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KTCC vs SMCI
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KTCC is a Hold and SMCI is a Hold.
KTCC sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
On October 16, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for KTCC moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 66 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 46 of the 66 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 70%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where KTCC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 35 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KTCC just turned positive on September 18, 2026. Looking at past instances where KTCC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +3.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KTCC advanced for three days, in 155 of 228 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
KTCC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KTCC as a result. In 57 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The 50-day moving average for KTCC moved below the 200-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KTCC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator for KTCC entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 38 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.342) is normal, around the industry mean (-7.468). P/E Ratio (-0.485) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.030). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.430) is also within normal values, averaging (23.994). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.066) is also within normal values, averaging (51.774).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. KTCC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KTCC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
SMCI sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
SMCI saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 09, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 45 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 89%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMCI as a result. In 69 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
SMCI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SMCI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMCI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SMCI's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +10.81% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMCI advanced for three days, in 277 of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
SMCI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 211 of 248 cases where SMCI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 85%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 48 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.161) is normal, around the industry mean (-7.468). P/E Ratio (9.238) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.030). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.520) is also within normal values, averaging (23.994). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.658) is also within normal values, averaging (51.774).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SMCI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SMCI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
KTCC | SMCI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 36 | 79 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 38 Fair valued | 48 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 79 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KTCC's Valuation (38) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as SMCI (48) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that KTCC’s stock grew similarly to SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
SMCI's Profit vs Risk Rating (79) in the Computer Communications industry is in the same range as KTCC (100) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that SMCI’s stock grew similarly to KTCC’s over the last 12 months.
SMCI's SMR Rating (36) in the Computer Communications industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KTCC (98) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that SMCI’s stock grew somewhat faster than KTCC’s over the last 12 months.
SMCI's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Computer Communications industry is in the same range as KTCC (80) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that SMCI’s stock grew similarly to KTCC’s over the last 12 months.
KTCC's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Electronic Components industry is significantly better than the same rating for SMCI (95) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that KTCC’s stock grew significantly faster than SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
| KTCC | SMCI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 86% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 1 day ago 89% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 87% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 69% | 7 days ago 82% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 85% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KTCC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while SMCI’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- KTCC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SMCI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KTCC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SMCI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KTCC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SMCI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
KTCC (@Computer Processing Hardware) experienced а +0.93% price change this week, while SMCI (@Computer Processing Hardware) price change was -0.59% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Processing Hardware industry was -5.00%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.34%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.11%.
Reported Earning Dates
KTCC is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
SMCI is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Computer Processing Hardware (-5.00% weekly)Computer Processing Hardware industry produces central processing unit, monitor, keyboard, computer data storage devices, and graphics card. Business activity and economic growth are potential drivers of this industry – if more businesses are growing or flourishing, so would their investments in computer equipment. Dell Technologies, Inc, Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co., NCR Corporation are key producers of computer processing hardware.
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KTCC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that KTCC and CRCT have been poorly correlated (+24% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that KTCC and CRCT's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KTCC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTCC | 100% | -0.93% | ||
| CRCT - KTCC | 24% Poorly correlated | +1.26% | ||
| CRSR - KTCC | 23% Poorly correlated | -1.23% | ||
| OSS - KTCC | 23% Poorly correlated | -4.37% | ||
| SMCI - KTCC | 22% Poorly correlated | -5.20% | ||
| DELL - KTCC | 22% Poorly correlated | -6.78% | ||
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SMCI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMCI has been loosely correlated with DELL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SMCI jumps, then DELL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMCI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMCI | 100% | -5.20% | ||
| DELL - SMCI | 49% Loosely correlated | -6.78% | ||
| UMAC - SMCI | 41% Loosely correlated | -4.18% | ||
| RGTI - SMCI | 40% Loosely correlated | -4.73% | ||
| OSS - SMCI | 40% Loosely correlated | -4.37% | ||
| SSYS - SMCI | 39% Loosely correlated | -1.59% | ||
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