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MCHP vs VUG
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MCHP is a Hold and VUG is a Hold.
MCHP in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026
MCHP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 32 of 42 cases where MCHP's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +3.67% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCHP advanced for three days, in 193 of 288 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MCHP as a result. In 78 of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MCHP turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 85%.
MCHP moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MCHP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The 50-day moving average for MCHP moved below the 200-day moving average on September 17, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCHP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
The Aroon Indicator for MCHP entered a downward trend on September 24, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 44 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MCHP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.273) is normal, around the industry mean (6.008). P/E Ratio (109.588) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.098). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.233) is also within normal values, averaging (3.761). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.446) is also within normal values, averaging (45.794).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MCHP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
VUG in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026
VUG moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 30 of 33 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for VUG moved out of overbought territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 35 of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 76%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VUG as a result. In 66 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VUG turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VUG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.61% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VUG advanced for three days, in 304 of 358 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
VUG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 317 of 354 cases where VUG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
MCHP | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 98 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 82 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 44 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| MCHP | VUG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 84% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 86% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 18 days ago 85% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 75% | 8 days ago 79% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 90% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MCHP’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while .
- MCHP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MCHP’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish.
- MCHP’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 8 bearish.
Price Growth
MCHP (@Semiconductors) experienced а +0.35% price change this weekfor the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -2.90%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -17.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.20%.
Reported Earning Dates
MCHP is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-2.90% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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