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NXPI vs TXN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) vs. Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) focuses on automotive and industrial semiconductors, while Texas Instruments (TXN) emphasizes analog chips with strong data center exposure.
- Both companies reported solid first-quarter 2026 revenue growth, with TXN showing a 19% year-over-year increase compared to NXPI's 12%.
- In recent market activity, TXN has delivered stronger year-to-date performance than NXPI, reflecting broader demand in industrial and data center segments.
- NXPI is scheduled to report second-quarter 2026 results on July 28, while TXN's earnings call is set for July 22, providing near-term catalysts for both.
- TXN maintains a significantly larger market capitalization and higher trailing returns over the past year relative to NXPI.
- Market sentiment for both stocks remains tied to semiconductor cycle recovery and AI-related infrastructure spending, with differing risk profiles based on end-market concentration.
Introduction
This comparison examines NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) and Texas Instruments (TXN), two leading semiconductor companies with overlapping yet distinct exposures within the technology sector. Investors and traders seeking to understand relative performance in the current market environment may find this analysis relevant, particularly those focused on sector rotation, earnings momentum, and positioning ahead of upcoming quarterly results. The article highlights verifiable business fundamentals, recent price behavior, and key differentiators without offering forward-looking projections.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) designs and manufactures semiconductors primarily for automotive, industrial, and Internet of Things applications. In recent weeks, the stock has reflected broader semiconductor sector dynamics amid anticipation of second-quarter earnings scheduled for July 28. Year-to-date 2026 performance shows gains of approximately 25.9%, outpacing the S&P 500's advance of 9.3% over the same period. First-quarter 2026 results included revenue of $3.18 billion, representing a 12% year-over-year increase, supported by growth across focus end markets. Recent market activity has been influenced by expectations around earnings visibility and ongoing demand in automotive processing applications.
TXN Overview and Recent Performance
Texas Instruments (TXN) produces analog and embedded processing semiconductors, with significant exposure to industrial, automotive, and data center markets. In recent weeks, the stock has benefited from reported strength in industrial and data center demand. Year-to-date 2026 returns have reached levels around 75.7%, substantially ahead of the S&P 500 benchmark. First-quarter 2026 revenue totaled $4.83 billion, up 19% year-over-year, with net income of $1.55 billion. The company has guided second-quarter revenue between $5.00 billion and $5.40 billion ahead of its July 22 earnings call, reflecting sequential and year-over-year expansion in key segments.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) and Texas Instruments (TXN) operate in the semiconductor industry but differ in scale and end-market emphasis. TXN commands a larger market capitalization exceeding $270 billion compared to NXPI’s approximately $70 billion. Growth drivers for NXPI center on automotive and industrial processing, whereas TXN derives notable momentum from data center and broader industrial demand. Recent relative performance shows TXN delivering stronger year-to-date and trailing twelve-month returns. Risk factors include NXPI’s higher concentration in automotive cyclicality versus TXN’s diversified analog portfolio. Sector exposure for both remains sensitive to semiconductor cycles and AI infrastructure spending, though TXN’s positioning in data centers has supported more pronounced recent momentum. Market sentiment reflects these distinctions, with valuation multiples and earnings stability varying accordingly.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorable positioning to Texas Instruments (TXN) over NXP Semiconductors (NXPI). This assessment draws from TXN’s broader data center exposure and stronger year-to-date performance metrics without implying definitive outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Disclaimers and LimitationsTo compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NXPI is a Hold and TXN is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NXPI’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileTXN’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s).
- NXPI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TXN’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NXPI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TXN’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NXPI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TXN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
NXPI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +6.91% price change this week, while TXN (@Semiconductors) price change was +6.27% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +1.42%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.74%, and the average quarterly price growth was +62.76%.
Reported Earning Dates
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
TXN is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+1.42% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| NXPI | TXN | NXPI / TXN | |
| Capitalization | 73.8B | 283B | 26% |
| EBITDA | 4.72B | 8.82B | 53% |
| Gain YTD | 35.803 | 81.616 | 44% |
| P/E Ratio | 27.94 | 53.24 | 52% |
| Revenue | 12.6B | 18.4B | 68% |
| Total Cash | 3.38B | 5.1B | 66% |
| Total Debt | 11.7B | 14B | 84% |
NXPI | TXN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 20 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 48 Fair valued | 73 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 22 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 36 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 6 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 27 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (48) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TXN (73). This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to TXN’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's Profit vs Risk Rating (22) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NXPI (55). This means that TXN’s stock grew somewhat faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's SMR Rating (31) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NXPI (36). This means that TXN’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's Price Growth Rating (6) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NXPI (42). This means that TXN’s stock grew somewhat faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's P/E Growth Rating (27) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NXPI (39). This means that TXN’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
| NXPI | TXN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 65% | 18 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 68% |
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TXN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TXN has been closely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TXN jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TXN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXN | 100% | +0.95% | ||
| MCHP - TXN | 79% Closely correlated | +0.37% | ||
| MCHPP - TXN | 78% Closely correlated | -0.01% | ||
| ADI - TXN | 77% Closely correlated | +0.51% | ||
| ON - TXN | 68% Closely correlated | -1.95% | ||
| LRCX - TXN | 68% Closely correlated | -0.80% | ||
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