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MELI vs SE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MercadoLibre (MELI) vs. Sea Limited (SE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MELI is delivering exceptional top-line growth but is contending with margin compression and consecutive earnings shortfalls as it funds an aggressive investment cycle.
- SE has shifted from a growth-at-all-costs model to a multi-segment profitability story, with accelerating revenue and stabilizing earnings across e-commerce, gaming, and fintech.
- The two companies share an e-commerce-plus-fintech DNA but serve different regions and are at opposite points in their margin cycles, making this a study in trade-offs rather than like-for-like rivalry.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on trend consistency, profitability momentum, and relative positioning, the AI currently favors SE over MELI.
- For deeper coverage, explore MELI Major News and MELI Today's Price Move, as well as SE Major News and SE Today's Price Move.
- To see which automated strategies are currently leading the market, visit the curated Trending AI Robots page.
Introduction
MercadoLibre (MELI) and Sea Limited (SE) are two of the most closely watched emerging-market technology platforms, each pairing a dominant e-commerce marketplace with a fast-growing digital payments and lending arm. Because they operate as regional champions — MercadoLibre in Latin America and Sea in Southeast Asia — investors frequently benchmark them against one another. This stock comparison examines their business models, recent market positioning, and relative performance to help traders and longer-term investors understand where the momentum, profitability, and risk profiles currently diverge.
MELI Overview and Recent Performance
MercadoLibre is Latin America's largest e-commerce marketplace, complemented by the Mercado Pago payments ecosystem and Mercado Credito lending business. The company generates the bulk of its revenue from Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina, and has consistently posted rapid growth in both gross merchandise volume (GMV, the total value of goods sold) and total payment volume.
In recent weeks, however, the investment narrative has shifted from growth to profitability. MercadoLibre reported quarterly revenue up roughly 45% year over year to about $10.75 billion, while GMV and payment volume continued to climb strongly. Yet earnings per share came in below consensus, and operating margin contracted sharply as the company invested in expanded fulfillment capacity, lower free-shipping thresholds, and a credit portfolio that grew more than 60%. The result has been sustained selling pressure: the stock declined double digits following its latest report, trades well below its 2025 peak, and sits near multi-year lows. Sentiment reflects investor impatience with an ongoing investment cycle that has compressed margins even as underlying engagement metrics remain healthy.
SE Overview and Recent Performance
Sea Limited operates three interconnected businesses: Shopee (e-commerce), Garena (digital entertainment), and Monee (digital financial services). Anchored by Shopee's roughly 50% regional market share, Sea has evolved from a cash-burning growth story into a profitability-focused enterprise following years of restructuring and cost discipline.
Recent quarters have reinforced that turnaround. Sea has reported consecutive periods of strong revenue growth — in the mid-to-high 40% range year over year — alongside positive net income. Shopee continues to post record GMV and rising take rates, Garena delivered its strongest gaming performance in years behind Free Fire and Arena of Valor, and Monee's loan book expanded rapidly while non-performing loans (NPLs, or loans past due) remained stable near 1%. The company has also initiated a share buyback program. While margins in certain segments faced investment-related pressure, group-level profitability held up, and the stock's market positioning has improved relative to its earlier drawdown, even as it trades well below its prior highs.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two stocks is where each sits in its profitability cycle. MercadoLibre is in an investment phase: revenue and market-share gains are impressive, but rising logistics, marketing, and credit costs are compressing operating margins and driving earnings misses, which has weighed on the share price. Sea, by contrast, has already passed through its heaviest restructuring and is now compounding revenue growth with positive, stabilizing earnings and a more disciplined cost structure.
