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IPI vs NTR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Intrepid Potash (IPI) vs. Nutrien (NTR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- IPI, a smaller U.S.-focused potash producer, has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) gains of about 43%, outperforming NTR's 21%.
- NTR, the global fertilizer giant, offers a more attractive valuation with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16 versus IPI's 47.
- Both stocks benefit from agricultural input demand, but IPI shows higher recent quarterly revenue growth at 34% year-over-year (yoy), compared to NTR's 6%.
- NTR boasts superior return on equity (ROE) of 9% and greater scale with a $36 billion market cap versus IPI's $534 million.
- IPI maintains very low debt-to-equity at 1%, reducing financial risk amid volatile commodity prices.
- Recent market activity highlights IPI's momentum from lithium exploration and earnings beats, while NTR gains from analyst upgrades and dividend hikes.
Introduction
In the agricultural inputs sector, particularly potash production, IPI and NTR stand out as key players amid fluctuating fertilizer demand tied to global crop prices and supply dynamics. This comparison analyzes their business models, recent performance, and market positioning to aid investors and traders evaluating exposure to commodities. Those focused on value, growth potential, or sector rotation in basic materials may find insights into relative strengths, such as scale versus agility, especially in recent market activity influenced by earnings reports and geopolitical factors affecting agriculture.
IPI Overview and Recent Performance
Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI) is a U.S.-based producer primarily focused on potash, with operations in New Mexico and Utah, alongside emerging magnesium and lithium exploration. Trading around $40 per share with a market cap of approximately $534 million, the stock has shown robust momentum, up 43% YTD and within a 52-week range of $23 to $50. Recent weeks have seen gains driven by Q4 2025 earnings reporting sales of $76 million, up from prior periods, and confirmation of a viable Utah lithium project, sparking a 22% rally and positive sentiment shifts. Higher potash prices and 34% yoy quarterly revenue growth have bolstered performance, though elevated P/E at 47 reflects growth expectations amid low debt levels.
NTR Overview and Recent Performance
Nutrien Ltd. (NTR), formed from the merger of PotashCorp and Agrium, is the world's largest fertilizer provider, with potash, nitrogen, and phosphate segments across global operations. At about $75 per share and a $36 billion market cap, it trades in a 52-week range of $53 to $85, with 21% YTD appreciation. Recent market activity features anticipation for Q1 earnings, analyst price target increases like Oppenheimer's upgrade, and announcements of dividend boosts and share buybacks following solid 2025 results. Sentiment has improved on resilient agricultural demand, despite modest 6% quarterly revenue growth, supported by explosive 405% EPS expansion and a reasonable P/E of 16.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
IPI operates a streamlined, U.S.-centric potash model with lithium upside, contrasting NTR's diversified global portfolio spanning multiple nutrients for broader revenue stability. Growth drivers differ: IPI leverages niche exploration catalysts and superior recent revenue momentum, while NTR benefits from scale, higher ROE, and retail ag services. Recent momentum favors IPI's volatility-driven gains, but NTR shows steadier positioning with analyst support. Risk trade-offs include IPI's low debt minimizing leverage exposure versus NTR's higher debt/equity at 47% amid commodity swings. Market sentiment tilts toward NTR for value in the sector, while IPI appeals for pure-play potash exposure.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward NTR based on trend consistency, attractive valuation multiples, superior profitability metrics, and positive catalysts like earnings momentum and capital returns. While IPI exhibits stronger short-term price surges and growth potential, NTR's scale and relative stability position it favorably in the current fertilizer market environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IPI is a Hold and NTR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IPI’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileNTR’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- IPI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NTR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IPI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NTR’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IPI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NTR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
IPI (@Chemicals: Agricultural) experienced а +10.68% price change this week, while NTR (@Chemicals: Agricultural) price change was +4.73% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Agricultural industry was -1.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.34%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.68%.
Reported Earning Dates
IPI is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
NTR is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Agricultural (-1.88% weekly)The agricultural chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemical products for the agricultural industry applications like crop protection, animal health, biotechnology and pharmaceutical-related products. Some of the largest agricultural chemicals producers include Nutrien Ltd., Corteva Inc., and FMC Corporation.
| IPI | NTR | IPI / NTR | |
| Capitalization | 562M | 34.5B | 2% |
| EBITDA | 55.4M | 6.32B | 1% |
| Gain YTD | 50.920 | 16.782 | 303% |
| P/E Ratio | 37.70 | 14.57 | 259% |
| Revenue | 302M | 27.8B | 1% |
| Total Cash | 99.3M | 777M | 13% |
| Total Debt | 3.68M | 13.9B | 0% |
IPI | NTR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 79 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 34 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 89 | 71 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 88 | 71 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | 99 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 19 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NTR's Valuation (34) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IPI (74) in the Other Metals Or Minerals industry. This means that NTR’s stock grew somewhat faster than IPI’s over the last 12 months.
NTR's Profit vs Risk Rating (71) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is in the same range as IPI (89) in the Other Metals Or Minerals industry. This means that NTR’s stock grew similarly to IPI’s over the last 12 months.
NTR's SMR Rating (71) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is in the same range as IPI (88) in the Other Metals Or Minerals industry. This means that NTR’s stock grew similarly to IPI’s over the last 12 months.
IPI's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Other Metals Or Minerals industry is in the same range as NTR (48) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry. This means that IPI’s stock grew similarly to NTR’s over the last 12 months.
IPI's P/E Growth Rating (76) in the Other Metals Or Minerals industry is in the same range as NTR (99) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry. This means that IPI’s stock grew similarly to NTR’s over the last 12 months.
| IPI | NTR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 78% | 6 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 73% |
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NTR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NTR has been closely correlated with CF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NTR jumps, then CF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NTR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTR | 100% | +0.87% | ||
| CF - NTR | 68% Closely correlated | +2.26% | ||
| IPI - NTR | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.83% | ||
| MOS - NTR | 53% Loosely correlated | -4.06% | ||
| CTVA - NTR | 47% Loosely correlated | -1.31% | ||
| KPLUY - NTR | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.80% | ||
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