IYE
Price
$66.97Alerts
Change
+$1.21 (+1.84%)
Updated
Nov 11, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
1.77B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
VDE
Price
$176.42Alerts
Change
+$3.39 (+1.96%)
Updated
Nov 11, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
10.33B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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IYE vs VDE

IYE vs VDE Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 28, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) vs. Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE)

Key Takeaways

  • Different breadth, same sector: Both funds track U.S. energy equities, but IYE holds roughly 40 large-cap names, while VDE spans about 110 holdings across large-, mid-, and small-cap companies.
  • Cost gap is meaningful: VDE charges a 0.09% expense ratio versus roughly 0.37% for IYE, a structural advantage that compounds over time.
  • Concentration profile: IYE is more concentrated, with its top 10 positions approaching roughly 70% of assets, while VDE's top 10 account for closer to 65%.
  • Both are benchmark-heavy in mega-caps: XOM and CVX anchor both funds, making oil-price dynamics and integrated-major earnings the dominant performance drivers.
  • Passive index strategies: Neither fund is active or thematic; each replicates a market-cap-weighted U.S. energy index.
  • Diversification edge: VDE offers broader mid- and small-cap participation, while IYE skews more purely toward large-cap, established producers and refiners.

Introduction

For investors seeking a single-ticket way to own the U.S. energy complex, IYE and VDE are two of the most direct competitors available. Both are passively managed, market-cap-weighted index funds targeting the same GICS-defined energy sector, and they share nearly identical top-holdings lists. The comparison therefore turns less on what they own and more on how broadly and how cheaply they own it. Given renewed investor attention on energy equities amid shifting supply dynamics and capital-discipline narratives, understanding the structural differences between these funds is essential for sound sector positioning.

iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) Overview

The iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) seeks to track the Russell 1000 Energy RIC 22.5/45 Capped Index, a benchmark of U.S. energy companies drawn from the large-cap Russell 1000 universe. Issued by BlackRock and launched in 2000, the fund is non-diversified and typically holds roughly 37 to 44 stocks, concentrated in integrated oil and gas majors, refiners, and midstream operators.

Top holdings include XOM (about 23%), CVX (about 16%), COP (roughly 6.6%), MPC (about 5%), and VLO (about 4.8%), followed by PSX, WMB, EOG, SLB, and KMI. With a net expense ratio near 0.37%, IYE delivers concentrated large-cap energy exposure but at a notably higher cost than its main rival.

Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) Overview

The Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) seeks to track the MSCI US Investable Market Index (IMI) Energy 25/50 Index, a benchmark spanning large-, mid-, and small-cap U.S. energy companies. Launched in 2004 and issued by Vanguard, the fund is non-diversified but far broader, holding roughly 108 to 117 securities across exploration and production, refining, equipment and services, and midstream infrastructure.

Its top holdings mirror IYE but at slightly lower weights: XOM (about 22%), CVX (about 14%), COP (about 6%), MPC and VLO (each about 4%), and PSX (about 3.7%), alongside SLB, WMB, EOG, and BKR. The fund uses an MSCI 25/50 capping methodology and rebalances quarterly. Its headline advantage is cost: a net expense ratio of just 0.09%, among the lowest in the energy category.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both ETFs sit squarely at the intersection of commodity prices, refining margins, and the capital-allocation decisions of major producers. The U.S. energy sector has been shaped in recent cycles by disciplined production growth, shareholder returns through buybacks and dividends, and ongoing consolidation among upstream operators. Oil and natural gas price volatility, driven by global demand trends and geopolitical supply risks, remains the primary macro catalyst for both funds. Refining economics and crack spreads also influence the weighty refining names shared across the two portfolios. Sector risks include cyclical earnings sensitivity, regulatory and energy-transition pressures, and commodity-price drawdowns that can compress fund performance uniformly.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Because both funds draw from the same mega-cap core, their returns have moved in close tandem across recent months and market cycles. Relative differences have generally been modest and driven by breadth: VDE's inclusion of mid- and small-cap names can add or subtract incremental returns depending on whether smaller energy producers outperform during rallies or lag during risk-off periods. IYE's heavier concentration in XOM and CVX ties its relative positioning more tightly to integrated-major earnings and dividend payouts, while VDE captures a wider slice of the sector's exploration and services tail. Over longer horizons, VDE's materially lower expense ratio is a structural tailwind that tends to narrow or widen the relative performance gap in its favor the longer the holding period.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market using technical patterns, fundamentals, trend strength, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs with customizable filters covering industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics, making it faster and more efficient to surface trade ideas, trending names, and breakout candidates than manual screening. For investors comparing energy-sector exposure and seeking data-backed entry points, the AI Screener provides a practical starting point for refining your watchlist.

Tickeron AI Verdict

On a structural basis, Tickeron's AI would likely favor VDE in a direct comparison. Its 0.09% expense ratio is a decisive, durable cost advantage over IYE's roughly 0.37%, and its broader universe of around 110 holdings offers superior diversification and reduced single-stock concentration risk while retaining essentially the same core sector exposure. Unless an investor specifically seeks a more concentrated large-cap tilt, the combination of lower fees, wider mid- and small-cap reach, and similar trend and momentum characteristics makes VDE the more efficient expression of U.S. energy-sector positioning in most market environments.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
IYE vs. VDE commentary
Nov 12, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IYE is a Hold and VDE is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for IYE with price predictions
Nov 10, 2026

IYE's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for IYE moved out of oversold territory on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 18 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 18 of the 18 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +0.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYE advanced for three days, in 340 of 373 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

IYE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 293 of 333 cases where IYE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 88%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IYE as a result. In 74 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IYE turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.

IYE moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VDE with price predictions
Nov 10, 2026

Momentum Indicator for VDE turns negative, indicating new downward trend

VDE saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 77 of the 87 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 89%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VDE turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 44 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 86%.

VDE moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for VDE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VDE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where VDE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 18 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.02% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VDE advanced for three days, in 346 of 378 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

VDE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 297 of 335 cases where VDE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
IYEVDE
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
78%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
81%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
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IYE and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IYE has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IYE jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To IYE
1D Price
Change %
IYE100%
+0.40%
CVX - IYE
89%
Closely correlated
+0.21%
XOM - IYE
89%
Closely correlated
-0.16%
COP - IYE
87%
Closely correlated
+0.83%
EOG - IYE
86%
Closely correlated
+2.08%
OVV - IYE
84%
Closely correlated
+1.82%
More

VDE and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VDE has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if VDE jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To VDE
1D Price
Change %
VDE100%
+0.44%
CVX - VDE
91%
Closely correlated
+0.21%
XOM - VDE
90%
Closely correlated
-0.16%
COP - VDE
89%
Closely correlated
+0.83%
EOG - VDE
86%
Closely correlated
+2.08%
OVV - VDE
86%
Closely correlated
+1.82%
More
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