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LRCX vs NXPI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lam Research (LRCX) vs. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LRCX is a leading wafer fabrication equipment supplier whose revenue grew roughly 54% year over year in its latest quarter, driven by artificial intelligence (AI)-fueled demand for memory and foundry chips.
- NXPI is a diversified mixed-signal and analog semiconductor company anchored in automotive, expanding into software-defined vehicles and AI data center "control plane" technologies such as power and cooling.
- The two stocks differ sharply in scale and growth profile: Lam Research's market capitalization sits near $326 billion, while NXP's is closer to $60 billion.
- Lam Research delivered record results but saw its stock retreat on a "sell-the-news" reaction tied to near-term supply chain constraints and a forecast decline in China's revenue share.
- NXP trades at a lower valuation multiple and offers a dividend, reflecting steadier, more cyclical growth in automotive and industrial end markets.
- For deeper coverage of each company's developments, explore LRCX Major News and LRCX Today's Price Move, as well as NXPI Major News and NXPI Today's Price Move.
- Readers seeking an AI-driven perspective on market positioning can also browse Tickeron's curated Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Investors weighing semiconductor exposure often face a choice between companies that sell the equipment used to make chips and companies that design the chips themselves. LRCX and NXPI represent those two sides of the industry. Lam Research supplies wafer fabrication equipment critical to advanced chipmaking, while NXP Semiconductors designs high-performance mixed-signal and analog chips used largely in cars and industrial systems. This stock comparison is relevant for traders and long-term investors seeking to understand how AI infrastructure demand, automotive recovery, and supply chain dynamics are shaping relative performance and market positioning across the semiconductor value chain.
LRCX Overview and Recent Performance
Lam Research (LRCX) designs and manufactures wafer fabrication equipment, with particular strength in etch and deposition tools used to build advanced semiconductors. In recent market activity, the company has reported record revenue, profit, and earnings per share (EPS), with its latest quarterly revenue rising more than 50% year over year to roughly $8.2 billion. Non-GAAP gross margin reached a record 52.4%, and operating margin exceeded 40% for the first time, supported by a favorable product mix and strong memory and foundry investments.
Despite these results, the stock retreated in recent weeks. Management cited near-term supply chain constraints that limited shipment timing and guided for a meaningful decline in China's revenue contribution. The pullback also reflected a "sell-the-news" dynamic after a substantial run-up in the shares. Over the longer term, Lam Research continues to point to AI-driven demand and rising device complexity, forecasting wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) spending of more than $200 billion in 2027.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) is a Dutch-American company that designs high-performance mixed-signal and analog chips, with automotive as its largest end market at roughly 58% of revenue. In recent quarters, NXP has shown a recovery, reporting revenue growth near 19.5% year over year in its latest reported period, with all major end markets and regions expanding. The company has also been broadening its addressable market, recently expanding its partnership with Volkswagen for future software-defined vehicles.
Sentiment around NXP has been more measured than around AI-equipment peers. Analysts have issued a mix of target cuts and raises, with one major firm downgrading the stock partly due to its comparatively limited data center exposure. NXP trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple and carries a dividend yield of around 1.7%. Its strategy centers on the "control plane" of AI infrastructure—power, cooling, uptime, and security—rather than competing directly with graphics processing unit (GPU) makers.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron offers hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers, but only a select group earns a place in the curated Trending AI Robots section. These bots vary widely in trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance, statistics, and the set of tickers they follow, and the trending list highlights those best suited to current market conditions. The page lets traders compare bots by performance metrics and identify approaches aligned with their own objectives, whether short-term momentum or longer-horizon positioning. For investors following names like LRCX and NXPI, reviewing the Trending AI Robots page can offer an additional, data-driven lens on shifting market dynamics.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The most important contrast between these two companies is their position in the semiconductor supply chain. Lam Research is a capital-equipment supplier whose fortunes track fab construction and technology upgrades, giving it higher cyclicality but direct leverage to AI infrastructure spending. NXP is a chip designer with a more diversified, less capital-intensive model tied to automotive and industrial cycles, offering steadier revenue but slower growth.
