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NEXA vs RIO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) vs. Rio Tinto plc (RIO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) focuses primarily on zinc mining and smelting with operations in Peru and Brazil, while Rio Tinto plc (RIO) operates as a diversified global miner with major exposure to iron ore, copper, and aluminum.
- Over the recent period, NEXA has delivered substantially stronger year-to-date and one-year returns compared with RIO, though both stocks have experienced volatility amid broader metals market conditions.
- NEXA recently announced a cash dividend and is scheduled to report second-quarter earnings in early August 2026, while RIO reported second-quarter iron ore sales that exceeded estimates.
- RIO maintains a larger market capitalization and broader commodity diversification, potentially offering greater stability, whereas NEXA exhibits higher beta and more concentrated exposure to zinc prices.
- Market sentiment for both stocks reflects ongoing analyst coverage with a mix of hold ratings, influenced by commodity price trends and operational updates from the past several weeks.
- Relative performance data indicate NEXA has shown stronger momentum in recent market activity, while RIO has posted more moderate gains with steadier operational metrics.
Introduction
This comparison examines Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) and Rio Tinto plc (RIO), two publicly traded mining companies with distinct business profiles and market exposures. Investors and traders seeking to understand relative performance within the basic materials sector may find this analysis relevant, particularly those evaluating commodity-linked equities amid fluctuating metal prices and global demand trends. The article reviews recent stock behavior, operational developments, and key contrasts to provide a factual basis for assessing positioning in the current environment.
Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) Overview and Recent Performance
Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) is an integrated polymetallic producer focused on zinc mining and smelting, with additional output of copper, lead, and by-products. The company operates mines and smelters primarily in Peru and Brazil. In recent market activity, NEXA shares have shown notable gains, with year-to-date returns exceeding 45 percent and one-year returns surpassing 158 percent as of late July 2026. Recent developments include a cash dividend declaration and upcoming second-quarter earnings scheduled for early August. Operational results from earlier quarters highlighted strong EBITDA growth, though earnings per share occasionally missed estimates, contributing to share price volatility. Sentiment has been supported by positive operational momentum and broader zinc market dynamics over recent weeks.
Rio Tinto plc (RIO) Overview and Recent Performance
Rio Tinto plc (RIO) is a major diversified mining company with significant production of iron ore, copper, aluminum, and other minerals across multiple continents. The company maintains large-scale operations and reports quarterly production and sales figures. In recent market activity, RIO shares have posted year-to-date returns around 14 to 16 percent and one-year returns near 47 percent as of late July 2026. Second-quarter iron ore sales exceeded analyst estimates, though some production categories showed year-over-year declines. Analyst coverage remains active with predominantly hold ratings and occasional target adjustments. Performance has reflected steady operational execution alongside broader commodity price influences over recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) operates with a concentrated focus on zinc and related metals, resulting in higher sensitivity to specific commodity price movements and greater return volatility compared with Rio Tinto plc (RIO). RIO benefits from broader diversification across iron ore and copper, which can provide relative stability during sector rotations. Recent momentum favors NEXA with stronger year-to-date and trailing returns, while RIO has delivered more moderate gains alongside consistent sales beats in key segments. Risk factors for NEXA include its smaller scale and geographic concentration in Latin America, whereas RIO faces exposure to global regulatory and cost pressures. Market sentiment reflects ongoing monitoring of metal demand for both, with NEXA exhibiting more pronounced price swings in recent activity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including stronger relative performance consistency and recent operational catalysts, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to NEXA over RIO in a direct comparison. RIO continues to demonstrate stability through diversification and sales execution, supporting its positioning as a lower-volatility alternative within the sector.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NEXA is a Buy and RIO is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NEXA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileRIO’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- NEXA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- RIO’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NEXA’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RIO’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NEXA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RIO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
NEXA (@Other Metals/Minerals) experienced а +0.21% price change this week, while RIO (@Other Metals/Minerals) price change was -1.46% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Metals/Minerals industry was +5.35%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.63%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15.50%.
Reported Earning Dates
NEXA is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
RIO is expected to report earnings on Oct 13, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Metals/Minerals (+5.35% weekly)The category includes companies that explore for, mine and extract metals, such as copper, diamonds, nickel, cobalt ore, lead, zinc and uranium. BHP, Rio Tinto and Southern Copper Corporation are major players in this space.
| NEXA | RIO | NEXA / RIO | |
| Capitalization | 1.9B | 165B | 1% |
| EBITDA | 1.06B | 26.2B | 4% |
| Gain YTD | 63.597 | 26.135 | 243% |
| P/E Ratio | 6.86 | 13.30 | 52% |
| Revenue | 3.26B | 61.8B | 5% |
| Total Cash | 384M | 9.51B | 4% |
| Total Debt | 1.89B | 22.9B | 8% |
NEXA | RIO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 22 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 1 Undervalued | 3 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 48 | 27 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | 96 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 94 | 23 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NEXA's Valuation (1) in the Other Metals Or Minerals industry is in the same range as RIO (3). This means that NEXA’s stock grew similarly to RIO’s over the last 12 months.
RIO's Profit vs Risk Rating (27) in the Other Metals Or Minerals industry is in the same range as NEXA (48). This means that RIO’s stock grew similarly to NEXA’s over the last 12 months.
NEXA's SMR Rating (45) in the Other Metals Or Minerals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RIO (96). This means that NEXA’s stock grew somewhat faster than RIO’s over the last 12 months.
NEXA's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Other Metals Or Minerals industry is in the same range as RIO (44). This means that NEXA’s stock grew similarly to RIO’s over the last 12 months.
RIO's P/E Growth Rating (23) in the Other Metals Or Minerals industry is significantly better than the same rating for NEXA (94). This means that RIO’s stock grew significantly faster than NEXA’s over the last 12 months.
| NEXA | RIO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 43% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 75% | 10 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 78% | 12 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 1 day ago 65% |
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NEXA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NEXA has been loosely correlated with BHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NEXA jumps, then BHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NEXA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXA | 100% | -1.65% | ||
| BHP - NEXA | 57% Loosely correlated | -3.21% | ||
| RIO - NEXA | 54% Loosely correlated | -2.98% | ||
| SKE - NEXA | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.23% | ||
| WRN - NEXA | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.42% | ||
| VZLA - NEXA | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.58% | ||
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RIO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RIO has been closely correlated with BHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RIO jumps, then BHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RIO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RIO | 100% | -2.98% | ||
| BHP - RIO | 88% Closely correlated | -3.21% | ||
| VALE - RIO | 77% Closely correlated | -1.57% | ||
| WRN - RIO | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.42% | ||
| SKE - RIO | 57% Loosely correlated | -1.23% | ||
| NEXA - RIO | 54% Loosely correlated | -1.65% | ||
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