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MELI vs SE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MercadoLibre (MELI) vs. Sea Limited (SE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MercadoLibre (MELI) is the dominant Latin American e-commerce and fintech ecosystem, while Sea Limited (SE) runs Shopee, Garena, and Monee across Southeast Asia and Latin America.
- Both stocks are down year to date, but SE has fallen far more sharply and trades near its 52-week low, reflecting heavier competitive and sentiment pressure.
- Both companies are in a reinvestment cycle: revenue is accelerating while near-term profitability and margins face pressure.
- MELI carries a stronger trend profile and a more concentrated leadership position; SE offers a deeper valuation discount with newly announced catalysts in cloud and fintech.
- Analyst consensus is constructive on both names, but SE shows a wider spread between bullish price targets and a more cautious minority view.
Introduction
MercadoLibre and Sea Limited are two of the world's most closely watched emerging-market internet platforms, and their paths increasingly overlap. MELI leads commerce and payments across Latin America, while SE operates the Shopee marketplace, the Garena gaming business, and the Monee digital financial services arm across Southeast Asia and Brazil. Both are now direct competitors in Brazil, making this a useful stock comparison for growth-oriented investors weighing relative performance, market positioning, and risk. This article reviews recent results, sentiment shifts, and the factors that may shape each company's trajectory.
MELI Overview and Recent Performance
MercadoLibre is Latin America's largest online commerce and payments platform, operating a marketplace across 18 countries and the Mercado Pago fintech ecosystem. In its most recent quarter, net revenue rose roughly 50% year over year to about $10.2 billion, the first time quarterly revenue crossed the $10 billion mark. Gross merchandise volume (GMV), the total value of goods sold, grew approximately 44%, while the credit portfolio reached about $16.4 billion, up 75% year over year.
Despite that growth, the shares have traded lower over the past year. Operating income declined and the operating margin compressed as management invested heavily in logistics, credit, and user acquisition, and the company issued $1 billion in long-term notes to fund expansion. Recent moves such as one-hour delivery in São Paulo and entry into prescription medicine sales illustrate the reinvestment trade-off. Sentiment has also been influenced by Brazil's election results and by intensifying competition from Shopee and Amazon. Analysts broadly rate MELI a Buy, with an average price target implying meaningful upside from recent levels.
SE Overview and Recent Performance
Sea Limited is a Singapore-based consumer internet company built around three engines: Shopee (e-commerce), Garena (digital entertainment), and Monee (digital financial services, formerly SeaMoney). Revenue has been growing rapidly, rising roughly 47% in the first half of the year to about $14.9 billion, with Shopee's GMV up about 28%. Monee has been the fastest-growing segment, with revenue up nearly 59% year over year in the latest quarter.
The stock, however, has been one of the weaker performers in its peer group, trading down more than 30% year to date and near its 52-week low. Competitive pressure from TikTok Shop, Lazada, Temu, and Shein, along with softer consumer confidence in key markets such as Indonesia, has weighed on sentiment. Management recently announced plans to launch Sea Cloud, an AI-first enterprise platform, and to explore a potential public listing of Monee. While the consensus rating remains a Strong Buy with a high average price target, a minority of analysts have held a more cautious view centered on margin execution.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Although both companies blend commerce, payments, and credit, their structures and risk profiles differ. MercadoLibre operates a deeply integrated commerce-plus-fintech flywheel concentrated in Latin America, where it holds leading positions in Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina. Its growth is broad-based, but the margin story is the central debate: profitability has declined for three consecutive quarters as spending accelerates. Sea Limited is more diversified across three distinct businesses and two regions, which can smooth results but also exposes it to simultaneous competitive threats in Southeast Asia and Brazil. Its newly announced Sea Cloud and potential Monee listing add optionality but introduce execution risk.
