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NHI vs VTR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? National Health Investors (NHI) vs. Ventas (VTR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- NHI and VTR are both healthcare real estate investment trusts (REITs), focusing on senior housing and related properties amid aging demographics.
- NHI offers a higher dividend yield around 4.7%, appealing to income-focused investors, compared to VTR's approximately 2.5%.
- VTR shows stronger year-to-date gains of about 8.6%, outperforming NHI's 2.8% amid recent market activity.
- NHI recently announced a $560 million portfolio sale and CFO transition, providing liquidity but contributing to short-term price volatility.
- VTR, with a larger market cap near $40 billion, benefits from broader diversification and positive earnings anticipation.
- Analyst targets suggest modest upside for both, with relative performance favoring VTR on momentum.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines NHI and VTR, two prominent healthcare REITs benefiting from demographic tailwinds like the aging U.S. population. Investors seeking stable income through dividends or exposure to senior living and medical properties may find value in analyzing their relative performance. Traders monitoring sector momentum will appreciate insights into recent price behavior, operational updates, and market positioning. In the current environment of interest rate sensitivity and healthcare demand growth, understanding contrasts in scale, yield, and catalysts aids informed decision-making on stock comparison and portfolio allocation.
NHI Overview and Recent Performance
National Health Investors, Inc. (NHI) is a REIT that primarily invests in senior housing, skilled nursing, and assisted living facilities through mortgages, loans, and leases. In recent weeks, the stock has traded around $77-82, within a 52-week range of $68.80 to $91.38, reflecting a market cap of approximately $3.8 billion. Year-to-date performance stands at about 2.8%, lagging broader indices, with a trailing P/E of 25.7 and dividend yield near 4.7%. Sentiment has been influenced by a $560 million sale of a 35-property portfolio to National HealthCare Corporation, boosting liquidity, alongside a CFO succession plan where John Spaid retires and Todd Siefert takes over. These developments, coupled with Q1 2026 earnings and dividend announcements, have driven volatility but underscore portfolio optimization efforts in recent market activity.
VTR Overview and Recent Performance
Ventas, Inc. (VTR) operates as a diversified healthcare REIT owning senior housing communities, outpatient facilities, medical offices, and life science properties. Recently trading near $83-84, with a 52-week range of $61.76 to $88.37 and market cap around $40 billion, it dwarfs peers in scale. Year-to-date gains of roughly 8.6% outpace the S&P 500, supported by a trailing P/E of 154.6—typical for growth-oriented REITs—and a 2.5% dividend yield. Positive sentiment stems from anticipated Q1 2026 earnings on April 27, projecting 16.7% revenue growth and 8.3% FFO (funds from operations) per share increase, fueled by senior housing demand and operational improvements in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
NHI and VTR share healthcare REIT exposure but differ in business models: NHI emphasizes financing via mortgages and leases, yielding higher dividends (4.7% vs. 2.5%) and lower beta (0.66) for stability, while VTR prioritizes property ownership for growth, evident in its larger scale and 25% one-year returns versus NHI's 8%. Growth drivers favor VTR's diversification into life sciences and outpatient care amid rising demand, contrasting NHI's nursing-focused portfolio sales for deleveraging. Risk factors include interest rate sensitivity for both, but NHI's higher payout ratio (120%) signals caution versus VTR's 55%. Market sentiment tilts toward VTR on momentum, though NHI offers better value on price-to-book metrics.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward VTR with higher probability due to superior trend consistency, year-to-date outperformance, diversified growth catalysts, and positive earnings outlook positioning it favorably in the healthcare REIT space relative to NHI.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NHI is a Buy and VTR is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NHI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileVTR’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- NHI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- VTR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NHI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while VTR’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NHI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- VTR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
NHI (@Publishing: Books/Magazines) experienced а +0.37% price change this week, while VTR (@Publishing: Books/Magazines) price change was -0.50% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Publishing: Books/Magazines industry was +1.82%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
NHI is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
VTR is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Publishing: Books/Magazines (+1.82% weekly)The industry includes companies that publish and market books and magazines/periodicals. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Meredith Corporation and Scholastic Corporation are some of the biggest companies in this industry. Like many other industries, publishing companies have branched out into online/digital publications (while retaining their original print business), to capture the burgeoning market in electronic media. Business could be cyclical in certain cases, since weak consumer sentiment during an economic downturn might depress sales of some magazines and books.
| NHI | VTR | NHI / VTR | |
| Capitalization | 3.54B | 41.5B | 9% |
| EBITDA | 287M | 2.35B | 12% |
| Gain YTD | -6.035 | 8.003 | -75% |
| P/E Ratio | 22.89 | 150.98 | 15% |
| Revenue | 401M | 6.13B | 7% |
| Total Cash | 24.9M | 184M | 14% |
| Total Debt | 1.27B | 12.7B | 10% |
NHI | VTR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | 75 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 31 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 72 | 90 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 54 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 72 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NHI's Valuation (13) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is somewhat better than the same rating for VTR (75). This means that NHI’s stock grew somewhat faster than VTR’s over the last 12 months.
VTR's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as NHI (50). This means that VTR’s stock grew similarly to NHI’s over the last 12 months.
NHI's SMR Rating (72) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as VTR (90). This means that NHI’s stock grew similarly to VTR’s over the last 12 months.
VTR's Price Growth Rating (54) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as NHI (62). This means that VTR’s stock grew similarly to NHI’s over the last 12 months.
NHI's P/E Growth Rating (52) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as VTR (72). This means that NHI’s stock grew similarly to VTR’s over the last 12 months.
| NHI | VTR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 14 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 54% | 6 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 49% |
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NHI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NHI has been closely correlated with LTC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NHI jumps, then LTC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NHI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHI | 100% | +0.20% | ||
| LTC - NHI | 74% Closely correlated | +0.91% | ||
| VTR - NHI | 65% Loosely correlated | +1.76% | ||
| SBRA - NHI | 64% Loosely correlated | +0.83% | ||
| FCPT - NHI | 61% Loosely correlated | -0.37% | ||
| CTRE - NHI | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.16% | ||
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VTR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VTR has been closely correlated with WELL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if VTR jumps, then WELL could also see price increases.