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MELI vs SE
MercadoLibre (MELI) vs Sea Limited (SE) Earnings Recap: Recent Results Highlight Growth Amid Margin Pressures
Key Takeaways
- MercadoLibre reported Q4 2025 revenue of $8.76 billion, up 45% year-over-year, though EPS of $11.03 missed estimates due to strategic investments.
- Sea Limited delivered Q4 2025 revenue of $6.9 billion, a 38.4% increase, with diluted EPS of $0.63 but net income growth of 73% year-over-year.
- Both companies showcased robust full-year 2025 revenue expansion: MELI at $28.9 billion (+39%) and SE at $22.9 billion (+36%).
- MELI's fintech arm Mercado Pago drove diversification, while SE's Shopee and Monee segments fueled Southeast Asian momentum.
- Post-earnings stock reactions were negative for both, reflecting investor focus on profitability amid high growth.
- MELI maintains a larger market cap (~$87B) and higher profitability margins compared to SE (~$52B).
Earnings Context and Why This Comparison Matters
MercadoLibre (MELI) and Sea Limited (SE) lead e-commerce and fintech ecosystems in high-growth emerging markets. MELI dominates Latin America through its marketplace and Mercado Pago payments, while SE powers Southeast Asia via Shopee e-commerce, Monee fintech, and Garena gaming. Recent Q4 2025 earnings recaps reveal parallel trajectories: explosive revenue growth fueled by digital adoption, tempered by investment-driven margin compression. This comparison underscores competitive dynamics in underpenetrated regions, where logistics buildout and financial services expansion define long-term winners.
Sea Limited Focus
Sea Limited released Q4 and full-year 2025 results on March 3, 2026, reporting GAAP revenue of $6.9 billion, surpassing estimates and up 38.4% year-over-year. Gross profit reached $3.0 billion (+36%), with adjusted EBITDA at $787.1 million (+33.2%). Net income climbed 72.9% to $410.9 million, yielding diluted EPS of $0.63 (basic $0.66), missing consensus but improving from $0.39 prior year. Shopee GMV grew 28.6% to $36.7 billion, with core marketplace revenue up 50.2%. Full-year revenue hit $22.9 billion (+36.4%), net income $1.6 billion, and adjusted EBITDA $3.4 billion (+75.2%). Guidance targets Shopee GMV growth of ~25% in 2026 with stable adjusted EBITDA.
MercadoLibre Context
MercadoLibre's Q4 2025 earnings, released February 24, 2026, showed net revenues of $8.76 billion (+45% YoY), beating forecasts despite EPS of $11.03 missing estimates (down from $12.61 YoY). Net income was $559 million. Full-year revenue reached $28.89 billion (+39%), with net income ~$2 billion and TTM EPS $39.42. Commerce and fintech segments accelerated, with Brazil GMV up 35%, though operating margins dipped to 10.1% from investments in logistics and AI. Next earnings are estimated for May 7, 2026. Fundamentals remain strong, with consistent profitability and market leadership in Latin America.
Head-to-Head Earnings and Market Comparison
Both delivered triple-digit percentage net income growth in Q4, but MELI scaled larger absolute revenues ($8.76B vs. $6.9B) with superior EPS ($11.03 vs. $0.63), reflecting mature fintech monetization. SE's diversified segments—Shopee (58% of revenue), Monee, Garena—offer resilience, though gaming volatility persists. Growth drivers align: e-commerce penetration <20% in both regions, rising digital payments. Risks differ: MELI faces LatAm macro/inflation exposure; SE contends with TikTok Shop competition. Valuation: MELI P/E 43x, market cap $87B; SE P/E 38x, $52B. Sentiment favors MELI's stability over SE's execution risks.
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Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron AI favors MELI with 65% probability over the next 12 months, citing superior earnings quality (TTM EPS $39+), stable trends in Latin America, and stronger positioning versus SE’s competitive pressures despite solid growth.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) is an e-commerce company that offers electronic shopping and electronic payment options for business customers and consumers in Latin America. It also facilitates third-party logistics and has begun supplying air freight services to decrease delivery time and costs. Sea Limited (SEA) also involved in e-commerce in Latin America, but has a much larger international footprint, primarily in Asia, and more diverse sources of income, including online gaming and entertainment, with their game Free Fire being an international hit. Both companies have entered into financial services with digital payment methods, lending and short-term micro-credit options, and facilitating peer-to-peer transactions. SE is about twice as large as MELI, with a market cap of about $180B at the time of this writing. SE in particular is not afraid to report significant net losses for several years as they try to develop and establish their future sources of revenue.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MELI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSE’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MELI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MELI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SE’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MELI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- SE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
MELI (@Internet Retail) experienced а +3.41% price change this week, while SE (@Internet Retail) price change was +4.42% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Internet Retail industry was +1.03%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.57%, and the average quarterly price growth was -17.37%.
Reported Earning Dates
MELI is expected to report earnings on May 07, 2026.
SE is expected to report earnings on May 19, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Internet Retail (+1.03% weekly)The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.
| MELI | SE | MELI / SE | |
| Capitalization | 89.9B | 50.9B | 177% |
| EBITDA | 3.82B | 2.02B | 189% |
| Gain YTD | -11.930 | -32.649 | 37% |
| P/E Ratio | 45.02 | 34.10 | 132% |
| Revenue | 28.9B | 21B | 138% |
| Total Cash | 5.51B | 9.9B | 56% |
| Total Debt | 11.4B | 4.24B | 269% |
MELI | SE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 79 Overvalued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 87 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 26 | 52 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 85 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 74 | 99 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SE's Valuation (71) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as MELI (79). This means that SE’s stock grew similarly to MELI’s over the last 12 months.
MELI's Profit vs Risk Rating (87) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as SE (100). This means that MELI’s stock grew similarly to SE’s over the last 12 months.
MELI's SMR Rating (26) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as SE (52). This means that MELI’s stock grew similarly to SE’s over the last 12 months.
MELI's Price Growth Rating (62) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as SE (85). This means that MELI’s stock grew similarly to SE’s over the last 12 months.
MELI's P/E Growth Rating (74) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as SE (99). This means that MELI’s stock grew similarly to SE’s over the last 12 months.
| MELI | SE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 86% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 72% | 18 days ago 84% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 84% |
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