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MCHP vs NXPI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Microchip Technology (MCHP) vs. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Microchip Technology (MCHP) and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) both operate in the semiconductor sector with exposure to automotive and industrial markets, though NXPI maintains broader diversification and larger scale.
- Recent market activity shows MCHP experiencing sharper price declines over the past several weeks compared to NXPI, amid ongoing cyclical recovery efforts at the smaller firm.
- Both companies have posted year-to-date gains near 25%, outpacing broader market benchmarks, supported by improving semiconductor demand trends.
- NXPI benefits from stronger positioning in automotive applications and higher analyst price targets, while MCHP focuses on margin expansion through its recovery plan.
- Upcoming earnings releases and sector-wide sentiment continue to influence relative performance, with observable differences in momentum and stability.
- Market positioning highlights trade-offs between MCHP’s recovery-driven growth potential and NXPI’s established scale and steadier profile.
Introduction
Investors and traders seeking to understand relative performance within the semiconductor industry often compare Microchip Technology (MCHP) and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI). These companies share exposure to key end markets such as automotive and industrial electronics, yet differ in scale, business focus, and recent momentum. This comparison provides objective insights into price behavior, operational developments, and market sentiment over recent weeks. It serves portfolio managers, active traders, and long-term investors evaluating sector allocation, cyclical recovery plays, or established industry leaders in the current environment.
MCHP Overview and Recent Performance
Microchip Technology (MCHP) designs and manufactures microcontroller, analog, and mixed-signal semiconductors used across embedded control applications. In recent market activity, shares have faced downward pressure, declining approximately 19% over the past 30 days amid broader sector volatility and adjustments following earlier gains. Year-to-date performance remains positive near 25%, reflecting progress in the company’s recovery from prior industry headwinds. Key influences include sequential revenue growth reported in fiscal fourth-quarter results and ongoing execution of margin-improvement initiatives. Sentiment has been shaped by leadership transitions and product expansions, contributing to measured investor caution in recent weeks.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) develops automotive, industrial, and Internet of Things (IoT) semiconductor solutions, with particular strength in secure connectivity and processing. Recent market activity shows shares trading near $277–280 levels, with year-to-date gains around 25–26% that have outpaced broader indices. Performance has been supported by sustained automotive demand and positive analyst commentary ahead of the second-quarter earnings release. Over the past several weeks, price movements have reflected sector rotations and pre-earnings positioning rather than company-specific catalysts. Overall sentiment remains constructive, underpinned by the firm’s diversified revenue base and established market presence.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business model terms, Microchip Technology (MCHP) emphasizes a broad portfolio of microcontrollers and analog products with a recovery-oriented focus, while NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) prioritizes high-performance automotive and secure IoT solutions at greater scale. Growth drivers differ accordingly: MCHP highlights margin expansion through operational discipline, whereas NXPI leverages established automotive cycles and analog pricing trends. Recent momentum favors NXPI on relative stability, though both have delivered comparable year-to-date returns. Risk factors include cyclical semiconductor exposure for each, with MCHP showing higher recent price volatility. Sector exposure overlaps significantly, yet NXPI’s larger market capitalization and analyst support contribute to differing sentiment profiles. Trade-offs center on MCHP’s potential for accelerated rebound versus NXPI’s more mature positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, earnings visibility, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to NXP Semiconductors (NXPI). Its steadier momentum, broader diversification, and higher average analyst targets suggest more consistent near-term stability compared to Microchip Technology (MCHP)’s sharper recent pullback amid recovery dynamics. This assessment reflects data-driven pattern recognition rather than guarantees, as market conditions can shift rapidly.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MCHP is a Buy and NXPI is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MCHP’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileNXPI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MCHP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NXPI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MCHP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NXPI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MCHP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NXPI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MCHP (@Semiconductors) experienced а -7.79% price change this week, while NXPI (@Semiconductors) price change was -11.59% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -2.80%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was +36.24%.
Reported Earning Dates
MCHP is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-2.80% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MCHP | NXPI | MCHP / NXPI | |
| Capitalization | 40.7B | 61.8B | 66% |
| EBITDA | 1.18B | 4.72B | 25% |
| Gain YTD | 19.006 | 13.917 | 137% |
| P/E Ratio | 340.95 | 48.80 | 699% |
| Revenue | 4.71B | 12.6B | 37% |
| Total Cash | 240M | 3.38B | 7% |
| Total Debt | 5.54B | 11.7B | 47% |
MCHP | NXPI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 90 Overvalued | 57 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 89 | 71 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 77 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (57) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (90). This means that NXPI’s stock grew somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's Profit vs Risk Rating (71) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (89). This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's SMR Rating (36) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (90). This means that NXPI’s stock grew somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's Price Growth Rating (61) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (63). This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for MCHP (77). This means that NXPI’s stock grew significantly faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
| MCHP | NXPI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 77% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 69% | 10 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 64% |
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MCHP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCHP has been closely correlated with MCHPP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 97% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MCHP jumps, then MCHPP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MCHP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCHP | 100% | +5.10% | ||
| MCHPP - MCHP | 97% Closely correlated | +4.17% | ||
| TXN - MCHP | 81% Closely correlated | +2.75% | ||
| ADI - MCHP | 80% Closely correlated | +3.76% | ||
| NXPI - MCHP | 80% Closely correlated | +1.73% | ||
| ON - MCHP | 76% Closely correlated | +6.19% | ||
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NXPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NXPI has been closely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NXPI jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NXPI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 100% | +1.73% | ||
| MCHP - NXPI | 80% Closely correlated | +5.10% | ||
| MCHPP - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | +4.17% | ||
| ENTG - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | +9.44% | ||
| LRCX - NXPI | 77% Closely correlated | +17.98% | ||
| KLAC - NXPI | 76% Closely correlated | +5.96% | ||
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