's largest hotel chain by room count, manages nearly 9,000 properties under brands like Marriott, Ritz-Carlton, and Sheraton, emphasizing franchised revenue. Shares have hovered near $355, close to the 52-week high of $380, delivering a strong 14.64% year-to-date return and 47% over one year. Recent performance reflects positive travel sentiment, analyst upgrades, and expectations for RevPAR growth ahead of Q1 2026 earnings. Factors bolstering momentum include robust international expansion and loyalty program strength, despite some pullback in recent sessions amid broader market rotations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both IHG and MAR leverage franchise-heavy models minimizing real estate ownership, driving high margins (MAR at 37%, IHG at 15%) through fees and loyalty ecosystems. Growth drivers differ in scale: MAR's vast 1.6 million-room pipeline outpaces IHG's, fueling superior momentum, while IHG emphasizes system fund investments for unit growth. Recent relative performance favors MAR's higher YTD and one-year gains, contrasting IHG's steadier but lower trajectory amid buybacks. Risk factors include economic sensitivity and geopolitical travel disruptions, with MAR's higher beta (1.11 vs. 1.02) implying greater volatility. Sector exposure aligns on leisure/business travel, but MAR shows stronger market sentiment via elevated analyst targets (avg. $372 vs. current $355) relative to IHG ($138 vs. $143).
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI tools currently lean toward MAR over IHG, based on stronger trend consistency, superior YTD/1Y returns, and upcoming catalysts like earnings that could reinforce relative positioning. IHG's buybacks provide stability, but MAR's scale and momentum suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance in a recovering travel environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IHG is a Buy and MAR is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IHG’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileMAR’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- IHG’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MAR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IHG’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MAR’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IHG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MAR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
IHG (@Cable/Satellite TV) experienced а +6.17% price change this week, while MAR (@Cable/Satellite TV) price change was +1.75% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Cable/Satellite TV industry was +2.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.18%.
Reported Earning Dates
IHG is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
MAR is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Cable/Satellite TV (+2.34% weekly)Companies that operate paid and subscriber-based broadcast facilities for cable and home satellite systems. Comcast Corp, Charter Communications, Inc. and DISH Network Corporation are some of the biggest cable/satellite TV providers. Customers typically pay a regular monthly fee to cable TV operators for unlimited access to a certain package of channels. Since the rising popularity of online streaming services have increased instances of cord-cutting among consumers, several cable operators have also diversified into internet services to milk the burgeoning appetite for internet-based content.
| IHG | MAR | IHG / MAR | |
| Capitalization | 22.3B | 93.2B | 24% |
| EBITDA | 1.42B | 4.94B | 29% |
| Gain YTD | 6.189 | 14.106 | 44% |
| P/E Ratio | 30.47 | 37.00 | 82% |
| Revenue | 5.19B | 26.6B | 20% |
| Total Cash | 160M | 454M | 35% |
| Total Debt | 4.61B | 17.4B | 26% |
IHG | MAR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 76 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 14 Undervalued | 99 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 20 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 11 | 5 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 31 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 47 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
IHG's Valuation (14) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is significantly better than the same rating for MAR (99). This means that IHG’s stock grew significantly faster than MAR’s over the last 12 months.
MAR's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as IHG (22). This means that MAR’s stock grew similarly to IHG’s over the last 12 months.
MAR's SMR Rating (5) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as IHG (11). This means that MAR’s stock grew similarly to IHG’s over the last 12 months.
MAR's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as IHG (47). This means that MAR’s stock grew similarly to IHG’s over the last 12 months.
MAR's P/E Growth Rating (31) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as IHG (53). This means that MAR’s stock grew similarly to IHG’s over the last 12 months.
| IHG | MAR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 63% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 54% | 9 days ago 49% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 40% | 5 days ago 48% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 60% |
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IHG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IHG has been closely correlated with MAR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IHG jumps, then MAR could also see price increases.
MAR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MAR has been closely correlated with HLT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MAR jumps, then HLT could also see price increases.