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KKR vs TPG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR) vs. TPG Inc. (TPG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Scale gap: KKR manages roughly $758 billion in assets under management (AUM), more than double TPG's approximately $306 billion, giving KKR a larger, more diversified fee base.
- Growth contrast: TPG has recently grown faster on a percentage basis, with AUM up about 22% year over year versus KKR's roughly 14%.
- Earnings quality: Both firms posted strong fee-related earnings growth, but KKR's results have been tempered by reduced visibility on its full-year adjusted net income target.
- Sector exposure: TPG carries a notably higher weighting in software (about 18% of its private equity book), while KKR's software exposure is comparatively low (around 7% of AUM).
- Market positioning: KKR trades with a larger market capitalization, while TPG's smaller platform offers a different risk-and-reward profile in the alternative asset management space.
Introduction
KKR & Co. Inc. and TPG Inc. are two of the most recognized names in alternative asset management, yet they operate at very different stages of scale. This stock comparison is relevant for traders and investors weighing a large, diversified private markets franchise against a smaller but faster-growing competitor. Both firms sit at the center of major themes in 2026 — private credit expansion, infrastructure demand, and shifting exposure to software and artificial intelligence. By examining relative performance, business model, growth drivers, and market sentiment, readers can better understand how these two tickers are positioned in the current environment.
KKR Overview and Recent Performance
KKR & Co. Inc. is a global alternative asset manager spanning private equity, real assets, credit, and insurance through its Global Atlantic platform. In recent quarters, the firm has emphasized recurring, fee-based earnings. KKR reported first-quarter 2026 AUM of about $758 billion, up 14% year over year, with fee-paying AUM rising 17% to roughly $615 billion. Fee-related earnings (FRE, the income generated from management and advisory fees) reached approximately $1 billion for the quarter, up 23.5%.
Recent market activity has been mixed for the stock. KKR's shares rallied on a better-than-expected quarterly earnings beat, then pulled back after management said market volatility had reduced visibility on its prior 2026 adjusted net income (ANI) target of more than $7 per share, calling it "more likely" that results land below that level. The firm also completed its acquisition of Arctos Partners, adding roughly $16 billion in AUM tied to professional sports franchise investing. A relatively low software weighting has partly insulated KKR from the software valuation reset that has pressured some peers.
TPG Overview and Recent Performance
TPG Inc. is a global alternative asset manager headquartered across San Francisco and Fort Worth, with platforms in private equity, growth equity, credit, real estate, and climate-related impact investing. TPG crossed the $300 billion AUM threshold recently, reporting about $306 billion in the first quarter of 2026, up 22% year over year. Fee-earning AUM climbed 23% to roughly $175 billion, and fee-related earnings grew 36% year over year, surpassing $1 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis for the first time.
TPG has shown strong capital formation and deployment momentum, raising more than $10 billion in the first quarter (up 75% year over year) and investing over $14 billion. The firm entered 2026 with roughly $72 billion in dry powder (uninvested capital reserved for future deals). In contrast to KKR, TPG carries a larger software footprint — about 18% of its private equity book — which has made its portfolio more sensitive to recent public market valuation resets in technology. Analysts at Barclays and BofA have maintained Buy or Overweight ratings with price targets around $58 per share.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The most obvious contrast is scale. KKR's roughly $758 billion AUM dwarfs TPG's $306 billion, supporting a broader and more durable management fee stream. KKR also benefits from its insurance segment and a larger perpetual capital base, which adds stability to its earnings mix. TPG, by comparison, is earlier in its scaling journey, which translates into faster percentage growth in AUM, fundraising, and fee-related earnings.
Growth drivers differ as well. KKR leans on infrastructure, credit, and strategic acquisitions such as Arctos Partners, while TPG emphasizes private equity, growth, and climate platforms alongside a rapidly expanding credit franchise. Risk factors are also distinct: KKR has been contending with lower visibility on near-term monetizations and adjusted net income, whereas TPG faces greater sensitivity to software and technology valuations, which have experienced public market resets in recent quarters.
From a sentiment standpoint, analyst coverage on TPG has leaned constructive, with several Buy ratings and modestly raised price targets. KKR, despite record fee margins, has seen more cautious positioning as analysts weigh the timing of monetization activity. Both stocks have experienced significant volatility over the past year, but their market capitalizations — roughly $92 billion for KKR versus about $17.5 billion for TPG — reflect very different investor profiles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings durability, and relative positioning, a probabilistic assessment would lean toward KKR as the more stable candidate in the current environment. Its larger, more diversified fee base, recurring earnings mix, and comparatively limited software exposure provide a steadier fundamental backdrop. TPG offers a faster-growth, higher-momentum profile, but its heavier technology weighting and smaller scale introduce greater volatility. The choice between them ultimately hinges on whether an investor prioritizes the consistency of a scaled platform or the growth potential of a smaller, expanding franchise.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KKR is a Hold and TPG is a Hold.
KKR's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for KKR entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 212 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 159 of the 212 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
KKR moved below its 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for KKR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The 50-day moving average for KKR moved below the 200-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KKR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where KKR's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +2.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KKR advanced for three days, in 240 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
KKR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. KKR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KKR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.936) is normal, around the industry mean (3.246). P/E Ratio (29.789) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.022). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.398) is also within normal values, averaging (1.319). KKR has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.008) as compared to the industry average of (0.081). P/S Ratio (4.382) is also within normal values, averaging (15.798).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
Momentum Indicator for TPG turns negative, indicating new downward trend
TPG saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 58 of the 80 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 73%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TPG turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.
TPG moved below its 50-day moving average on September 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TPG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TPG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Aroon Indicator for TPG entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TPG's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 41 of 55 cases where TPG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The 50-day moving average for TPG moved above the 200-day moving average on September 17, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +1.69% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPG advanced for three days, in 232 of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
TPG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 9 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.865) is normal, around the industry mean (3.246). TPG has a moderately high P/E Ratio (64.896) as compared to the industry average of (27.022). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.319). Dividend Yield (0.052) settles around the average of (0.081) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.203) is also within normal values, averaging (15.798).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TPG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TPG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
KKR | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 54 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 81 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 77 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 67 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 75 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 92 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| KKR | TPG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 73% | 9 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 69% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KKR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while TPG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- KKR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TPG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KKR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TPG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KKR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TPG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
KKR (@Investment Managers) experienced а -5.21% price change this week, while TPG (@Investment Managers) price change was -6.05% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was -3.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.67%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
KKR is expected to report earnings on Nov 09, 2026.
TPG is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (-3.10% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
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