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KDP vs MNST
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) vs. Monster Beverage (MNST) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KDP reported Q4 2025 net sales up 10.5% to $4.5 billion, beating estimates, with full-year growth of 8.2%; shares show recent rebound but lag one-year returns at around -11%.
- MNST delivered record Q4 net sales of $2.13 billion, up 17.6%, with adjusted EPS rising 30.4%; one-year returns exceed 43%, outperforming the sector.
- KDP's refreshment beverages drive momentum amid a pending $18 billion JDE Peet's acquisition, targeting double-digit EPS growth in 2026; trading at a forward PE of about 19.
- MNST benefits from strong international expansion and energy drink demand, with early 2026 sales up ~20%; higher PE near 45 reflects premium growth expectations.
- Both stocks exhibit low beta (<0.7), offering relative stability, but MNST shows superior recent momentum while KDP appears undervalued per DCF models at 33.8% discount.
- Analyst targets average $35.57 for KDP (24% upside) and $87.16 for MNST (11% upside) from recent closes.
Introduction
In the competitive non-alcoholic beverages sector, KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper) and MNST (Monster Beverage) represent distinct strategies: diversified soft drinks and coffee for KDP versus high-growth energy drinks for MNST. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business models, and market positioning amid shifting consumer trends and economic pressures. Traders seeking momentum may eye MNST's robust sales growth, while value-oriented investors could favor KDP's acquisition-driven catalysts and dividend yield. Understanding their relative performance aids decisions in volatile markets focused on sector rotation and growth trade-offs.
KDP Overview and Recent Performance
Keurig Dr Pepper operates in U.S. refreshment beverages, coffee systems, and international markets, with brands like Dr Pepper, Snapple, and Keurig brewers. Recent market activity has seen KDP shares rebound around 7-10% over the past month, closing near $29 amid broader one-year declines of about 11%. Q4 2025 results showed net sales up 10.5% to $4.5 billion, surpassing estimates, driven by 4.8% volume/mix growth and pricing; full-year sales rose 8.2% to $16.6 billion. Sentiment has improved with analyst upgrades, including Wells Fargo raising its target to $40 and Barclays to $32, fueled by strong refreshment beverages and a transformative $18 billion JDE Peet's acquisition expected early 2026. This deal, alongside coffee portfolio reshaping, counters coffee cost pressures, with 2026 guidance for 4-6% organic growth and double-digit adjusted EPS expansion. Trading at a PE of 18.9 with a 3.2% yield, KDP appeals for stability, though shares underperform peers short-term due to separation costs.
MNST Overview and Recent Performance
Monster Beverage focuses on energy drinks, with Monster Energy as its flagship, alongside Strategic Brands and alcohol segments, emphasizing international expansion. MNST shares, near $79 recently, have delivered one-year gains over 43% but pulled back 4% monthly amid sector rotation. Q4 2025 marked records with $2.13 billion net sales, up 17.6% (16.1% currency-adjusted), led by 18.9% Monster Energy growth; full-year sales increased 10.7% to $8.29 billion. Adjusted EPS surged 30.4% to $0.51, beating forecasts, with margins expanding to 55.5%. Early 2026 sales trends show ~20% growth, supported by innovation, zero-sugar demand, and global share gains despite input costs. Analysts like Argus (target $100) and Roth ($80) highlight leadership changes and pricing power. At a PE of 44.7, MNST trades at a premium, reflecting superior momentum but facing valuation scrutiny in recent pullbacks versus underperforming peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KDP and MNST both thrive in beverages but diverge in models: KDP's diversified portfolio (soft drinks 70%+ revenue) provides defensive exposure via staples, while MNST's energy focus (95%+ from Monster) targets premium growth. Growth drivers contrast—KDP's 8-10% sales via acquisitions like GHOST/JDE Peet's versus MNST's 11-18% organic/international surge. Recent momentum favors MNST (YTD +2.5%, 3-month +7%) over KDP (+4% YTD but flat 3-month), yet KDP's lower beta (0.35 vs. 0.61) and dividend enhance stability. Risks include KDP's coffee inflation/separation costs and MNST's high valuation amid cost pressures. Sector sentiment leans growth for energy but values KDP's 33% DCF discount; trade-offs pit MNST's superior returns against KDP's cheaper multiples and catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently favor MNST for its trend consistency, with 17.6% Q4 sales growth, 30%+ EPS gains, and early 2026 momentum signaling stronger relative positioning amid energy demand. KDP's acquisition catalysts and undervaluation offer probabilistic upside, but MNST edges on observable momentum and international catalysts versus KDP's near-term headwinds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KDP is a Hold and MNST is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KDP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMNST’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- KDP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MNST’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KDP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MNST’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KDP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- MNST’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
KDP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) experienced а +0.35% price change this week, while MNST (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was +0.93% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was -3.11%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.76%, and the average quarterly price growth was +110684.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
KDP is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
MNST is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (-3.11% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
| KDP | MNST | KDP / MNST | |
| Capitalization | 39.4B | 85.2B | 46% |
| EBITDA | 4.05B | 2.71B | 150% |
| Gain YTD | 5.059 | 13.591 | 37% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.43 | 42.07 | 51% |
| Revenue | 16.9B | 8.79B | 192% |
| Total Cash | 898M | 2.99B | 30% |
| Total Debt | 25.7B | 199M | 12,915% |
KDP | MNST | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 40 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 30 Undervalued | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 18 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 78 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 24 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 44 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KDP's Valuation (30) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MNST (93). This means that KDP’s stock grew somewhat faster than MNST’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's Profit vs Risk Rating (18) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is significantly better than the same rating for KDP (100). This means that MNST’s stock grew significantly faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's SMR Rating (35) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (78). This means that MNST’s stock grew somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's Price Growth Rating (24) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KDP (50). This means that MNST’s stock grew similarly to KDP’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's P/E Growth Rating (44) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (80). This means that MNST’s stock grew somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
| KDP | MNST | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 46% | 3 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 43% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 50% | 7 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 46% | N/A |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 42% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 38% | 3 days ago 53% |
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KDP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KDP has been loosely correlated with PEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 47% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KDP jumps, then PEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KDP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP | 100% | -0.58% | ||
| PEP - KDP | 47% Loosely correlated | +0.30% | ||
| KO - KDP | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.46% | ||
| FIZZ - KDP | 45% Loosely correlated | -1.77% | ||
| MNST - KDP | 32% Poorly correlated | +1.48% | ||
| CCEP - KDP | 26% Poorly correlated | -1.62% | ||
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MNST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MNST has been loosely correlated with CCEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 43% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MNST jumps, then CCEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MNST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNST | 100% | +1.48% | ||
| CCEP - MNST | 43% Loosely correlated | -1.62% | ||
| KO - MNST | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.46% | ||
| PEP - MNST | 42% Loosely correlated | +0.30% | ||
| FIZZ - MNST | 31% Poorly correlated | -1.77% | ||
| KDP - MNST | 30% Poorly correlated | -0.58% | ||
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