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LYB vs OLN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? LyondellBasell Industries (LYB) vs. Olin Corporation (OLN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LYB has significantly outperformed OLN year-to-date with a 68.67% return compared to OLN's 29.83%, driven by strong momentum in recent months.
- LYB offers a higher dividend yield at 6.76% versus OLN's 2.98%, appealing to income-focused investors in the cyclical chemicals sector.
- Recent market activity shows LYB pulling back after a sharp 40% monthly gain, while OLN trades near its 52-week high with more volatility (beta 1.37 vs. LYB's 0.44).
- Analyst consensus rates both as "Hold," with LYB's average price target at $75.82 (upside from ~$72) and OLN's at $26.79 (flat from ~$27).
- LYB's larger market cap ($23B) provides greater stability than OLN's ($3B), amid sector headwinds like energy costs and supply disruptions.
- Tickeron's AI tools highlight differing risk-reward profiles, with LYB favored for trend consistency.
Introduction
Both LYB and OLN operate in the chemicals sector, exposing investors to commodity cycles, petrochemical demand, and global energy trends. This comparison is relevant for traders seeking relative performance insights and long-term investors evaluating dividend stability versus growth potential in basic materials. With recent supply tightness and economic shifts influencing sentiment, understanding their business models, momentum, and risk factors aids informed positioning in a volatile market environment.
LYB Overview and Recent Performance
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB) is a leading global producer of plastics, chemicals, and refined products, with a focus on polyolefins and advanced polymers. In recent market activity, LYB shares surged over 40% in the prior month amid energy shocks and petrochemical supply constraints but have pulled back around 12% in the ensuing weeks, trading near $72 with a market cap of $23 billion. Year-to-date gains exceed 68%, outpacing the sector, bolstered by a high dividend yield of 6.76% and cost-saving initiatives targeting $1.3 billion by 2026. Sentiment has been supported by analyst upgrades and anticipation for Q1 earnings, though high debt levels (144% debt-to-equity) and negative EPS (TTM -$2.48) reflect cyclical pressures.
OLN Overview and Recent Performance
Olin Corporation (OLN) specializes in basic chemicals, including chlorine, caustic soda, and Winchester ammunition, serving industrial and defense markets. Recent weeks have seen OLN consolidate near $27, up 30% year-to-date but lagging broader sector rallies, with a smaller $3 billion market cap. Performance reflects steady dividend payments at 2.98% yield amid Q4 challenges, including a pricing lawsuit charge, yet shares show resilience with a relative strength uptick. Higher volatility (beta 1.37) and negative EPS (TTM -$0.88) highlight exposure to ammunition demand and chemical pricing, with upcoming Q1 earnings calls drawing focus on operational improvements.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
LYB and OLN share chemicals sector exposure but differ in scale and focus: LYB's diversified polyolefins model drives volume growth, while OLN's specialty chemicals and defense segments offer niche resilience. Recent momentum favors LYB's 68% YTD surge over OLN's 30%, though OLN's lower P/E ratio (price-to-earnings, 48.57 trailing) suggests relative value. Growth drivers include LYB's circular economy push and OLN's ammunition demand, contrasted by shared risks like energy volatility and high leverage (both over 140% debt-to-equity). Market sentiment leans toward LYB's stability (lower beta), positioning it better for broad recovery, while OLN suits higher-risk trades.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors LYB over OLN, citing superior trend consistency, YTD outperformance, and lower volatility amid recent petrochemical catalysts. LYB's higher dividend and scale provide probabilistic stability, though OLN could gain if defense spending accelerates. This assessment reflects observable data patterns, not guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LYB is a Hold and OLN is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LYB’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileOLN’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- LYB’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- OLN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LYB’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OLN’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LYB’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- OLN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
LYB (@Chemicals: Specialty) experienced а -5.36% price change this week, while OLN (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) price change was -9.05% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -0.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.30%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Major Diversified industry was -3.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.54%.
Reported Earning Dates
LYB is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
OLN is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Specialty (-0.32% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
@Chemicals: Major Diversified (-3.73% weekly)The major diversified chemicals industry includes companies that produce a wide range of chemicals and industrial gases. The products are often used as raw materials in the manufacturing of various types of goods, including plastics, paints, carpets, and fixtures to name a few. Major companies making diversified chemicals include DuPont de Nemours Inc., Celanese Corporation, Celanese Corporation and Westlake Chemical Corporation.
| LYB | OLN | LYB / OLN | |
| Capitalization | 19.4B | 2.51B | 773% |
| EBITDA | 1.29B | 408M | 316% |
| Gain YTD | 41.883 | 7.259 | 577% |
| P/E Ratio | 98.77 | 48.57 | 203% |
| Revenue | 29.7B | 6.72B | 442% |
| Total Cash | 2.64B | 192M | 1,372% |
| Total Debt | 14.3B | 3.31B | 432% |
LYB | OLN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 51 | 52 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 6 Undervalued | 18 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 95 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 9 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LYB's Valuation (6) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as OLN (18) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that LYB’s stock grew similarly to OLN’s over the last 12 months.
LYB's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as OLN (100) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that LYB’s stock grew similarly to OLN’s over the last 12 months.
LYB's SMR Rating (95) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as OLN (95) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that LYB’s stock grew similarly to OLN’s over the last 12 months.
LYB's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as OLN (61) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that LYB’s stock grew similarly to OLN’s over the last 12 months.
LYB's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as OLN (11) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that LYB’s stock grew similarly to OLN’s over the last 12 months.
| LYB | OLN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 59% | 5 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 69% |
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