Growth drivers also diverge. Lam Research's recent momentum reflects surging memory (NAND and DRAM) and foundry demand, while NXP's catalysts include software-defined vehicles, edge AI, and data center power and cooling. Risk profiles differ as well: Lam Research faces geographic concentration risk in China and supply chain bottlenecks, whereas NXP contends with a still-recovering automotive market and limited exposure to the fastest-growing AI compute segments. Market sentiment has favored Lam Research's explosive growth recently, but NXP's lower valuation and dividend provide a contrasting risk-reward profile.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward LRCX for trend consistency and near-term catalysts. Lam Research's accelerating revenue, record margins, and structural tie to AI-driven equipment demand suggest stronger relative momentum, even accounting for recent supply chain headwinds. That said, NXPI presents a more stable, lower-multiple profile with a dividend and emerging automotive and AI control-plane catalysts. The probabilistic outlook favors Lam Research for growth-oriented positioning, while NXP may appeal to investors prioritizing stability and valuation, with the balance depending on how each company's next earnings reports and guidance land.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LRCX is a StrongBuy and NXPI is a Buy.
LRCX's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for LRCX moved out of oversold territory on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 19 of the 19 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LRCX just turned positive on November 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where LRCX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 47 of 58 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Following a +6.58% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LRCX advanced for three days, in 268 of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
LRCX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LRCX as a result. In 59 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
LRCX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for LRCX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
The 50-day moving average for LRCX moved below the 200-day moving average on November 09, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LRCX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator for LRCX entered a downward trend on November 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LRCX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: LRCX's P/B Ratio (20.114) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (5.670). P/E Ratio (34.618) is within average values for comparable stocks, (68.795). LRCX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.463) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.801). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (14.620) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).
NXPI's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NXPI turned positive on October 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where NXPI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NXPI as a result. In 71 of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
NXPI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NXPI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Following a +5.10% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NXPI advanced for three days, in 190 of 293 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 146 of 217 cases where NXPI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NXPI moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 22 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 69%.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NXPI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
NXPI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NXPI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 58 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.493) is normal, around the industry mean (5.443). P/E Ratio (21.059) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.640). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.470) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.219) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
LRCX | NXPI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 14 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 58 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 54 | 56 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 18 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 64 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (58) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as LRCX (84) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's Profit vs Risk Rating (54) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NXPI (56) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's SMR Rating (18) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NXPI (35) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as LRCX (63) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NXPI (64) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
| LRCX | NXPI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 1 day ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 79% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 83% | 4 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 67% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LRCX’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while NXPI’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- LRCX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NXPI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LRCX’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NXPI’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LRCX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 7 bearish.
- NXPI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
LRCX (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +12.71% price change this week, while NXPI (@Semiconductors) price change was +6.77% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +5.56%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -16.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was -35.38%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.60%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was -29.58%.
Reported Earning Dates
LRCX is expected to report earnings on Jan 27, 2027.
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Feb 01, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+5.56% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+6.60% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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LRCX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LRCX has been closely correlated with AMAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 92% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LRCX jumps, then AMAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LRCX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LRCX | 100% | -3.36% | ||
| AMAT - LRCX | 92% Closely correlated | -2.74% | ||
| KLAC - LRCX | 89% Closely correlated | -3.17% | ||
| ASML - LRCX | 86% Closely correlated | -0.13% | ||
| NVMI - LRCX | 84% Closely correlated | -2.98% | ||
| ENTG - LRCX | 82% Closely correlated | -3.79% | ||
More | ||||
NXPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NXPI has been closely correlated with ENTG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NXPI jumps, then ENTG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NXPI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 100% | -0.82% | ||
| ENTG - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | -3.79% | ||
| LRCX - NXPI | 77% Closely correlated | -3.36% | ||
| MCHP - NXPI | 77% Closely correlated | -0.64% | ||
| MCHPP - NXPI | 76% Closely correlated | -0.75% | ||
| KLAC - NXPI | 76% Closely correlated | -3.17% | ||
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