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NEM vs WPM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Newmont Corporation (NEM) vs. Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Newmont Corporation (NEM) has outperformed Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) with approximately 114% one-year returns versus 78%, bolstered by strong gold prices in recent market activity.
- NEM trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 14 compared to WPM's 39, indicating relatively better valuation.
- Recent NEM Q1 2026 earnings beat estimates with $7.3 billion in revenue and record free cash flow (FCF), though shares dipped post-buyback announcement.
- WPM expanded its royalty portfolio via a deal with Spanish Mountain Gold, enhancing long-term gold exposure ahead of upcoming earnings.
- Both stocks benefit from elevated gold prices, but NEM offers higher year-to-date gains of 9% versus WPM's 6%.
- Analysts rate both as buys, with average price targets suggesting upside: $144 for NEM and $187 for WPM.
Introduction
Newmont Corporation (NEM) and Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) represent key players in the precious metals sector, with NEM as a leading gold producer and WPM as a streaming and royalty company. This stock comparison is relevant for investors seeking exposure to gold amid volatile commodity markets and macroeconomic uncertainty. Traders monitoring relative performance, valuation metrics, and sector catalysts will find insights into momentum, risk profiles, and growth drivers. Both have capitalized on rising gold prices in recent weeks, prompting evaluations of which offers superior market positioning.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the world's largest gold mining company, operating a diversified portfolio of mines across multiple continents. In recent market activity, NEM shares have shown resilience, trading around $109 with a market cap exceeding $115 billion. The stock's year-to-date gain of 9% trails its impressive 114% one-year return, supported by sustained high gold prices. Q1 2026 results highlighted record quarterly earnings per share (EPS) of $2.90—beating estimates—$7.3 billion in revenue, and $3.1 billion in FCF, alongside a $6 billion share repurchase authorization and $0.26 dividend. Sentiment has been influenced by these catalysts, though shares dipped about 10% post-earnings amid profit-taking. Analyst consensus remains a strong buy, reflecting optimism on production growth and cost efficiencies.
WPM Overview and Recent Performance
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) operates a streaming business model, providing upfront capital to miners in exchange for the right to purchase gold and silver at fixed low prices (a low-risk alternative to direct mining). Shares recently closed near $126, with a $57 billion market cap. Year-to-date performance stands at 6%, following a solid one-year gain of around 78%, driven by precious metals strength. In recent weeks, WPM bolstered its portfolio through a royalty deal with Spanish Mountain Gold, adding future gold production potential. Upcoming Q1 earnings are anticipated to show growth, contributing to positive sentiment. The higher P/E ratio reflects its stable, high-margin model, with analysts forecasting significant upside.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
NEM and WPM both leverage gold price tailwinds but differ in business models: NEM’s integrated mining exposes it to operational risks and costs, while WPM’s streaming yields higher margins with minimal execution risk. Growth drivers include NEM’s production expansions and buybacks versus WPM’s royalty acquisitions. Recent momentum favors NEM with superior YTD and one-year gains, though WPM offers lower volatility (beta around 0.62). Risk factors for NEM involve mining capex and geopolitics; WPM faces counterparty dependencies. Market sentiment is bullish for both amid gold's safe-haven appeal, but NEM’s valuation edge highlights trade-offs in value versus stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward NEM with higher probability due to its trend consistency (114% one-year return), attractive valuation (P/E of 14), recent earnings catalysts, and relative market positioning versus WPM. While WPM provides stability through its streaming model and portfolio growth, NEM’s momentum and analyst support suggest stronger near-term upside potential in the current gold environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NEM is a Hold and WPM is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NEM’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileWPM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- NEM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WPM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NEM’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WPM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NEM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WPM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
NEM (@Precious Metals) experienced а +7.26% price change this week, while WPM (@Precious Metals) price change was +15.84% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +5.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was +50.64%.
Reported Earning Dates
NEM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
WPM is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+5.22% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| NEM | WPM | NEM / WPM | |
| Capitalization | 129B | 65.3B | 198% |
| EBITDA | 16.2B | 2.4B | 676% |
| Gain YTD | 16.921 | 22.555 | 75% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.65 | 36.34 | 43% |
| Revenue | 25B | 2.75B | 910% |
| Total Cash | 8.78B | 2.17B | 405% |
| Total Debt | 5.53B | 7.66M | 72,200% |
NEM | WPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 21 Undervalued | 21 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 37 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 29 | 94 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NEM's Valuation (21) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (21). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
WPM's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (39). This means that WPM’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's SMR Rating (37) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (43). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (44). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's P/E Growth Rating (29) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for WPM (94). This means that NEM’s stock grew somewhat faster than WPM’s over the last 12 months.
| NEM | WPM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 66% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 76% | 6 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 67% | 8 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 81% |
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