QLD
Price
$72.27
Change
-$10.54 (-12.73%)
Updated
Nov 5 closing price
Net Assets
14.3B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
USD
Price
$50.27
Change
-$15.01 (-22.99%)
Updated
Nov 5 closing price
Net Assets
2.2B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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QLD vs USD

QLD vs USD Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? ProShares Ultra QQQ (QLD) vs. ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (USD)

Key Takeaways

  • Both QLD and USD are 2x leveraged daily target exchange-traded funds (ETFs) issued by ProShares, designed to deliver twice the daily performance of their respective benchmarks before fees and expenses.
  • QLD tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, providing leveraged exposure to a diversified basket of 100 large non-financial companies with heavy weighting in technology, while USD focuses exclusively on the semiconductor subsector via the Dow Jones U.S. Semiconductors Index.
  • Expense ratios are comparable, with QLD at approximately 0.89% to 0.95% net and USD at 0.94% to 0.95%, reflecting the higher costs associated with leveraged strategies.
  • QLD offers broader sector diversification across information technology, communication services, and consumer discretionary, whereas USD delivers concentrated exposure to semiconductors, resulting in higher volatility and sector-specific risk.
  • Both funds employ swap-based structures for leverage and reset daily, making them suitable primarily for short-term tactical use rather than long-term buy-and-hold investing.
  • Liquidity profiles differ, with QLD generally exhibiting higher average trading volume due to its larger asset base and broader appeal.

Introduction

ProShares Ultra QQQ (QLD) and ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (USD) represent distinct leveraged strategies within the technology sector. While they do not compete directly as identical benchmarks, both target amplified daily returns in high-growth areas of the market. Investors seeking magnified exposure to innovation-driven equities may compare them as alternatives or complements depending on desired breadth versus sector concentration. In the current environment of semiconductor advancements and artificial intelligence adoption, these funds illustrate different approaches to capturing thematic momentum.

ProShares Ultra QQQ (QLD) Overview

ProShares Ultra QQQ (QLD) seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to two times (2x) the daily performance of the Nasdaq-100 Index. The Nasdaq-100 Index comprises 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq exchange, with significant representation in information technology, communication services, and consumer discretionary sectors. The fund typically holds a combination of swaps and other derivatives to achieve its leveraged target, resulting in effective exposure to approximately 100 underlying constituents. Top holdings often include major technology names such as NVIDIA Corp., Apple Inc., and Microsoft Corp. The net expense ratio stands at approximately 0.89% to 0.95%. As a passive leveraged product, it resets exposure daily and maintains high liquidity through substantial assets under management.

ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (USD) Overview

ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (USD) seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to two times (2x) the daily performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Semiconductors Index. This index measures the performance of U.S. companies engaged in the production and distribution of semiconductors and related products. The fund achieves leverage primarily through total return swaps, resulting in concentrated exposure to roughly 30-40 semiconductor firms. Top holdings feature heavy weighting in NVIDIA Corp., Broadcom Inc., and Micron Technology Inc. The net expense ratio is approximately 0.94% to 0.95%. Like other daily leveraged ETFs, it resets daily and suits tactical applications, with a more focused risk profile tied to semiconductor industry dynamics.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The technology sector, particularly semiconductors, continues to benefit from secular trends in artificial intelligence, data center expansion, and advanced computing. Capital flows have favored companies at the forefront of chip design and manufacturing, supported by robust corporate spending and innovation cycles. Macroeconomic drivers include interest rate expectations and global supply chain resilience, while regulatory developments around export controls and domestic manufacturing incentives add complexity. Sector risks encompass cyclical demand fluctuations, geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains, and valuation pressures in high-growth names. Both ETFs operate within this environment, though USD experiences more direct impact from semiconductor-specific catalysts.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, QLD has delivered amplified returns aligned with broader Nasdaq-100 movements, benefiting from diversified growth across multiple technology subsectors. USD has shown greater sensitivity to semiconductor earnings cycles and capacity expansions, often exhibiting higher volatility during periods of sector rotation. Relative positioning highlights QLD's broader participation in technology rallies versus USD's concentrated bet on chip demand. Both funds' daily reset mechanisms mean performance over longer periods can deviate from simple multiples of benchmark returns due to compounding effects in volatile markets.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking data-driven insights into leveraged ETFs like QLD and USD may find the platform valuable for refining screening criteria.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable factors such as structural strength, cost efficiency, diversification profile, trend consistency, sector momentum, and risk exposure, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorability to ProShares Ultra QQQ (QLD). Its broader Nasdaq-100 exposure provides greater diversification within the technology theme compared to the concentrated semiconductor focus of USD, potentially offering more balanced risk-adjusted characteristics in varied market conditions.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
QLD vs. USD commentary
Nov 06, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is QLD is a Hold and USD is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for QLD with price predictions
Nov 04, 2026

QLD in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026

The 10-day moving average for QLD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on QLD as a result. In 79 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for QLD turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 85%.

QLD moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QLD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

The Aroon Indicator for QLD entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where QLD's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 27 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +3.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QLD advanced for three days, in 320 of 359 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

QLD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for USD with price predictions
Nov 04, 2026

Momentum Indicator for USD turns negative, indicating new downward trend

USD saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 86 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 82 of the 86 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for USD turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

USD moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for USD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where USD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Aroon Indicator for USD entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where USD's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +7.36% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where USD advanced for three days, in 342 of 364 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

USD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
QLDUSD
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Bullish Trend 9 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
87%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
88%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
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USD and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, USD has been closely correlated with ONTO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if USD jumps, then ONTO could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To USD
1D Price
Change %
USD100%
-5.68%
ONTO - USD
77%
Closely correlated
-8.68%
Q - USD
70%
Closely correlated
-0.09%
IONQ - USD
47%
Loosely correlated
-1.50%
SMTC - USD
38%
Loosely correlated
-12.92%
WOLF - USD
21%
Poorly correlated
+1.65%
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