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MTSI vs TSEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) vs. Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MTSI has demonstrated resilience amid semiconductor sector volatility, supported by demand in data centers and defense applications.
- TSEM announced a major capacity expansion in Japan backed by government funding, positioning it for growth in silicon photonics and AI-related markets.
- Both stocks operate in the semiconductor space but differ in business models: MTSI focuses on proprietary analog and RF solutions, while TSEM operates as a specialty foundry.
- Recent market activity shows MTSI benefiting from strong quarterly results and analyst attention, whereas TSEM has seen share price movement tied to expansion news and broader chip sector trends.
- Risk factors include valuation concerns for both amid high growth expectations and exposure to cyclical semiconductor demand.
- Relative performance in recent weeks reflects shared tailwinds from AI infrastructure spending alongside sector-wide profit-taking pressures.
Introduction
Investors and traders often compare MTSI and TSEM due to their distinct yet complementary roles within the semiconductor industry. MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. specializes in high-performance analog solutions, while Tower Semiconductor Ltd. provides foundry services for specialized processes including silicon photonics. This comparison appeals to those seeking exposure to AI-driven data center growth, defense electronics, and advanced manufacturing capacity. Market participants monitoring relative performance, sector momentum, and company-specific catalysts may find the analysis useful for portfolio positioning decisions in the current environment.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. designs and manufactures high-performance analog semiconductor solutions, including radio frequency and microwave components used in communications, defense, and data center infrastructure. In recent market activity, the stock has shown resilience following strong quarterly results driven by data center demand. Analysts have adjusted price targets amid ongoing interest in AI-related applications, with the company scheduled to report third-quarter fiscal 2026 results in early August. Sentiment has been influenced by broader semiconductor sector movements, including profit-taking episodes that affected share prices across the industry. Overall positioning reflects sustained interest in specialized analog technologies amid expanding digital infrastructure needs.
TSEM Overview and Recent Performance
Tower Semiconductor Ltd. operates as a specialty semiconductor foundry, offering manufacturing services for analog, power management, and silicon photonics technologies. Recent developments include a significant capacity expansion announcement in Japan, supported by substantial government grants, aimed at scaling production for AI and data center applications. In recent weeks, the stock has experienced volatility aligned with sector-wide trends and positive reactions to growth initiatives. Performance reflects increasing focus on advanced packaging and photonics capabilities, with earnings discussions highlighting revenue growth potential. Market sentiment remains tied to execution on expansion plans and overall demand dynamics in specialty semiconductor markets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MACOM Technology Solutions and Tower Semiconductor both participate in semiconductor markets supporting AI infrastructure, yet their business models create distinct profiles. MTSI emphasizes proprietary product development in analog and RF segments with direct exposure to defense and communications end-markets, offering potentially higher margins but greater reliance on design wins. In contrast, TSEM functions as a foundry partner, providing manufacturing services that benefit from customer capacity commitments and government incentives, such as the recent Japan expansion. Recent momentum for MTSI has centered on product demand and earnings visibility, while TSEM momentum stems from announced capacity growth. Risk considerations include cyclical demand fluctuations for both, with MTSI facing product-specific competition and TSEM navigating execution and utilization rates. Sector exposure overlaps in data centers, though MTSI carries additional defense sensitivity and TSEM benefits from foundry diversification. Market sentiment for each reflects shared AI tailwinds tempered by valuation scrutiny in recent trading sessions.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency in recent market activity, stability relative to sector movements, and positioning around growth catalysts, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to MTSI over TSEM. This assessment considers sustained data-center demand visibility and earnings-related momentum for MTSI, balanced against TSEM’s expansion-driven outlook which carries longer-term execution considerations. The edge remains probabilistic and subject to evolving market conditions rather than a definitive ranking.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MTSI is a Buy and TSEM is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MTSI’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileTSEM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MTSI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TSEM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MTSI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TSEM’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MTSI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TSEM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
MTSI (@Semiconductors) experienced а -5.82% price change this week, while TSEM (@Semiconductors) price change was -5.87% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -2.82%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was +36.18%.
Reported Earning Dates
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
TSEM is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-2.82% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MTSI | TSEM | MTSI / TSEM | |
| Capitalization | 19.2B | 25B | 77% |
| EBITDA | 276M | 588M | 47% |
| Gain YTD | 46.801 | 87.081 | 54% |
| P/E Ratio | 107.00 | 101.70 | 105% |
| Revenue | 1.07B | 1.62B | 66% |
| Total Cash | 665M | 1.5B | 44% |
| Total Debt | 377M | 156M | 242% |
MTSI | TSEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 81 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 79 Overvalued | 85 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 4 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTSI's Valuation (79) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSEM (85). This means that MTSI’s stock grew similarly to TSEM’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's Profit vs Risk Rating (34) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (46). This means that TSEM’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's SMR Rating (62) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSEM (77). This means that MTSI’s stock grew similarly to TSEM’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (58). This means that TSEM’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (49). This means that TSEM’s stock grew somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| MTSI | TSEM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 86% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 70% | 6 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 60% |
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MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with SITM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then SITM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +1.10% | ||
| SITM - MTSI | 72% Closely correlated | +1.39% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +1.38% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | -1.58% | ||
| SMTC - MTSI | 69% Closely correlated | +2.80% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +3.37% | ||
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TSEM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSEM has been loosely correlated with SMTC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TSEM jumps, then SMTC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TSEM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSEM | 100% | +4.03% | ||
| SMTC - TSEM | 66% Loosely correlated | +2.80% | ||
| MTSI - TSEM | 65% Loosely correlated | +1.10% | ||
| AMKR - TSEM | 61% Loosely correlated | +3.34% | ||
| AMBA - TSEM | 60% Loosely correlated | +16.08% | ||
| KLIC - TSEM | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.00% | ||
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