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NXPI vs TXN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) vs. Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both NXPI and TXN are semiconductor leaders, but they serve different core markets: NXP Semiconductors is anchored in automotive and industrial chips, while Texas Instruments dominates analog and embedded processing.
- Recent momentum has diverged — TXN delivered roughly 28% year-over-year revenue growth with above-consensus guidance, while NXPI beat on results but guided slightly below expectations.
- Valuation is a key trade-off: NXPI trades at a more modest earnings multiple, while TXN carries a richer valuation after a prolonged rally.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: TXN is the favored ticker in this comparison, based on trend consistency, catalysts, and relative positioning.
- For deeper coverage, explore NXPI Major News and NXPI Today's Price Move, as well as TXN Major News and TXN Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated strategies are currently positioning across the market, visit Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) and Texas Instruments (TXN) are two of the semiconductor industry's most closely watched names, yet they occupy distinct corners of the chip market. This stock comparison is especially relevant for investors seeking exposure to the ongoing semiconductor cyclical recovery, the buildout of artificial intelligence (AI) data centers, and the electrification of vehicles. Both companies have reported accelerating results in recent quarters, but their growth profiles, valuations, and catalysts differ meaningfully. Traders focused on momentum and relative performance, as well as longer-term investors weighing market positioning, may find a side-by-side review of these two tickers a useful starting point for understanding where the AI-driven semiconductor cycle currently stands.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors, headquartered in Eindhoven, the Netherlands, is a leading supplier of high-performance mixed-signal products, with a strong foothold in automotive microcontrollers, industrial and Internet of Things (IoT) applications, and communications infrastructure. In recent weeks, NXPI reported third-quarter revenue of approximately $3.79 billion, up about 19% year over year, while adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rose roughly 35%. Automotive revenue crossed the $2 billion mark for the first time, and Industrial & IoT revenue climbed about 39%.
Despite these gains, sentiment cooled after the company issued fourth-quarter guidance that came in modestly below analyst consensus, and the stock retreated in after-hours trading following the report. Broader themes influencing NXPI include the transition toward software-defined vehicles, growth in data center infrastructure, and a newly expanded $5 billion share repurchase authorization. The company continues to trade at a comparatively moderate earnings multiple relative to faster-growing semiconductor peers.
TXN Overview and Recent Performance
Texas Instruments, based in Dallas, is the world's largest maker of analog chips, which process real-world signals such as sound and power, and also holds a leading position in embedded processors and microcontrollers. In recent weeks, TXN reported third-quarter revenue of about $6.06 billion, up roughly 28% year over year, with net income rising approximately 78%. Analog revenue grew about 32%, while data center sales nearly doubled, reflecting strong AI infrastructure demand.
Unlike its peer, TXN guided fourth-quarter revenue above consensus, reinforcing the view that its cyclical recovery remains intact. Management also raised the dividend by 7%, marking a 23rd consecutive annual increase. However, the stock has pulled back in recent trading as investors took profits following a substantial year-to-date advance, and its valuation now sits near the high end of its historical range. These dynamics make TXN a strong-momentum but richly priced name.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron offers hundreds of AI Trading Bots that monitor and trade thousands of different tickers across the market, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance record, and set of covered securities. Because not every bot is suited to every market environment, Tickeron curates a dedicated Trending AI Robots section that highlights only the strategies best aligned with current conditions. These automated systems are designed to help traders identify trend shifts, momentum opportunities, and relative strength across equities such as NXPI and TXN. Exploring the Trending AI Robots page can provide a data-driven perspective on how algorithmic models are currently approaching the semiconductor sector and beyond.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between the two is market focus. NXPI is heavily concentrated in automotive and industrial applications, giving it leverage to vehicle electrification and software-defined vehicles but also tying its fortunes to automotive production cycles. TXN, by contrast, serves a broader base of analog customers across industrial, automotive, personal electronics, and data center markets, offering wider diversification.
On growth, TXN has shown stronger recent top-line acceleration, with data center demand acting as a powerful near-term catalyst. NXPI is growing from a smaller base and is earlier in monetizing its data center and AI-at-the-edge opportunities. On valuation, NXPI is the more conservatively priced of the two, while TXN carries a premium multiple that leaves less margin for error. Risk factors also differ: NXPI faces concentration risk in automotive and uneven mobile demand, whereas TXN faces the challenge of sustaining margins and justifying a high valuation amid heavy capital spending on manufacturing expansion.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, momentum, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward TXN in this head-to-head comparison. The company's stronger revenue acceleration, above-consensus forward guidance, and outsized data center exposure suggest a more consistent upward trend and a more visible near-term catalyst set than NXPI, whose modest guidance shortfall tempered sentiment. That said, TXN's richer valuation introduces a degree of downside sensitivity, so the verdict reflects a probabilistic preference for relative strength and momentum rather than a definitive claim about future returns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NXPI is a Buy and TXN is a Hold.
Aroon Indicator for NXPI shows an upward move is likely
NXPI's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 07, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 211 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 152 of the 211 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 72%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NXPI as a result. In 65 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NXPI just turned positive on October 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where NXPI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
NXPI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NXPI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
Following a +4.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NXPI advanced for three days, in 190 of 293 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NXPI moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 77%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 40 of 59 cases where NXPI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NXPI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
NXPI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NXPI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 58 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.493) is normal, around the industry mean (5.443). P/E Ratio (21.059) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.640). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.470) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.219) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
TXN in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026
TXN moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 40 of 51 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +3.87% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TXN advanced for three days, in 181 of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 128 of 233 cases where TXN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 55%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TXN moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 74%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TXN as a result. In 70 of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TXN turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 74%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TXN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
TXN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TXN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TXN's P/B Ratio (14.067) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.443). P/E Ratio (41.961) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.640). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.991) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.255) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
NXPI | TXN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 58 Fair valued | 81 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 35 | 29 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 68 | 12 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (58) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TXN (81). This means that NXPI’s stock grew similarly to TXN’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NXPI (57). This means that TXN’s stock grew somewhat faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's SMR Rating (29) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NXPI (35). This means that TXN’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NXPI (47). This means that TXN’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NXPI (68). This means that TXN’s stock grew somewhat faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
| NXPI | TXN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 7 days ago 62% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 1 day ago 55% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NXPI’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while TXN’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- NXPI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TXN’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NXPI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TXN’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NXPI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TXN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
NXPI (@Semiconductors) experienced а -0.32% price change this week, while TXN (@Semiconductors) price change was -2.08% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +1.06%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was -30.42%.
Reported Earning Dates
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Feb 01, 2027.
TXN is expected to report earnings on Jan 26, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+1.06% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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TXN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TXN has been closely correlated with ADI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TXN jumps, then ADI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TXN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXN | 100% | +6.62% | ||
| ADI - TXN | 84% Closely correlated | +8.55% | ||
| MCHPP - TXN | 83% Closely correlated | +4.50% | ||
| MCHP - TXN | 82% Closely correlated | +5.39% | ||
| ON - TXN | 75% Closely correlated | +9.16% | ||
| NXPI - TXN | 71% Closely correlated | +3.27% | ||
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