On momentum, MELI has held up better, trading well above its 52-week low, while SE sits near its low and has faced more acute competitive pressure. On valuation, SE reflects a deeper discount to consensus targets, but that gap also signals higher uncertainty. In short, MELI offers steadier relative positioning with a clearer margin-recovery narrative, while SE presents a higher-risk, higher-reward setup dependent on monetization and new catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative strength, and the stability of near-term catalysts, Tickeron's AI would likely favor MELI at present. The stock has demonstrated more resilient price behavior relative to its recent range, a dominant competitive moat in its core markets, and a clearer path for margin stabilization as its investment cycle matures. SE retains a stronger consensus upside target and exciting new growth avenues, but its weaker momentum and broader competitive exposure currently reduce its trend quality. This assessment reflects probabilistic positioning rather than a definitive forecast, and relative rankings could shift as new earnings data and catalysts emerge.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) is an e-commerce company that offers electronic shopping and electronic payment options for business customers and consumers in Latin America. It also facilitates third-party logistics and has begun supplying air freight services to decrease delivery time and costs. Sea Limited (SEA) also involved in e-commerce in Latin America, but has a much larger international footprint, primarily in Asia, and more diverse sources of income, including online gaming and entertainment, with their game Free Fire being an international hit. Both companies have entered into financial services with digital payment methods, lending and short-term micro-credit options, and facilitating peer-to-peer transactions. SE is about twice as large as MELI, with a market cap of about $180B at the time of this writing. SE in particular is not afraid to report significant net losses for several years as they try to develop and establish their future sources of revenue.
MELI in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026
The 10-day moving average for MELI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 16 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MELI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MELI just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where MELI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Following a +2.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MELI advanced for three days, in 239 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 52 of 63 cases where MELI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MELI as a result. In 62 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
MELI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MELI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The Aroon Indicator for MELI entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MELI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.004) is normal, around the industry mean (23.065). MELI has a moderately high P/E Ratio (50.459) as compared to the industry average of (9.570). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.938) is also within normal values, averaging (1.774). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.651) is also within normal values, averaging (1.321).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MELI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
SE's Stochastic Oscillator is remaining in oversold zone for 1 day
Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +0.71% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SE advanced for three days, in 255 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
SE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SE as a result. In 65 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SE turned negative on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 86%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator for SE entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 77 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.697) is normal, around the industry mean (23.065). P/E Ratio (28.867) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.570). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.951) is also within normal values, averaging (1.774). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.379) is also within normal values, averaging (1.321).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
MELI | SE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 53 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 77 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 35 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 79 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 94 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SE's Valuation (77) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as MELI (91). This means that SE’s stock grew similarly to MELI’s over the last 12 months.
SE's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as MELI (100). This means that SE’s stock grew similarly to MELI’s over the last 12 months.
MELI's SMR Rating (35) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as SE (58). This means that MELI’s stock grew similarly to SE’s over the last 12 months.
MELI's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as SE (79). This means that MELI’s stock grew similarly to SE’s over the last 12 months.
MELI's P/E Growth Rating (45) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SE (94). This means that MELI’s stock grew somewhat faster than SE’s over the last 12 months.
| MELI | SE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 83% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 86% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 10 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 84% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 83% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MELI’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while SE’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MELI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MELI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MELI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MELI (@Internet Retail) experienced а +0.86% price change this week, while SE (@Internet Retail) price change was -18.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Internet Retail industry was -6.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -13.52%, and the average quarterly price growth was -20.17%.
Reported Earning Dates
MELI is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
SE is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Internet Retail (-6.40% weekly)The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.
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MELI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MELI has been loosely correlated with CVNA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MELI jumps, then CVNA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MELI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MELI | 100% | -1.31% | ||
| CVNA - MELI | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.78% | ||
| SE - MELI | 48% Loosely correlated | -3.10% | ||
| DASH - MELI | 47% Loosely correlated | -3.77% | ||
| GLBE - MELI | 37% Loosely correlated | -1.53% | ||
| CPNG - MELI | 33% Loosely correlated | -3.14% | ||
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SE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SE has been loosely correlated with CVNA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SE jumps, then CVNA could also see price increases.