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NUE vs TX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Nucor Corporation (NUE) vs. Ternium S.A. (TX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- NUE has significantly outperformed TX year-to-date (YTD), with gains of approximately 30% compared to 12%.
- NUE's market capitalization stands at $48 billion, dwarfing TX's $8.4 billion, reflecting greater scale in the steel sector.
- TX offers a higher dividend yield of 5.19% versus NUE's 1.05%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Recent steel sector tailwinds, including stronger demand and tariff protections, have boosted sentiment more evidently for U.S.-centric NUE.
- Analyst upgrades and price target increases have targeted NUE recently, signaling optimism ahead of Q1 earnings.
- Both stocks exhibit cyclical exposure, but NUE's higher beta (1.75) indicates greater volatility than TX (1.19).
Introduction
NUE and TX are prominent players in the steel industry, with NUE as a leading U.S. producer using electric arc mini-mills and TX focusing on integrated operations in Latin America. This comparison is relevant for investors eyeing sector rotation amid global commodity cycles, tariff discussions, and infrastructure demand. Traders monitoring relative performance may find value in contrasting their momentum, valuations, and regional exposures, especially as steel prices fluctuate with economic signals and supply dynamics. Understanding these dynamics aids in portfolio diversification or tactical positioning within basic materials.
NUE Overview and Recent Performance
Nucor Corporation (NUE) is the largest steel producer in the United States, operating through steel mills, products, and raw materials segments. It specializes in recycled steel via electric arc furnaces, serving construction, automotive, and energy markets. In recent market activity, NUE has shown robust strength, reaching 52-week highs near $216 and posting YTD gains around 30%. This momentum stems from improved steel prices, higher shipment volumes, and positive sector sentiment driven by anticipated tariffs and infrastructure spending. Analyst upgrades, including JPMorgan's price target hike to $212 and Wells Fargo's to $213, have bolstered confidence ahead of Q1 earnings. Trading volume remains elevated, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 28.18 and earnings per share (EPS) of $7.52 reflecting solid fundamentals amid cyclical recovery.
TX Overview and Recent Performance
Ternium S.A. (TX) manufactures and sells steel products like slabs, plates, and coated goods across Mexico, Brazil, and other Latin American markets, complemented by iron ore mining. Its operations emphasize flat-rolled products for automotive and construction. Recent weeks have seen more modest performance for TX, with YTD returns of about 12% and shares trading around $43, near the upper end of the 52-week range ($27-$46). Influences include regional demand steadiness and trade dynamics, though less pronounced than U.S. peers. The stock's P/E ratio of 19.48, EPS of $2.20, and attractive dividend yield underscore value traits. UBS recently raised its price target to $41 while maintaining a Neutral rating, with Q1 earnings slated for early May. Lower beta (1.19) suggests relative stability in volatile commodity swings.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both NUE and TX operate in steel production but differ in scale and geography: NUE leverages U.S.-focused mini-mills for efficiency, while TX integrates mining for cost advantages in Latin America. Growth drivers favor NUE with stronger volume and pricing power from domestic demand and tariffs, contrasting TX's exposure to emerging market cycles. Recent momentum tilts to NUE, with superior YTD returns and analyst support. Risk factors include commodity price swings, but NUE's higher beta amplifies volatility versus TX's steadier profile. Sector exposure overlaps in construction and autos, yet NUE benefits more from U.S. infrastructure. Market sentiment leans positive for NUE amid supply tightness.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI would currently favor NUE over TX, based on stronger trend consistency, superior YTD performance, and emerging catalysts like earnings growth and steel price hikes. NUE's relative positioning in a buoyant U.S. steel market, coupled with analyst upgrades, suggests higher probability of near-term upside, though TX offers value for stability seekers.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NUE is a Hold and TX is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NUE’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileTX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- NUE’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NUE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TX’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NUE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TX’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
NUE (@Steel) experienced а -5.55% price change this week, while TX (@Steel) price change was -6.59% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Steel industry was -6.52%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +144.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.81%.
Reported Earning Dates
NUE is expected to report earnings on Jul 27, 2026.
TX is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Steel (-6.52% weekly)The steel industry includes manufacturers of steel and steel-related products. Companies use iron ore and scrap steel to produce steel. The industry also includes companies involved in mining and marketing of steel products. Along with serving some of the domestic markets, U.S. steel output has, over the years, been used by international economies as well. Competition from imported steel has also increased over time. The industry could be susceptible to business cycles, since the element is an important input in industrial production. Some of the globally-renowned steel behemoths include Nucor Corporation, Vale, and ArcelorMittal SA.
| NUE | TX | NUE / TX | |
| Capitalization | 55.8B | 9.15B | 610% |
| EBITDA | 5.03B | 1.76B | 286% |
| Gain YTD | 50.675 | 25.686 | 197% |
| P/E Ratio | 24.30 | 15.54 | 156% |
| Revenue | 34.2B | 15.6B | 219% |
| Total Cash | 2.48B | 3.14B | 79% |
| Total Debt | 7.12B | 3.01B | 237% |
NUE | TX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 85 | 93 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 22 Undervalued | 1 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 48 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 68 | 87 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 1 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TX's Valuation (1) in the Steel industry is in the same range as NUE (22). This means that TX’s stock grew similarly to NUE’s over the last 12 months.
NUE's Profit vs Risk Rating (30) in the Steel industry is in the same range as TX (48). This means that NUE’s stock grew similarly to TX’s over the last 12 months.
NUE's SMR Rating (68) in the Steel industry is in the same range as TX (87). This means that NUE’s stock grew similarly to TX’s over the last 12 months.
NUE's Price Growth Rating (5) in the Steel industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TX (41). This means that NUE’s stock grew somewhat faster than TX’s over the last 12 months.
TX's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Steel industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NUE (42). This means that TX’s stock grew somewhat faster than NUE’s over the last 12 months.
| NUE | TX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 76% | 9 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 63% | 6 days ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 66% |
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NUE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NUE has been closely correlated with STLD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NUE jumps, then STLD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NUE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NUE | 100% | +0.45% | ||
| STLD - NUE | 80% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| CMC - NUE | 72% Closely correlated | +1.29% | ||
| RS - NUE | 64% Loosely correlated | +1.80% | ||
| TX - NUE | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.71% | ||
| MTUS - NUE | 56% Loosely correlated | +2.07% | ||
More | ||||
TX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TX has been closely correlated with MT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TX jumps, then MT could also see price increases.