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MCHP vs NXPI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Microchip Technology (MCHP) vs. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both MCHP and NXPI have delivered strong recent gains in the semiconductor sector, with NXPI up approximately 50% over the past month and MCHP around 45%.
- MCHP anticipates robust Q4 earnings of $0.50 per share, a 354% year-over-year increase, boosting sentiment.
- NXPI has surged over 25% following strong quarterly results and rising automotive chip demand.
- MCHP shows superior 12-month returns of 94% compared to NXPI's 56%, highlighting longer-term outperformance.
- Both stocks benefit from trends in AI infrastructure, automotive, and industrial applications, but NXPI has heavier automotive exposure.
- Market caps stand at roughly $50B for MCHP and $60B for NXPI, reflecting their scale in mixed-signal semiconductors.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines MCHP and NXPI, two leading semiconductor firms specializing in embedded systems and mixed-signal solutions. Both operate in high-growth areas like automotive electronics, industrial automation, and IoT (Internet of Things), making them relevant for investors tracking the chip sector's recovery. Traders focused on relative performance, momentum shifts, and sector tailwinds will find value in analyzing their recent trajectories amid broader market volatility. This analysis highlights key contrasts in business models, performance, and positioning to aid informed decision-making in today's dynamic environment.
MCHP Overview and Recent Performance
Microchip Technology Incorporated is a leading provider of smart, connected, and secure embedded control solutions, including microcontrollers (MCUs), analog semiconductors, and interface products for industrial, automotive, consumer, aerospace, and defense applications. In recent weeks, MCHP stock has exhibited strong upward momentum, rising over 13% in the past week and nearly 45% in the recent month, approaching its 52-week high near $94. This performance stems from anticipation of robust Q4 earnings, positive demand for its MCU portfolio, and broader semiconductor recovery. Sentiment has shifted positively due to new security chip launches and sustained growth in industrial and automotive end-markets, though cyclical risks persist.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors N.V. designs high-performance mixed-signal semiconductors for automotive, industrial, IoT, and mobile applications, emphasizing secure connectivity solutions like processors, sensors, and RF (radio frequency) components. Recent market activity has propelled NXPI shares higher, with gains exceeding 20% weekly and around 50% monthly, trading near $225. Key drivers include impressive quarterly earnings beats, optimistic revenue outlooks tied to automotive chip demand, and AI-related tailwinds. Investor sentiment reflects confidence in NXPI's automotive dominance, tempered by supply chain and end-market cyclicality.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MCHP and NXPI both thrive in mixed-signal semiconductors but diverge in focus: MCHP emphasizes microcontrollers and broad embedded solutions, while NXPI leads in automotive-grade processors and secure connectivity. Growth drivers include AI edge computing and EV (electric vehicle) adoption for both, though NXPI's heavier automotive exposure (over 50% revenue) offers unique catalysts amid rising chip demand. Recent momentum favors NXPI's sharper surge, but MCHP demonstrates greater trend consistency over 12 months. Risk factors are similar—semiconductor cyclicality and geopolitical tensions—but NXPI faces higher automotive volatility. Sector exposure overlaps in industrial and IoT, with market sentiment tilting toward recovery plays. Valuation trade-offs show MCHP's relative stability versus NXPI's higher growth potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors NXPI in the short term, based on its explosive recent momentum, superior monthly gains, and positioning in high-demand automotive and AI applications. MCHP offers compelling stability and earnings catalysts, making it a close contender for longer horizons. Observable trends suggest NXPI's relative strength amid current sector rotation, though both warrant monitoring for sustained performance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MCHP is a Hold and NXPI is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MCHP’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileNXPI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MCHP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NXPI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MCHP’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NXPI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MCHP’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NXPI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MCHP (@Semiconductors) experienced а -8.95% price change this week, while NXPI (@Semiconductors) price change was -11.28% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -8.11%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was +89.58%.
Reported Earning Dates
MCHP is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-8.11% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MCHP | NXPI | MCHP / NXPI | |
| Capitalization | 47.7B | 76.4B | 62% |
| EBITDA | 1.18B | 4.72B | 25% |
| Gain YTD | 39.472 | 32.241 | 122% |
| P/E Ratio | 399.59 | 28.92 | 1,381% |
| Revenue | 4.71B | 12.6B | 37% |
| Total Cash | 240M | 3.38B | 7% |
| Total Debt | 5.54B | 11.7B | 47% |
MCHP | NXPI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 73 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 89 Overvalued | 44 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 73 | 51 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 10 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 35 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (44) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (89). This means that NXPI’s stock grew somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's Profit vs Risk Rating (51) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (73). This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's SMR Rating (36) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (91). This means that NXPI’s stock grew somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's Price Growth Rating (10) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (41). This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's P/E Growth Rating (35) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (62). This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
| MCHP | NXPI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 84% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 17 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 65% |
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MCHP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCHP has been closely correlated with MCHPP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MCHP jumps, then MCHPP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MCHP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCHP | 100% | -3.89% | ||
| MCHPP - MCHP | 96% Closely correlated | -3.55% | ||
| TXN - MCHP | 76% Closely correlated | -2.29% | ||
| KLIC - MCHP | 75% Closely correlated | -0.67% | ||
| ADI - MCHP | 75% Closely correlated | -2.95% | ||
| NXPI - MCHP | 75% Closely correlated | -3.98% | ||
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