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VTR vs WELL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ventas (VTR) vs. Welltower (WELL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Ventas (VTR) and Welltower (WELL) are both leading healthcare real estate investment trusts (REITs) focused on senior housing, positioned to benefit from demographic tailwinds in the aging population.
- In recent market activity, VTR has traded near $86.69 with year-to-date total returns around 14%, while WELL has traded near $229 with stronger year-to-date gains near 25%.
- WELL maintains a significantly larger market capitalization of approximately $165 billion compared to VTR’s roughly $44.5 billion, reflecting greater scale in its seniors housing operating portfolio.
- Both companies reported robust same-store net operating income (NOI) growth in senior housing segments during the second quarter of 2026, supported by occupancy gains and revenue per occupied room increases.
- Recent weeks showed some consolidation in both stocks amid broader market fluctuations, with analysts maintaining generally positive ratings and price targets above current levels.
- Relative positioning favors WELL on momentum and size, though VTR offers a more concentrated exposure with its own growth initiatives in senior housing investments.
Introduction
Ventas (VTR) and Welltower (WELL) represent two prominent players in the healthcare REIT sector, both heavily weighted toward senior housing properties that serve the growing needs of an aging population. Investors and traders comparing these stocks often seek exposure to demographic-driven real estate with potential for stable cash flows and growth through operational improvements. This analysis examines their business models, recent performance trends, and relative positioning in the current market environment. The comparison is particularly relevant for those evaluating healthcare real estate allocations or assessing momentum within the seniors housing space amid evolving interest rate and economic conditions.
VTR Overview and Recent Performance
Ventas, Inc. (VTR) is an S&P 500 healthcare REIT with a diversified portfolio of approximately 1,400 properties, primarily senior housing communities along with outpatient medical, research, and other healthcare facilities across the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. In recent weeks, VTR shares have experienced some pullback, trading near $86.69 as of mid-September 2026 after earlier gains. Year-to-date total returns stand around 14%, with 12-month returns near 33%. The company reported strong second-quarter 2026 results, including double-digit same-property NOI growth and raised full-year normalized funds from operations (FFO) guidance to $3.85–$3.90 per share. Sentiment has been supported by continued investment momentum in senior housing and demographic tailwinds, though broader market volatility has influenced shorter-term price action.
WELL Overview and Recent Performance
Welltower Inc. (WELL) is an S&P 500 healthcare REIT focused on seniors and wellness housing communities, with a portfolio exceeding 2,500 properties concentrated in high-growth markets across the United States, United Kingdom, and Canada. Recent market activity has seen WELL shares consolidate near $229 as of September 18, 2026, following a period of strong gains. Year-to-date total returns approximate 25%, with 12-month returns around 39–42%. The company delivered robust second-quarter 2026 performance, highlighted by over 20% NOI growth in its seniors housing operating segment for the 15th consecutive quarter, alongside occupancy improvements and revenue gains. Positive sentiment stems from operational momentum and scale advantages, tempered by recent market-wide adjustments in real estate valuations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Ventas (VTR) and Welltower (WELL) share a core focus on senior housing REITs but differ in scale and emphasis. WELL operates with substantially greater market capitalization and a larger portfolio, enabling broader diversification and potentially more resilient cash flows. VTR maintains a more concentrated approach with notable exposure to outpatient medical and research properties alongside its senior housing segment. Recent momentum has favored WELL, with stronger year-to-date and trailing returns amid sustained NOI expansion. Both face sector risks including interest rate sensitivity and operational challenges in senior housing, yet benefit from similar demographic growth drivers. Market sentiment remains constructive for both, with analysts citing attractive valuations relative to growth prospects, though WELL’s larger size may appeal to institutional flows seeking liquidity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative performance stability, and positioning within the seniors housing sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to Welltower (WELL). Its larger scale, sustained NOI momentum, and stronger recent returns provide a more robust profile compared to Ventas (VTR), though both remain subject to broader market and sector dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is VTR is a Hold and WELL is a Hold.
VTR's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VTR turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where VTR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 39 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where VTR's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VTR as a result. In 54 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Following a +1.84% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VTR advanced for three days, in 202 of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
VTR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VTR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
The Aroon Indicator for VTR entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VTR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.006) is normal, around the industry mean (3.134). VTR's P/E Ratio (156.109) is considerably higher than the industry average of (27.873). VTR's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.961) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.649). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.049) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.605) is also within normal values, averaging (6.013).
WELL's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for WELL moved out of oversold territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 13 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 10 of the 13 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WELL as a result. In 51 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WELL just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where WELL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
WELL moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.15% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WELL advanced for three days, in 226 of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
WELL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for WELL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 3 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 23%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WELL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.
The Aroon Indicator for WELL entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WELL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 99 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.646) is normal, around the industry mean (3.134). WELL has a moderately high P/E Ratio (105.788) as compared to the industry average of (27.873). WELL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.660) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.649). WELL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.014) as compared to the industry average of (0.049). WELL's P/S Ratio (13.316) is slightly higher than the industry average of (6.013).
VTR | WELL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 95 Overvalued | 99 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 88 | 86 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 28 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
VTR's Valuation (95) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as WELL (99). This means that VTR’s stock grew similarly to WELL’s over the last 12 months.
WELL's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as VTR (27). This means that WELL’s stock grew similarly to VTR’s over the last 12 months.
WELL's SMR Rating (86) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as VTR (88). This means that WELL’s stock grew similarly to VTR’s over the last 12 months.
WELL's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as VTR (51). This means that WELL’s stock grew similarly to VTR’s over the last 12 months.
WELL's P/E Growth Rating (28) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as VTR (46). This means that WELL’s stock grew similarly to VTR’s over the last 12 months.
| VTR | WELL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 77% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 50% | 18 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 46% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
VTR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while WELL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- VTR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- WELL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
VTR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WELL’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- VTR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- WELL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
VTR (@Publishing: Books/Magazines) experienced а +4.66% price change this week, while WELL (@Publishing: Books/Magazines) price change was +4.16% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Publishing: Books/Magazines industry was +0.57%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.07%.
Reported Earning Dates
VTR is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
WELL is expected to report earnings on Oct 26, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Publishing: Books/Magazines (+0.57% weekly)The industry includes companies that publish and market books and magazines/periodicals. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Meredith Corporation and Scholastic Corporation are some of the biggest companies in this industry. Like many other industries, publishing companies have branched out into online/digital publications (while retaining their original print business), to capture the burgeoning market in electronic media. Business could be cyclical in certain cases, since weak consumer sentiment during an economic downturn might depress sales of some magazines and books.
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VTR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VTR has been closely correlated with WELL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if VTR jumps, then WELL could also see price increases.
WELL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WELL has been closely correlated with VTR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WELL jumps, then VTR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WELL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WELL | 100% | +0.09% | ||
| VTR - WELL | 80% Closely correlated | +1.18% | ||
| AHR - WELL | 73% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| OHI - WELL | 67% Closely correlated | +0.24% | ||
| CTRE - WELL | 66% Closely correlated | -0.11% | ||
| LTC - WELL | 66% Loosely correlated | +0.78% | ||
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