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NUE vs TX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Nucor Corporation (NUE) vs. Ternium S.A. (TX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- NUE is a leading U.S. steel producer with a larger market capitalization of approximately $56 billion compared to TX's roughly $9 billion.
- NUE has delivered stronger one-year returns, outperforming TX in recent market activity amid robust domestic demand and record shipments.
- TX offers exposure to Latin American steel markets with solid year-to-date gains of about 27.5% and a focus on regional recovery and sustainability initiatives.
- Both companies operate in the cyclical steel sector, but NUE benefits from U.S. mini-mill efficiency while TX navigates import pressures and varied regional demand.
- NUE approaches its Q2 2026 earnings with elevated expectations for significant EPS growth, contrasting with TX's steady sequential improvements in recent quarterly results.
- Market sentiment favors NUE for scale and consistency, while TX provides potential value through attractive pricing and dividend yield in a recovering environment.
Introduction
This comparison examines NUE and TX, two publicly traded steel producers, to highlight differences in business scale, geographic exposure, and recent market positioning. The analysis focuses on verifiable developments in the steel industry over recent weeks, including earnings trends and sector dynamics. Institutional investors and active traders seeking exposure to materials and industrials may find this relevant for assessing relative performance and sector allocation within diversified portfolios.
NUE Overview and Recent Performance
Nucor Corporation (NUE) operates as the largest U.S. steel producer, primarily using electric arc furnace mini-mills for efficient, low-cost production. The company serves construction, automotive, and manufacturing sectors with a focus on domestic supply. In recent market activity, shares have shown resilience ahead of the Q2 2026 earnings release, with analysts projecting EPS of approximately $4.57, reflecting substantial year-over-year growth. Record Q1 shipments and backlog expansion supported positive sentiment, contributing to outperformance relative to broader steel peers. U.S. steel price recovery and non-residential construction demand have been key influences on performance in recent weeks.
TX Overview and Recent Performance
Ternium S.A. (TX) is a major flat steel producer with operations concentrated in Latin America, including Mexico, Brazil, and Argentina. The company supplies regional construction, automotive, and industrial markets through integrated facilities. In recent market activity, shares have traded around the $47 level with year-to-date gains near 27.5% and one-year returns exceeding 50%. Q1 2026 results showed sequential EBITDA growth of 21%, aided by Mexican demand recovery despite import challenges elsewhere. The release of the 2025 Sustainability Report in early July underscored long-term decarbonization efforts, supporting steady positioning amid sector volatility.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
NUE and TX differ markedly in scale and market focus. Nucor’s U.S.-centric model provides insulation from certain international trade dynamics but exposes it more directly to domestic economic cycles. Ternium’s Latin American footprint offers diversification yet introduces currency and regional policy risks. In recent momentum, NUE has led with stronger absolute returns and earnings visibility ahead of its report, while TX demonstrates attractive valuation multiples and a higher dividend yield. Sector exposure remains similar through steel production, though NUE emphasizes efficiency via mini-mills and TX integrates sustainability targets. Risk factors include commodity price swings for both, with NUE showing greater market capitalization stability and TX offering potentially higher sensitivity to emerging-market recovery.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative positioning in recent weeks, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to NUE over TX. Stronger domestic demand signals, scale advantages, and pre-earnings positioning support this assessment, though both stocks remain subject to steel cycle variability.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NUE is a StrongBuy and TX is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NUE’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileTX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- NUE’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NUE’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TX’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NUE’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
NUE (@Steel) experienced а +3.93% price change this week, while TX (@Steel) price change was +4.10% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Steel industry was -2.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.02%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.83%.
Reported Earning Dates
NUE is expected to report earnings on Oct 26, 2026.
TX is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Steel (-2.97% weekly)The steel industry includes manufacturers of steel and steel-related products. Companies use iron ore and scrap steel to produce steel. The industry also includes companies involved in mining and marketing of steel products. Along with serving some of the domestic markets, U.S. steel output has, over the years, been used by international economies as well. Competition from imported steel has also increased over time. The industry could be susceptible to business cycles, since the element is an important input in industrial production. Some of the globally-renowned steel behemoths include Nucor Corporation, Vale, and ArcelorMittal SA.
| NUE | TX | NUE / TX | |
| Capitalization | 58.6B | 9.67B | 606% |
| EBITDA | 5.03B | 1.76B | 286% |
| Gain YTD | 58.667 | 32.721 | 179% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.53 | 16.41 | 125% |
| Revenue | 34.2B | 15.6B | 219% |
| Total Cash | 506M | 3.14B | 16% |
| Total Debt | 7.12B | 3.01B | 237% |
NUE | TX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 49 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 23 Undervalued | 1 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 43 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 68 | 86 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 74 | 18 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TX's Valuation (1) in the Steel industry is in the same range as NUE (23). This means that TX’s stock grew similarly to NUE’s over the last 12 months.
NUE's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the Steel industry is in the same range as TX (43). This means that NUE’s stock grew similarly to TX’s over the last 12 months.
NUE's SMR Rating (68) in the Steel industry is in the same range as TX (86). This means that NUE’s stock grew similarly to TX’s over the last 12 months.
NUE's Price Growth Rating (3) in the Steel industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TX (38). This means that NUE’s stock grew somewhat faster than TX’s over the last 12 months.
TX's P/E Growth Rating (18) in the Steel industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NUE (74). This means that TX’s stock grew somewhat faster than NUE’s over the last 12 months.
| NUE | TX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 26 days ago 62% | N/A |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 68% |
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