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KDP vs PEP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) vs. PepsiCo (PEP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KDP has outperformed PEP on a year-to-date basis, returning approximately 13.8% compared to PEP’s near-flat or slightly negative performance through late July 2026.
- Both companies operate in the consumer staples sector with significant beverage exposure, though PEP maintains broader diversification through snacks and international markets.
- Recent market activity shows KDP trading near $31 with upcoming earnings, while PEP trades around $140 following its July earnings release.
- Valuation metrics indicate PEP trades at a lower forward price-to-earnings ratio than KDP, reflecting differing market perceptions of growth prospects.
- Sentiment for both stocks has been influenced by North American consumer spending patterns and international expansion opportunities in recent weeks.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between KDP’s focused portfolio momentum and PEP’s scale and dividend characteristics.
Introduction
This comparison examines KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper) and PEP (PepsiCo), two major players in the beverages and consumer packaged goods industry. The analysis focuses on recent stock behavior, business profiles, and market positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating relative opportunities within the consumer staples sector. It is particularly relevant for those monitoring defensive equities, dividend strategies, or sector rotation amid evolving economic conditions.
KDP Overview and Recent Performance
Keurig Dr Pepper produces and distributes a range of beverages, including carbonated soft drinks, coffee, and ready-to-drink products, with a portfolio anchored by brands such as Dr Pepper and Keurig systems. In recent market activity, the stock has demonstrated resilience, posting year-to-date gains of approximately 13.8% as of late July 2026 and closing near $31.12 on July 31. Performance has benefited from steady demand for core brands and operational efficiencies, with analysts noting expectations for earnings growth ahead of the August 6 report. Sentiment has been supported by the company’s focused beverage strategy amid broader market volatility, though the stock remains below its 52-week high.
PEP Overview and Recent Performance
PepsiCo operates a diversified portfolio spanning beverages, snacks, and nutrition products across global markets, with major brands including Pepsi, Gatorade, and Frito-Lay. The stock has experienced more muted recent performance, trading around $140 in early August 2026 following its second-quarter earnings release in July. Year-to-date returns have been near flat to slightly negative, influenced by North American consumer headwinds offset partially by international growth. Market positioning reflects caution around near-term volumes, with the shares holding above multi-month lows but facing comparison to stronger peers in the sector.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KDP and PEP share exposure to the beverages industry but differ in scale and diversification. PEP benefits from a larger market capitalization and integrated snacks business that can provide additional revenue stability, while KDP maintains a more concentrated beverage focus that has translated into stronger recent momentum. Growth drivers for KDP center on brand execution and acquisitions, whereas PEP emphasizes global expansion and product innovation. Risk factors include commodity costs and consumer spending sensitivity for both, though PEP’s broader footprint may moderate certain regional pressures. Market sentiment has favored KDP’s relative outperformance in the recent period, while PEP offers a lower valuation multiple and established dividend profile.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorable momentum to KDP over PEP. This assessment reflects KDP’s stronger year-to-date returns and upcoming catalysts compared to PEP’s more challenged recent trajectory, though outcomes remain subject to broader market developments and earnings execution.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Disclaimers and LimitationsTo compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KDP is a Hold and PEP is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KDP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePEP’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- KDP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PEP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KDP’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PEP’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KDP’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PEP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
KDP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) experienced а +2.47% price change this week, while PEP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was +1.57% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was +8.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.55%.
Reported Earning Dates
KDP is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
PEP is expected to report earnings on Oct 13, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (+8.66% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
| KDP | PEP | KDP / PEP | |
| Capitalization | 42.8B | 192B | 22% |
| EBITDA | 4.05B | 18.6B | 22% |
| Gain YTD | 13.817 | -0.105 | -13,101% |
| P/E Ratio | 31.77 | 18.45 | 172% |
| Revenue | 16.9B | 96.9B | 17% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 10.7B | - |
| Total Debt | 25.7B | 53.2B | 48% |
KDP | PEP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 24 Undervalued | 17 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 90 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 80 | 20 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 84 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PEP's Valuation (17) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KDP (24). This means that PEP’s stock grew similarly to KDP’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's Profit vs Risk Rating (90) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KDP (100). This means that PEP’s stock grew similarly to KDP’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's SMR Rating (20) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (80). This means that PEP’s stock grew somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KDP (60). This means that PEP’s stock grew similarly to KDP’s over the last 12 months.
KDP's P/E Growth Rating (47) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PEP (84). This means that KDP’s stock grew somewhat faster than PEP’s over the last 12 months.
| KDP | PEP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 50% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 38% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 41% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 45% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 40% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 10 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 54% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 36% | N/A |
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KDP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KDP has been loosely correlated with PEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 43% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KDP jumps, then PEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KDP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP | 100% | +5.28% | ||
| PEP - KDP | 43% Loosely correlated | +1.38% | ||
| FIZZ - KDP | 41% Loosely correlated | +1.23% | ||
| MNST - KDP | 32% Poorly correlated | +1.52% | ||
| CCEP - KDP | 30% Poorly correlated | +0.37% | ||
| COKE - KDP | 29% Poorly correlated | +0.74% | ||
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