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MTSI vs TSEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MTSI) vs. Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MTSI delivered 24.5% year-over-year quarterly revenue growth recently, supported by demand in data centers and defense markets.
- TSEM has outperformed with over 86% year-to-date gains, reaching new highs amid AI networking advancements.
- Both stocks trade at elevated price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios above 100, reflecting growth expectations in the analog semiconductor sector.
- TSEM's foundry model provides higher revenue scale at $1.51 billion TTM versus MTSI's $1.02 billion, but MTSI maintains stronger margins.
- Recent analyst targets favor upside for both, with MTSI at an average $273 and TSEM at $169, amid sector momentum.
- Tickeron's AI currently leans toward TSEM for superior short-term momentum and trend consistency.
Introduction
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MTSI) and Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) are key players in the analog and specialty semiconductor space, supplying critical components for AI infrastructure, telecommunications, and defense applications. This comparison analyzes their business models, recent market performance, and positioning amid surging demand for data center optics and RF technologies. Traders seeking exposure to semiconductor growth and investors evaluating relative momentum in a volatile sector will find these insights valuable for assessing trade-offs in risk, valuation, and catalysts.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) designs and manufactures analog semiconductors, including amplifiers, switches, and modules for RF, microwave, and lightwave applications. The company serves carrier infrastructure, industrial/defense, and data center markets, with products integrated into wireless base stations, radar systems, and optical networks.
In recent market activity, MTSI shares have climbed significantly, trading around $278 with a 52-week range of $93 to $281 and year-to-date gains exceeding 62%. Revenue reached $1.02 billion on a trailing twelve-month (TTM) basis, up 24.5% year-over-year in the latest quarter, fueled by expansions in data centers and defense end-markets. Analyst sentiment remains bullish, with price targets raised to $300 amid highlights on next-gen AI optical chips, though high valuations (trailing P/E of 125) reflect growth pricing. Beta of 1.48 indicates elevated volatility tied to sector cycles.
TSEM Overview and Recent Performance
Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) operates as an independent foundry, offering customizable process technologies like SiGe (silicon-germanium), RF CMOS (complementary metal-oxide-semiconductor), and power management for analog and mixed-signal integrated circuits. It caters to automotive, consumer electronics, and communications sectors through partnerships with fabless firms.
Recent weeks have seen TSEM stock surge to around $224, with a dramatic 52-week range from $34 to $229 and year-to-date returns over 86%. TTM revenue stands at $1.51 billion, supported by AI power technologies and silicon photonics demand. Despite a patent infringement lawsuit from GlobalFoundries, shares hit record highs, bolstered by analyst upgrades to $230 targets. The stock's momentum reflects foundry capacity utilization in AI data centers, though legal risks and a P/E near 117 warrant monitoring.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MTSI and TSEM both thrive in analog semiconductors but differ in models: MTSI as a fabless designer emphasizes high-margin RF/optical components for defense stability, while TSEM's pure-play foundry scales volume via custom processes for broader consumer and auto exposure.
Growth drivers include AI data centers for both, but TSEM edges in revenue ($1.51B TTM vs. $1.02B) and cash reserves, while MTSI leads in ROE (13%) and quarterly growth. Recent momentum favors TSEM's 92% YTD surge over MTSI's 62%, though MTSI shows steadier trends. Risks contrast: TSEM faces patent litigation and cyclical foundry utilization, MTSI telecom downturns. Market sentiment is positive, with comparable high P/Es signaling premium growth pricing; betas around 1.5 highlight shared volatility to semis cycles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors TSEM over MTSI, citing stronger short-term momentum, superior year-to-date performance exceeding 86%, and consistent uptrends amid AI infrastructure catalysts. While MTSI offers compelling long-term fundamentals like revenue acceleration, TSEM's relative positioning suggests higher probability of near-term outperformance in the current bullish semiconductor environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MTSI is a Buy and TSEM is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MTSI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTSEM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- MTSI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TSEM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MTSI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TSEM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MTSI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TSEM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MTSI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +1.04% price change this week, while TSEM (@Semiconductors) price change was +5.30% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -0.06%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was +92.80%.
Reported Earning Dates
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
TSEM is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-0.06% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MTSI | TSEM | MTSI / TSEM | |
| Capitalization | 28.4B | 33.1B | 86% |
| EBITDA | 276M | 588M | 47% |
| Gain YTD | 117.276 | 140.802 | 83% |
| P/E Ratio | 168.62 | 146.69 | 115% |
| Revenue | 1.07B | 1.62B | 66% |
| Total Cash | 665M | 1.5B | 44% |
| Total Debt | 377M | 156M | 242% |
MTSI | TSEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 24 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 5 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 17 | 2 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTSI's Valuation (84) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSEM (87). This means that MTSI’s stock grew similarly to TSEM’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSEM (5). This means that MTSI’s stock grew similarly to TSEM’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's SMR Rating (62) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSEM (77). This means that MTSI’s stock grew similarly to TSEM’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (36). This means that TSEM’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (17). This means that TSEM’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| MTSI | TSEM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 69% | 7 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 82% |
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MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with KLAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then KLAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | -6.08% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | -9.17% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | -9.33% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | -3.38% | ||
| AMKR - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | -7.30% | ||
| AMAT - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | -8.48% | ||
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TSEM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSEM has been loosely correlated with AMKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TSEM jumps, then AMKR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TSEM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSEM | 100% | -10.76% | ||
| AMKR - TSEM | 61% Loosely correlated | -7.30% | ||
| AMBA - TSEM | 60% Loosely correlated | -7.40% | ||
| MTSI - TSEM | 60% Loosely correlated | -6.08% | ||
| KLIC - TSEM | 60% Loosely correlated | +2.32% | ||
| KLAC - TSEM | 60% Loosely correlated | -9.17% | ||
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