ITA and XAR stand out as premier ETFs offering targeted exposure to the U.S. aerospace and defense sector, a resilient segment amid escalating global tensions and sustained government spending. While both compete directly within this niche, they diverge structurally: ITA emphasizes large-cap stability through market-cap weighting, whereas XAR promotes diversification via equal weighting. This comparison is timely as capital flows into defense amid geopolitical shifts and proposed U.S. budget increases to $1 trillion for 2026, highlighting their roles in sector rotation strategies for investors seeking defensive growth.
The iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is a passive fund seeking to track the Dow Jones U.S. Select Aerospace & Defense Index, comprising U.S. equities in the sector. Launched in 2006, it holds 41 stocks with an expense ratio of 0.38%. Top holdings include GE Aerospace (21.06%), RTX Corp (15.98%), Boeing (7.70%), Lockheed Martin (5.29%), and Howmet Aerospace (5.05%), accounting for over 65% of assets. Sector allocation is dominated by aerospace & defense (99.80%), reflecting a market-cap weighted approach favoring established primes. With $15.9 billion in AUM, ITA offers high liquidity and suits investors prioritizing mega-cap exposure in commercial and military aviation.
The State Street SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) passively tracks the S&P Aerospace & Defense Select Industry Index, a modified equal-weighted benchmark capturing the sector's breadth. Inception in 2011, it features 40 holdings and a competitive 0.35% expense ratio. Top holdings such as ATI Inc. (4.35%), Lockheed Martin (4.03%), Woodward Inc. (3.89%), Huntington Ingalls (3.88%), and Howmet Aerospace (3.85%) highlight its unconcentrated profile, with no single name exceeding 5%. Fully allocated to aerospace & defense (100%), XAR rebalances quarterly to maintain balance across large-, mid-, and small-caps, appealing to those seeking diversified tactical positioning.
The aerospace and defense sector benefits from robust tailwinds, including U.S. defense budgets projected at $900 billion+ for 2026 and global outlays climbing toward $2.6 trillion by year-end, driven by NATO commitments and geopolitical flashpoints in Ukraine, the Middle East, and beyond. Capital flows into sector ETFs have accelerated, with inflows exceeding $1 billion recently amid proposals for further hikes. Key catalysts encompass rising demand for advanced systems, AI integration, and supply chain resilience, tempered by risks like procurement delays and commodity pressures. Macro shifts toward rearmament favor both ETFs, though execution hinges on earnings from primes and subcontractors.
In recent months, XAR has demonstrated relative outperformance over ITA, attributed to its equal-weight tilt capturing mid-cap momentum during sector rotations toward innovative suppliers. ITA's large-cap concentration provides steadier volatility profiles, aligning with mega-cap resilience amid interest rate fluctuations and earnings cycles from top holdings like GE and RTX. Both have advanced amid defense tailwinds, but XAR's broader exposure amplifies gains from smaller firms in geopolitical-driven rallies, while ITA offers defensive anchoring. Relative positioning underscores XAR's edge in growth phases versus ITA's stability in broader market cycles.
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Tickeron’s AI currently favors XAR due to its lower expense ratio, superior diversification via equal weighting, and consistent trend capture in recent sector momentum favoring mid-tier innovators. While ITA excels in liquidity and large-cap stability, XAR's structural efficiency and balanced risk profile suggest a 60% probabilistic edge in the prevailing environment of expanding defense budgets and capital flows into smaller constituents.
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| ITA | XAR | ITA / XAR | |
| Gain YTD | 4.819 | 13.405 | 36% |
| Net Assets | 13.8B | 6.27B | 220% |
| Total Expense Ratio | 0.38 | 0.35 | 109% |
| Turnover | 42.00 | 35.00 | 120% |
| Yield | 0.46 | 0.30 | 150% |
| Fund Existence | 20 years | 15 years | - |
| ITA | XAR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 87% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 83% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 86% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 85% | 8 days ago 87% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 84% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 83% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| IYRI | 48.35 | 0.08 | +0.17% |
| NEOS Real Estate High Income ETF | |||
| SOLX | 8.62 | N/A | N/A |
| T-REX 2X Long SOL Daily Target ETF | |||
| DMAR | 44.66 | -0.04 | -0.10% |
| FT Vest US Equity Deep Bffr ETF Mar | |||
| DTEC | 50.06 | -1.45 | -2.82% |
| ALPS Disruptive Technologies ETF | |||
| REMX | 98.32 | -3.86 | -3.78% |
| VanEck Rare Earth & Strat Mtls ETF | |||
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ITA has been closely correlated with GE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ITA jumps, then GE could also see price increases.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XAR has been closely correlated with CW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XAR jumps, then CW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XAR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAR | 100% | -2.08% | ||
| CW - XAR | 77% Closely correlated | +1.77% | ||
| KTOS - XAR | 73% Closely correlated | -7.65% | ||
| BWXT - XAR | 70% Closely correlated | -1.36% | ||
| AIR - XAR | 69% Closely correlated | +0.68% | ||
| SARO - XAR | 68% Closely correlated | -0.91% | ||
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