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LRCX vs NXPI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lam Research (LRCX) vs. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LRCX has delivered significantly stronger year-to-date gains compared to NXPI, driven by robust demand for semiconductor equipment tied to AI infrastructure.
- Both companies are preparing to report quarterly earnings in late July 2026, with analysts anticipating solid results amid ongoing semiconductor sector strength.
- LRCX focuses on wafer fabrication equipment, positioning it directly in AI-driven capital spending cycles, while NXPI serves automotive, industrial, and communications end-markets with more diversified exposure.
- Recent market activity shows LRCX experiencing higher volatility alongside its outsized returns, whereas NXPI has posted steadier but more moderate appreciation.
- Sector sentiment remains constructive for both due to AI and broader technology spending, though valuation and growth visibility differ based on their respective business models.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between high-growth equipment exposure and stable end-market diversification.
Introduction
This comparison examines LRCX and NXPI, two prominent semiconductor companies with distinct roles in the supply chain. Lam Research provides critical equipment for chip manufacturing, while NXP Semiconductors delivers components for automotive, industrial, and connectivity applications. The analysis is relevant for traders and investors seeking to understand relative performance, sector positioning, and market dynamics within the technology space during periods of elevated interest in artificial intelligence and electronics demand.
LRCX Overview and Recent Performance
Lam Research Corporation designs and manufactures equipment used in the fabrication of semiconductor devices, with particular strength in etch and deposition technologies essential for advanced chip production. In recent market activity, the stock has posted substantial year-to-date gains exceeding 100 percent, significantly outpacing broader semiconductor industry benchmarks amid heightened capital spending on AI-related infrastructure. Recent weeks have featured elevated volatility, including a notable single-day decline, as investors positioned ahead of the company’s fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report scheduled for late July. Sentiment has been supported by expectations for continued demand in advanced packaging and high-performance computing applications.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors N.V. develops mixed-signal and standard products primarily for automotive, industrial, and communications markets, including microcontrollers and connectivity solutions. In recent market activity, the stock has recorded year-to-date appreciation of approximately 26 percent, outperforming the S&P 500 while trailing more aggressive semiconductor peers. Recent weeks have included modest pullbacks alongside sector-wide movements, with attention focused on the company’s second-quarter earnings release also set for late July. Analyst commentary has remained generally constructive, citing stable end-market demand and operational execution.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
LRCX operates in the semiconductor capital equipment segment, benefiting directly from wafer fab expansion tied to artificial intelligence, whereas NXPI supplies components across more cyclical yet diversified end-markets such as automotive electronics. Growth drivers for LRCX center on technology node transitions and advanced packaging, while NXPI draws from vehicle electrification and industrial automation trends. Recent momentum has favored LRCX with larger percentage advances, accompanied by greater price swings, compared with NXPI’s more measured trajectory. Risk factors include equipment order cyclicality for LRCX versus inventory and macro sensitivity for NXPI. Market sentiment reflects broad semiconductor optimism, with positioning differentiated by exposure to high-growth AI spend versus steady end-customer demand.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and relative positioning within the AI-driven semiconductor equipment cycle, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to LRCX over NXPI. This assessment incorporates stronger recent momentum and alignment with capital expenditure catalysts, tempered by considerations of volatility and upcoming earnings outcomes. The evaluation remains probabilistic and subject to shifts in market data.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LRCX is a StrongBuy and NXPI is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LRCX’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNXPI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- LRCX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NXPI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LRCX’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NXPI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LRCX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NXPI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
LRCX (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -6.90% price change this week, while NXPI (@Semiconductors) price change was -11.59% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -2.93%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -22.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was +43.27%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -2.80%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was +36.24%.
Reported Earning Dates
LRCX is expected to report earnings on Oct 21, 2026.
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (-2.93% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (-2.80% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| LRCX | NXPI | LRCX / NXPI | |
| Capitalization | 373B | 61.8B | 604% |
| EBITDA | 8.07B | 4.72B | 171% |
| Gain YTD | 74.253 | 13.917 | 534% |
| P/E Ratio | 51.69 | 48.80 | 106% |
| Revenue | 21.7B | 12.6B | 172% |
| Total Cash | 1.68B | 3.38B | 50% |
| Total Debt | 3.73B | 11.7B | 32% |
LRCX | NXPI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 79 Overvalued | 57 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 36 | 71 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (57) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as LRCX (79) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's Profit vs Risk Rating (36) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NXPI (71) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew somewhat faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's SMR Rating (17) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NXPI (36) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NXPI (61) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NXPI (11) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
| LRCX | NXPI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 83% | 10 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 64% |
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NXPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NXPI has been closely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NXPI jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NXPI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 100% | +1.73% | ||
| MCHP - NXPI | 80% Closely correlated | +5.10% | ||
| MCHPP - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | +4.17% | ||
| ENTG - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | +9.44% | ||
| LRCX - NXPI | 77% Closely correlated | +17.98% | ||
| KLAC - NXPI | 76% Closely correlated | +5.96% | ||
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