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MTCH vs Z
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Match Group (MTCH) vs. Zillow Group (Z) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MTCH shows stronger recent monthly momentum with approximately 23% gains, driven by a major investment announcement, while Z posted around 9% monthly rise amid housing market fluctuations.
- Z leads year-to-date performance at 34% versus MTCH's 21%, supported by 18% quarterly revenue growth compared to MTCH's 2%.
- MTCH trades at a forward P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) of 9.75, significantly lower than Z's 22, indicating better valuation for profitability-focused investors.
- Both stocks have upcoming Q1 earnings reports, with MTCH on May 5 and Z on May 6, potentially influencing short-term sentiment.
- Z exhibits higher beta (2.11) signaling greater volatility than MTCH (1.30), appealing to risk-tolerant traders.
Introduction
Match Group (MTCH) and Zillow Group (Z) represent distinct segments of consumer internet platforms: online dating services versus real estate marketplaces. This comparison is relevant for investors navigating tech-driven consumer stocks, particularly those balancing growth potential against valuation in a volatile market. Traders eyeing short-term catalysts like upcoming earnings or sector rotations may find insights into relative momentum and risk profiles, while long-term holders can assess business model resilience amid economic shifts.
MTCH Overview and Recent Performance
Match Group (MTCH), the parent of Tinder and Hinge, operates a portfolio of dating apps generating revenue primarily through subscriptions and in-app purchases. With a market capitalization of about $9 billion, the company maintains solid profitability, evidenced by a trailing P/E ratio of 16.25 and ROA (return on assets) of 13.26%. In recent market activity, MTCH shares have risen sharply, reflecting approximately 23% gains over the recent month and 21% year-to-date, trading near its 52-week high of $39.20. Sentiment has been bolstered by a $100 million investment in Sniffies, a niche social app, signaling portfolio diversification amid user engagement challenges. Quarterly revenue growth stands at 2.1%, with Q1 earnings due May 5 expected to show EPS expansion.
Z Overview and Recent Performance
Zillow Group (Z), through its Zillow and Trulia platforms, connects homebuyers, sellers, and renters via listings, mortgages, and rentals. Market cap hovers around $10.8 billion, with quarterly revenue growth of 18.1% outpacing peers, though profitability remains modest at 0.47% ROE (return on equity). Recent weeks have seen Z advance about 9% monthly and 34% year-to-date, rebounding from a 52-week low of $39.05 despite a high of $93.88 earlier. Performance reflects sensitivity to mortgage rate fluctuations and lead-generation tweaks, with analysts noting upside potential amid uneven strategy execution. Q1 earnings are set for May 6.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models diverge sharply: MTCH relies on recurring subscriptions in a stable dating sector, contrasting Z's cyclical real estate exposure tied to interest rates and housing inventory. Growth drivers favor Z with 18% revenue acceleration versus MTCH's modest 2%, but MTCH offers superior profitability and lower forward P/E. Recent momentum tilts to MTCH amid its investment catalyst, while Z contends with macro headwinds. Risk factors include Z's elevated beta (2.11) and high trailing P/E (503), versus MTCH's balanced profile. Market sentiment anticipates earnings beats for both, with analysts projecting 64% upside for Z but value trade-offs for MTCH.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward MTCH based on consistent recent trend strength, attractive forward valuation, and lower volatility relative to peers. While Z shows robust revenue momentum, MTCH's stability and catalysts position it favorably in the near term, though outcomes hinge on earnings delivery.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MTCH is a Hold and Z is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MTCH’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileZ’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MTCH’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- Z’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MTCH’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while Z’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MTCH’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- Z’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
MTCH (@Internet Software/Services) experienced а +2.55% price change this week, while Z (@Internet Software/Services) price change was -1.80% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Internet Software/Services industry was -2.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.91%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12.32%.
Reported Earning Dates
MTCH is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Z is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Internet Software/Services (-2.17% weekly)Companies in this industry typically license software on a subscription basis and it is centrally hosted. Such products usually go by the names web-based software, on-demand software and hosted software. Cloud computing has emerged as a major force in this space, making it possible to save files to a remote database (without requiring them to be saved on local storage device); as long as a device has access to the web, it can access the data and the software programs to run it. This has in many cases facilitated cost efficiency, speed and security of data for businesses and consumers. Alphabet Inc., Facebook, Inc. and Yahoo! Inc. are some well-known names in the internet software/services industry.
| MTCH | Z | MTCH / Z | |
| Capitalization | 8.27B | 7.37B | 112% |
| EBITDA | 1.04B | 354M | 295% |
| Gain YTD | 11.124 | -52.932 | -21% |
| P/E Ratio | 13.53 | 128.44 | 11% |
| Revenue | 3.52B | 2.69B | 131% |
| Total Cash | 1.02B | 783M | 131% |
| Total Debt | 3.97B | 429M | 926% |
MTCH | Z | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 57 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 14 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 31 | 86 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 99 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTCH's Valuation (5) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is significantly better than the same rating for Z (82) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that MTCH’s stock grew significantly faster than Z’s over the last 12 months.
MTCH's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as Z (100) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that MTCH’s stock grew similarly to Z’s over the last 12 months.
MTCH's SMR Rating (14) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is significantly better than the same rating for Z (91) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that MTCH’s stock grew significantly faster than Z’s over the last 12 months.
MTCH's Price Growth Rating (31) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for Z (86) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that MTCH’s stock grew somewhat faster than Z’s over the last 12 months.
MTCH's P/E Growth Rating (62) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for Z (99) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that MTCH’s stock grew somewhat faster than Z’s over the last 12 months.
| MTCH | Z | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 64% | 5 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 77% | 9 days ago 81% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 80% |
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MTCH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTCH has been loosely correlated with CARG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MTCH jumps, then CARG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTCH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTCH | 100% | +0.40% | ||
| CARG - MTCH | 50% Loosely correlated | +2.25% | ||
| Z - MTCH | 49% Loosely correlated | +0.31% | ||
| ZG - MTCH | 48% Loosely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| PPLI - MTCH | 45% Loosely correlated | +0.80% | ||
| SMWB - MTCH | 42% Loosely correlated | +2.46% | ||
More | ||||
Z and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, Z has been closely correlated with ZG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 99% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if Z jumps, then ZG could also see price increases.