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JMIA vs MELI
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is JMIA is a StrongBuy and MELI is a Hold.
JMIA in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 30, 2026
JMIA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 30 of 34 cases where JMIA's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where JMIA's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 31 of 37 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 52 of 65 cases where JMIA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JMIA just turned positive on November 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where JMIA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +10.57% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JMIA advanced for three days, in 220 of 263 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
JMIA moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for JMIA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JMIA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator for JMIA entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 35 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JMIA's P/B Ratio (826.133) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (22.398). P/E Ratio (-11.816) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.569). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.774). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. JMIA's P/S Ratio (4.255) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.328).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. JMIA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. JMIA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
MELI sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for MELI moved below the 200-day moving average on November 10, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MELI as a result. In 51 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MELI turned negative on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 60%.
MELI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MELI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MELI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
The Aroon Indicator for MELI entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for MELI's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +2.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MELI advanced for three days, in 239 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
MELI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MELI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.772) is normal, around the industry mean (22.398). MELI has a moderately high P/E Ratio (41.077) as compared to the industry average of (9.569). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.938) is also within normal values, averaging (1.774). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.651) is also within normal values, averaging (1.328).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MELI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
JMIA | MELI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 56 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 35 Fair valued | 84 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 73 | 74 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 28 | 71 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
JMIA's Valuation (35) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MELI (84). This means that JMIA’s stock grew somewhat faster than MELI’s over the last 12 months.
JMIA's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as MELI (100). This means that JMIA’s stock grew similarly to MELI’s over the last 12 months.
MELI's SMR Rating (35) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for JMIA (100). This means that MELI’s stock grew somewhat faster than JMIA’s over the last 12 months.
JMIA's Price Growth Rating (73) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as MELI (74). This means that JMIA’s stock grew similarly to MELI’s over the last 12 months.
JMIA's P/E Growth Rating (28) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MELI (71). This means that JMIA’s stock grew somewhat faster than MELI’s over the last 12 months.
| JMIA | MELI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 23 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 84% | 6 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 60% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
JMIA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while MELI’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- JMIA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MELI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
JMIA’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MELI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- JMIA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MELI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
JMIA (@Internet Retail) experienced а +6.98% price change this week, while MELI (@Internet Retail) price change was -10.34% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Internet Retail industry was -1.89%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.28%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15.40%.
Reported Earning Dates
JMIA is expected to report earnings on Nov 18, 2026.
MELI is expected to report earnings on Feb 25, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Internet Retail (-1.89% weekly)The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.
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JMIA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JMIA has been loosely correlated with CVNA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if JMIA jumps, then CVNA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JMIA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMIA | 100% | -2.30% | ||
| CVNA - JMIA | 63% Loosely correlated | -4.25% | ||
| W - JMIA | 38% Loosely correlated | -3.72% | ||
| NXH - JMIA | 38% Loosely correlated | -9.93% | ||
| MELI - JMIA | 34% Loosely correlated | -2.77% | ||
| SE - JMIA | 32% Poorly correlated | -1.49% | ||
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MELI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MELI has been loosely correlated with DASH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MELI jumps, then DASH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MELI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MELI | 100% | -2.77% | ||
| DASH - MELI | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.50% | ||
| CVNA - MELI | 52% Loosely correlated | -4.25% | ||
| SE - MELI | 46% Loosely correlated | -1.49% | ||
| GLBE - MELI | 38% Loosely correlated | -1.18% | ||
| TDUP - MELI | 37% Loosely correlated | +9.16% | ||
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