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MCHP vs NXPI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Microchip Technology (MCHP) vs. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Microchip Technology (MCHP) and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) both operate in the semiconductor sector with significant exposure to automotive, industrial, and embedded systems markets.
- NXPI reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of $3.5 billion, reflecting 19% year-over-year growth driven by strength in software-defined vehicles and physical artificial intelligence applications.
- Recent market activity shows NXPI experiencing post-earnings volatility, with shares declining following the July 2026 results despite beating revenue expectations.
- MCHP maintains a diversified portfolio in microcontrollers and analog solutions, with performance influenced by broader semiconductor demand cycles and inventory adjustments in recent weeks.
- Both companies exhibit sensitivity to macroeconomic factors including interest rates, supply chain dynamics, and end-market recovery in automotive and industrial segments.
- Relative positioning highlights trade-offs between NXPI’s higher-growth end markets and MCHP’s established customer base across multiple verticals.
Introduction
Microchip Technology (MCHP) and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) represent two established players in the semiconductor industry, each with substantial operations in analog, mixed-signal, and embedded processing technologies. This comparison examines their recent performance, business fundamentals, and market positioning to assist investors and traders evaluating exposure within the sector. The analysis is particularly relevant for those focused on technology hardware, automotive electronics, and industrial automation, where cyclical demand patterns and technological transitions create distinct opportunities and risks for each stock.
MCHP Overview and Recent Performance
Microchip Technology (MCHP) designs and manufactures microcontrollers, analog semiconductors, and related products serving automotive, industrial, consumer, and aerospace markets. In recent weeks, the stock has reflected broader semiconductor sector trends amid fluctuating demand signals and inventory management across the supply chain. Sentiment has been shaped by macroeconomic considerations, including potential shifts in interest rates and end-market spending, leading to measured trading activity rather than sharp directional moves. The company’s emphasis on long-term design wins provides a degree of stability, though it remains exposed to cyclical pressures common in the industry.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) specializes in secure connectivity solutions for automotive, industrial, and infrastructure applications, with notable leadership in processing and security technologies. The company delivered second-quarter 2026 revenue of $3.5 billion, up 19% year-over-year and 10% sequentially, with gains across all end markets. Despite the strong results and positive commentary on software-defined vehicles and physical artificial intelligence, shares experienced downward pressure in the immediate aftermath of the July earnings release. Recent market activity indicates investor caution amid sector-wide uncertainty, even as underlying business drivers remain intact.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In terms of business models, NXPI places greater emphasis on automotive and edge intelligence applications, while MCHP offers broader exposure across microcontroller and analog segments. Growth drivers for NXPI center on software-defined vehicles and emerging physical artificial intelligence opportunities, contrasting with MCHP’s reliance on established design wins in industrial and automotive embedded systems. Recent momentum favors NXPI on revenue growth metrics, though both stocks have navigated sector volatility. Risk factors include supply chain dependencies and end-market cyclicality for each, with NXPI potentially facing higher scrutiny around guidance execution. Market sentiment reflects shared semiconductor exposure but differentiates on specific catalysts, with NXPI’s earnings reaction illustrating short-term disconnects between fundamentals and price action.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as revenue trajectory, end-market positioning, and relative consistency in recent reporting, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to NXPI. The company’s demonstrated sequential and year-over-year growth, combined with commentary on emerging artificial intelligence applications, provides a clearer near-term catalyst profile compared with broader cyclical influences affecting MCHP. This assessment remains probabilistic and subject to ongoing market developments rather than a definitive ranking.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MCHP is a Hold and NXPI is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MCHP’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileNXPI’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MCHP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NXPI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MCHP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NXPI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MCHP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NXPI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
MCHP (@Semiconductors) experienced а -2.42% price change this week, while NXPI (@Semiconductors) price change was -3.85% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -7.69%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +37.02%.
Reported Earning Dates
MCHP is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-7.69% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MCHP | NXPI | MCHP / NXPI | |
| Capitalization | 41.3B | 56.9B | 73% |
| EBITDA | 1.18B | 5.06B | 23% |
| Gain YTD | 20.275 | 3.606 | 562% |
| P/E Ratio | 111.88 | 19.25 | 581% |
| Revenue | 4.71B | 13.2B | 36% |
| Total Cash | 240M | 2.86B | 8% |
| Total Debt | 5.54B | 11B | 50% |
MCHP | NXPI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 52 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 34 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 85 | 79 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 88 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 81 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (34) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (73). This means that NXPI’s stock grew somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's Profit vs Risk Rating (79) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (85). This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's SMR Rating (35) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (88). This means that NXPI’s stock grew somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
MCHP's Price Growth Rating (61) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NXPI (64). This means that MCHP’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's P/E Growth Rating (81) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (99). This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
| MCHP | NXPI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 67% | 16 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 60% |
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MCHP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCHP has been closely correlated with MCHPP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 98% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MCHP jumps, then MCHPP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MCHP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCHP | 100% | -1.65% | ||
| MCHPP - MCHP | 98% Closely correlated | -1.24% | ||
| ADI - MCHP | 80% Closely correlated | -0.81% | ||
| TXN - MCHP | 80% Closely correlated | -0.69% | ||
| NXPI - MCHP | 79% Closely correlated | -1.35% | ||
| ON - MCHP | 76% Closely correlated | -2.44% | ||
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NXPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NXPI has been closely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NXPI jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NXPI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 100% | -1.35% | ||
| MCHP - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | -1.65% | ||
| ENTG - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | +0.24% | ||
| MCHPP - NXPI | 77% Closely correlated | -1.24% | ||
| LRCX - NXPI | 77% Closely correlated | +1.09% | ||
| KLAC - NXPI | 76% Closely correlated | -0.75% | ||
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