PXE
Price
$42.53
Change
-$0.44 (-1.02%)
Updated
Nov 3, 03:36 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
169.62M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
VDE
Price
$185.85
Change
-$1.53 (-0.82%)
Updated
Nov 3, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
11.63B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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PXE vs VDE

PXE vs VDE Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 28, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Invesco Energy Exploration & Production ETF (PXE) vs. Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE)

Key Takeaways

  • PXE is a narrowly focused exploration and production (E&P) fund tracking the Dynamic Energy Exploration & Production Intellidex Index, while VDE tracks the broad, market-cap-weighted MSCI US Investable Market Energy 25/50 Index.
  • VDE holds roughly 110–115 companies spanning integrated majors, refiners, midstream operators, and oilfield services; PXE concentrates in roughly 30–33 U.S. energy names, tilting toward E&P and refining.
  • Cost structure diverges sharply: VDE charges a 0.09% expense ratio versus approximately 0.63% for PXE.
  • VDE is heavily concentrated in mega-cap integrated oil leaders such as Exxon Mobil and Chevron, while PXE offers more balanced exposure across producers and refiners.
  • Both funds are highly sensitive to crude oil and natural gas prices, but PXE carries higher single-name and sub-sector concentration risk.

Introduction

Energy ETFs have attracted renewed attention as investors weigh supply dynamics, geopolitical risk, and the long-term transition toward lower-carbon fuels. Comparing PXE and VDE is instructive because the two funds do not compete head-to-head so much as represent different philosophies within the same sector. VDE delivers broad, low-cost exposure to the entire U.S. energy complex, dominated by integrated majors. PXE narrows the lens to exploration and production and refining companies, favoring a growth-and-value selection process. Understanding these structural differences is essential for investors deciding between diversified sector exposure and a more targeted bet on upstream and downstream operators.

Invesco Energy Exploration & Production ETF (PXE) Overview

PXE is a passively managed index fund that seeks to track the Dynamic Energy Exploration & Production Intellidex Index. Rather than weighting by market capitalization, the Intellidex methodology screens and weights U.S. energy companies using growth and value metrics, producing a concentrated portfolio of roughly 30–33 holdings. The fund invests at least 90% of assets in index constituents and is classified as non-diversified.

Sector exposure is concentrated in oil and gas exploration and production (about 60%), oil and gas refining and marketing (about 33%), with smaller allocations to integrated oil and gas and gas utilities. Representative top holdings include Marathon Petroleum, Valero Energy, Phillips 66, EOG Resources, Diamondback Energy, Devon Energy, Coterra Energy, and Occidental Petroleum. The fund carries a net expense ratio of approximately 0.63%, making it meaningfully more expensive than broad-market energy funds.

Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) Overview

VDE is a passively managed index fund that tracks the MSCI US Investable Market Energy 25/50 Index, a market-cap-weighted benchmark spanning large-, mid-, and small-cap U.S. energy companies as classified under the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS, a widely used system for categorizing companies by sector). The 25/50 methodology caps any single issuer near 25% of index weight and limits the aggregate weight of issuers above 5%.

The fund holds roughly 110–115 stocks, providing exposure across integrated oil and gas, exploration and production, refining, midstream infrastructure, and oilfield equipment and services. Top holdings are dominated by integrated majors, including Exxon Mobil (about 22%), Chevron (about 14%), and ConocoPhillips (about 6%), followed by Marathon Petroleum, Valero Energy, Phillips 66, Williams Companies, SLB, and Baker Hughes. With an expense ratio of just 0.09%, VDE is one of the lowest-cost energy products available.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate within a sector shaped by crude oil supply and demand balances, OPEC+ production decisions, and natural gas pricing. In recent market cycles, capital discipline among producers has supported free cash flow and shareholder returns, while refining margins have fluctuated with crack spreads and product demand. Geopolitical developments and inventory data continue to drive short-term volatility. Longer term, the energy transition, regulatory shifts, and the outlook for hydrocarbon demand create a structural overhang on valuations. These forces affect both ETFs but weigh differently: VDE, with its integrated majors and midstream exposure, tends to be more resilient through price downturns, whereas PXE, tilted toward producers and refiners, is more directly leveraged to commodity-price swings.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent weeks and months, both funds have generally moved in the same direction as energy-sector sentiment, but their relative positioning has differed in magnitude. PXE has tended to exhibit higher sensitivity to oil-price fluctuations because of its concentration in E&P and refining names, amplifying both upside momentum and downside drawdowns. VDE, anchored by large-cap integrated majors with diversified revenue streams and substantial downstream and midstream operations, has historically displayed more muted volatility and steadier performance across the earnings cycle. Sector rotation, interest-rate expectations, and commodity trends have favored different parts of the energy complex at different times, meaning VDE captures the full sector while PXE emphasizes the segments most exposed to realized commodity prices and refining economics.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool designed to help traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Whether you are comparing energy funds or searching for the next momentum setup, the AI Screener can streamline your research process.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron’s AI would likely favor VDE for most investors seeking core energy exposure. Its dramatically lower expense ratio, broader diversification across roughly 110 holdings, and heavy weighting toward financially resilient integrated majors provide superior cost efficiency and reduced single-name risk. PXE may still appeal to investors specifically seeking amplified, targeted exposure to exploration, production, and refining names, and it can outperform during strong commodity upswings. However, on a risk-adjusted basis, VDE tends to offer more consistent relative positioning, lower fees, and greater diversification, making it the more probabilistically favorable choice in most market environments.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
PXE vs. VDE commentary
Nov 04, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PXE is a Hold and VDE is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for PXE with price predictions
Nov 02, 2026

PXE's RSI Oscillator peaks and leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PXE moved out of overbought territory on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 30 of the 33 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 48 of 60 cases where PXE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PXE as a result. In 73 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PXE turned negative on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PXE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

PXE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +3.85% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PXE advanced for three days, in 338 of 375 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

PXE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 286 of 321 cases where PXE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VDE with price predictions
Nov 02, 2026

VDE in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026

VDE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 53 of 58 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +2.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VDE advanced for three days, in 342 of 376 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 299 of 335 cases where VDE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VDE moved out of overbought territory on October 27, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 36 of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 84%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 56 of 66 cases where VDE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VDE as a result. In 75 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VDE turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 88%.

VDE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
PXEVDE
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 9 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 13 days ago
83%
N/A
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
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PXE
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
VDE
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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PXE and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PXE has been closely correlated with OVV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PXE jumps, then OVV could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PXE
1D Price
Change %
PXE100%
-4.47%
OVV - PXE
88%
Closely correlated
-6.66%
MTDR - PXE
87%
Closely correlated
-8.41%
EOG - PXE
87%
Closely correlated
-4.62%
DVN - PXE
87%
Closely correlated
-6.75%
PR - PXE
86%
Closely correlated
-5.61%
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