The two also differ in business diversification and risk. Sea's gaming segment (Garena) provides a highly cash-generative third engine that partially offsets e-commerce competition from rivals such as TikTok Shop, though it carries concentration risk around a single flagship title. MercadoLibre has no equivalent gaming unit, but it enjoys a logistics moat in Latin America that is difficult to replicate and a credit business with substantial long-term runway. On sentiment, MercadoLibre faces near-term uncertainty over when margins will re-expand, while Sea is contending with competition and the sustainability of its gaming and content-commerce momentum. In short, MercadoLibre currently offers deep-value characteristics with near-term earnings risk, whereas Sea offers improving execution with a more constructive, if still volatile, trend profile.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Weighing trend consistency, profitability momentum, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI currently leans toward SE. Sea's combination of accelerating revenue, positive and stabilizing net income, and a disciplined cost structure presents a more consistent uptrend than MercadoLibre's current pattern of strong sales growth offset by margin compression and consecutive earnings shortfalls. While MercadoLibre's valuation and long-term growth potential may appeal to patient investors, the observable near-term signals — earnings trajectory, margin direction, and relative price momentum — favor Sea. This assessment reflects a probabilistic, data-driven read of current conditions and is not a prediction of future results or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) is an e-commerce company that offers electronic shopping and electronic payment options for business customers and consumers in Latin America. It also facilitates third-party logistics and has begun supplying air freight services to decrease delivery time and costs. Sea Limited (SEA) also involved in e-commerce in Latin America, but has a much larger international footprint, primarily in Asia, and more diverse sources of income, including online gaming and entertainment, with their game Free Fire being an international hit. Both companies have entered into financial services with digital payment methods, lending and short-term micro-credit options, and facilitating peer-to-peer transactions. SE is about twice as large as MELI, with a market cap of about $180B at the time of this writing. SE in particular is not afraid to report significant net losses for several years as they try to develop and establish their future sources of revenue.
MELI sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for MELI moved below the 200-day moving average on November 10, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MELI as a result. In 51 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MELI turned negative on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 60%.
MELI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MELI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MELI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
The Aroon Indicator for MELI entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for MELI's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +2.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MELI advanced for three days, in 239 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
MELI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MELI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.772) is normal, around the industry mean (22.398). MELI has a moderately high P/E Ratio (41.077) as compared to the industry average of (9.569). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.938) is also within normal values, averaging (1.774). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.651) is also within normal values, averaging (1.328).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MELI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
SE's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SE turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where SE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SE's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 31 of 42 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 47 of 61 cases where SE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SE as a result. In 61 of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Following a +3.08% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SE advanced for three days, in 254 of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
SE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for SE moved below the 200-day moving average on November 02, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator for SE entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.592) is normal, around the industry mean (22.398). P/E Ratio (28.048) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.569). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.951) is also within normal values, averaging (1.774). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.379) is also within normal values, averaging (1.328).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
MELI | SE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 56 | 13 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 76 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 35 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 74 | 81 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 94 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SE's Valuation (76) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as MELI (84). This means that SE’s stock grew similarly to MELI’s over the last 12 months.
SE's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as MELI (100). This means that SE’s stock grew similarly to MELI’s over the last 12 months.
MELI's SMR Rating (35) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as SE (58). This means that MELI’s stock grew similarly to SE’s over the last 12 months.
MELI's Price Growth Rating (74) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as SE (81). This means that MELI’s stock grew similarly to SE’s over the last 12 months.
MELI's P/E Growth Rating (71) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as SE (94). This means that MELI’s stock grew similarly to SE’s over the last 12 months.
| MELI | SE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 84% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 72% | 17 days ago 84% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 89% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MELI’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while SE’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MELI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- SE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MELI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SE’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MELI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 7 bearish.
- SE’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
MELI (@Internet Retail) experienced а -10.34% price change this week, while SE (@Internet Retail) price change was +0.04% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Internet Retail industry was -1.89%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.28%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15.40%.
Reported Earning Dates
MELI is expected to report earnings on Feb 25, 2027.
SE is expected to report earnings on Mar 09, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Internet Retail (-1.89% weekly)The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.
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MELI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MELI has been loosely correlated with DASH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MELI jumps, then DASH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MELI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MELI | 100% | -2.77% | ||
| DASH - MELI | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.50% | ||
| CVNA - MELI | 52% Loosely correlated | -4.25% | ||
| SE - MELI | 46% Loosely correlated | -1.49% | ||
| GLBE - MELI | 38% Loosely correlated | -1.18% | ||
| TDUP - MELI | 37% Loosely correlated | +9.16% | ||
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SE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SE has been loosely correlated with CVNA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SE jumps, then CVNA could also see price increases.