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PR vs TPL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Permian Resources Corporation (PR) vs. Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PR has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) returns of approximately 49%, outperforming TPL's 32% amid recent energy sector volatility.
- Recent credit upgrade and dividend increase for PR bolster its investment-grade status, enhancing appeal for income-focused investors.
- TPL faced a sharp pullback following the passing of CEO Murray Stahl, despite prior YTD gains and low debt exposure.
- Both stocks operate in the Permian Basin but differ in models: PR as an active explorer/producer, TPL as a royalty and land manager with higher margins.
- PR trades at a lower trailing P/E ratio (16.55) compared to TPL's 64.32, suggesting relative value in recent market activity.
- Tickeron's AI tools highlight momentum in energy stocks, with bots showing up to 227% annualized returns in select strategies.
Introduction
Permian Resources Corporation (PR) and Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) represent contrasting approaches within the Permian Basin energy sector, a key U.S. oil hub. PR focuses on active exploration and production, while TPL emphasizes royalty income and land management. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business models, and market positioning to aid traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing relative performance in volatile oil markets. With energy prices fluctuating, understanding these dynamics helps evaluate sector exposure and growth potential.
PR Overview and Recent Performance
Permian Resources Corporation (PR), an independent oil and natural gas company, concentrates on developing crude oil and liquids-rich natural gas reserves in the Delaware Basin portion of the Permian Basin, spanning West Texas and New Mexico. Headquartered in Midland, Texas, the firm operates with around 515 employees and maintains a low-cost production profile.
In recent market activity, PR shares have exhibited robust momentum, posting YTD gains near 49% and over 82% in the past year, significantly outpacing the S&P 500. This strength stems from operational efficiencies, a credit rating upgrade to investment grade by S&P Global, and a higher quarterly dividend declaration, signaling financial health. Despite quarterly revenue dips amid softer oil prices, earnings growth exceeded 56% year-over-year, supporting positive sentiment. Volatility persists with energy sector swings, but analyst targets averaging $23.90 suggest upside from current levels around $20.78.
TPL Overview and Recent Performance
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) is a land and resource manager in the Permian Basin, owning extensive surface acres and retaining oil and gas royalties. Its operations include easements for infrastructure, material sales like caliche and sand, and water services for sourcing, treatment, and disposal. With about 114 employees and roots dating to 1888, TPL benefits from a non-operating model with minimal capital outlays.
Recent weeks have brought volatility for TPL, with shares plummeting over 15% following the passing of influential CEO Murray Stahl, despite YTD returns around 32% and modest 1-year gains. Prior strength reflected robust royalty streams and water segment growth (13.9% quarterly revenue rise), alongside low debt (1.22% debt/equity). Insider buying provided some counterbalance, but sentiment shifted amid leadership transition. Trading near $378 with an average analyst target of $445, the stock's high ROE (37%) underscores long-term appeal despite short-term pressures.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
PR and TPL share Permian exposure but diverge sharply in operations: PR's drilling-intensive model drives growth via reserves development, contrasting TPL's passive royalties and water services, yielding higher ROE (37% vs. 10%) and negligible debt but elevated P/E (64 vs. 17). Recent momentum favors PR with superior YTD and 1-year returns, bolstered by catalysts like credit upgrades, while TPL grapples with leadership risks offsetting its stability (beta 0.77 vs. 0.55).
Sector drivers include oil prices impacting both, but PR faces higher operational risks from capex and commodity swings, versus TPL's margin resilience. Market sentiment leans toward PR for value traders, while TPL suits those prioritizing cash flow durability amid energy transitions.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors PR due to its trend consistency, stronger relative performance, fresh catalysts like the investment-grade rating, and attractive valuation in recent weeks. While TPL offers superior stability and margins, short-term headwinds reduce its positioning. AI models highlight PR's higher probability for near-term upside based on momentum signals.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PR is a Hold and TPL is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTPL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- PR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TPL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PR’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TPL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TPL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
PR (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а +1.77% price change this week, while TPL (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -2.79% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was +0.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.88%.
Reported Earning Dates
PR is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
TPL is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (+0.22% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| PR | TPL | PR / TPL | |
| Capitalization | 16.3B | 26.1B | 62% |
| EBITDA | 3.31B | 706M | 469% |
| Gain YTD | 40.226 | 32.276 | 125% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.92 | 51.98 | 42% |
| Revenue | 5.08B | 839M | 605% |
| Total Cash | 171M | 248M | 69% |
| Total Debt | 3.69B | 15.8M | 23,342% |
PR | TPL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 74 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 41 Fair valued | 88 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 56 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 83 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 58 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PR's Valuation (41) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TPL (88) in the Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds industry. This means that PR’s stock grew somewhat faster than TPL’s over the last 12 months.
PR's Profit vs Risk Rating (19) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TPL (56) in the Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds industry. This means that PR’s stock grew somewhat faster than TPL’s over the last 12 months.
TPL's SMR Rating (26) in the Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PR (83) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that TPL’s stock grew somewhat faster than PR’s over the last 12 months.
PR's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as TPL (58) in the Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds industry. This means that PR’s stock grew similarly to TPL’s over the last 12 months.
PR's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TPL (58) in the Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds industry. This means that PR’s stock grew somewhat faster than TPL’s over the last 12 months.
| PR | TPL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 76% | 11 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 55% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 77% |
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TPL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TPL has been loosely correlated with NOG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 43% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TPL jumps, then NOG could also see price increases.