Analysis and predictions LLY vs MRK
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LLY is a StrongSell and MRK is a StrongSell.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LLY’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileMRK’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- LLY’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MRK’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LLY’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MRK’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LLY’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MRK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
LLY (@Pharmaceuticals: Major) experienced а -2.44% price change this week, while MRK (@Pharmaceuticals: Major) price change was -3.19% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Pharmaceuticals: Major industry was -1.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.49%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.22%.
Reported Earning Dates
LLY is expected to report earnings on Nov 02, 2023.
MRK is expected to report earnings on Oct 26, 2023.
Industries' Descriptions
@Pharmaceuticals: Major (-1.21% weekly)The Major Pharmaceuticals industry includes companies that are involved in various processes of creating drugs to treat/prevent diseases. These companies engage in research, testing and manufacturing, as well as the distribution of pharmaceuticals into markets. Johnson & Johnson, Merck & Co., Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Novartis are among the largest companies in this category.
| LLY | MRK | LLY / MRK | |
| Capitalization | 517B | 265B | 195% |
| EBITDA | 9.14B | 10.2B | 90% |
| Gain YTD | 47.996 | -5.300 | -906% |
| P/E Ratio | 75.76 | 85.47 | 89% |
| Revenue | 29.5B | 58.3B | 51% |
| Total Cash | 2.83B | 6.38B | 44% |
| Total Debt | 18.8B | 36.9B | 51% |
LLY | MRK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 78 | 58 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 64 Fair valued | 15 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 1 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 54 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 26 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MRK's Valuation (15) in the Pharmaceuticals Major industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LLY (64). This means that MRK’s stock grew somewhat faster than LLY’s over the last 12 months.
LLY's Profit vs Risk Rating (1) in the Pharmaceuticals Major industry is in the same range as MRK (6). This means that LLY’s stock grew similarly to MRK’s over the last 12 months.
LLY's SMR Rating (17) in the Pharmaceuticals Major industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MRK (77). This means that LLY’s stock grew somewhat faster than MRK’s over the last 12 months.
LLY's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Pharmaceuticals Major industry is in the same range as MRK (54). This means that LLY’s stock grew similarly to MRK’s over the last 12 months.
MRK's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Pharmaceuticals Major industry is in the same range as LLY (26). This means that MRK’s stock grew similarly to LLY’s over the last 12 months.
| LLY | MRK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 45% | 4 days ago 39% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | 4 days ago 47% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | 4 days ago 38% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 67% | 25 days ago 52% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | 6 days ago 44% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 40% | 4 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 46% |
LLY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LLY has been loosely correlated with BIIB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LLY jumps, then BIIB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LLY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LLY | 100% | -1.34% | ||
| BIIB - LLY | 50% Loosely correlated | -0.30% | ||
| NVS - LLY | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.46% | ||
| MRK - LLY | 42% Loosely correlated | -1.29% | ||
| AMGN - LLY | 40% Loosely correlated | -0.76% | ||
| GILD - LLY | 39% Loosely correlated | -0.62% | ||
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