SMH
Price
$543.51
Change
+$16.31 (+3.09%)
Updated
Oct 26, 04:08 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
66.09B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SOXX
Price
$494.97
Change
+$16.77 (+3.51%)
Updated
Oct 26, 04:38 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
42.95B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
Interact to see
Advertisement

SMH vs SOXX

SMH vs SOXX Comparison Chart in %
View a ticker or compare two or three
A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) vs. iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX)

Key Takeaways

  • Both funds are passive, index-tracking exchange-traded funds (ETFs) offering concentrated exposure to U.S.-listed semiconductor companies, but they follow different benchmarks with distinct weighting rules.
  • SMH is more mega-cap and top-heavy, with a single stock (NVIDIA) carrying roughly one-fifth of the portfolio, while SOXX applies position caps for broader balance.
  • SOXX holds roughly 30 names versus SMH's 26, giving it marginally wider diversification across the chip value chain.
  • Expense ratios are nearly identical: 0.35% for SMH versus 0.33% for SOXX, making cost a minimal differentiator.
  • SMH leans more heavily on GPU and foundry leaders (NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor), while SOXX tilts toward a mix of processors, memory, and analog names including AMD, Intel, and Micron.
  • Relative performance is driven by whether AI-accelerator mega-caps or the broader semiconductor complex lead a given cycle.

Introduction

Semiconductor ETFs have become one of the most closely watched corners of the market as artificial intelligence demand reshapes the global chip industry. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) are the two most liquid and widely held funds in this category. They do not track the same index, but they compete directly for investor capital seeking thematic semiconductor exposure. The central question for this ETF comparison is structural: how do weighting methodology, concentration, and cost shape each fund's sector exposure and relative positioning across market cycles?

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) Overview

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is a passive fund that seeks to replicate the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index, a market-capitalization-weighted benchmark of the 25 largest U.S.-listed semiconductor companies. In practice the portfolio holds about 26 securities, and the fund is classified as non-diversified, meaning it can concentrate heavily in its largest names. It charges an expense ratio of 0.35%.

Its top holdings reflect a pronounced mega-cap tilt. NVDA (NVIDIA) typically represents roughly one-fifth of assets, followed by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM), AMD, AVGO (Broadcom), MU (Micron Technology), TXN (Texas Instruments), and ASML Holding. Because there are no meaningful caps on individual positions, SMH's performance is disproportionately sensitive to NVIDIA and the Taiwan-listed foundry giant, whose shares trade in the U.S. as an American Depositary Receipt (ADR). This concentration amplifies both upside and downside relative to more balanced peers.

iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) Overview

The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) is a passive fund that tracks the NYSE Semiconductor Index, a modified market-capitalization-weighted index of 30 U.S.-listed semiconductor companies. Unlike a pure cap-weighted approach, the underlying index applies limits that prevent any single name from dominating, which produces a more evenly distributed portfolio of roughly 30 holdings. SOXX charges a slightly lower expense ratio of 0.33% and is also structured as a non-diversified fund.

Its top positions include AMD, INTC (Intel), MU, NVDA, AVGO, MRVL (Marvell Technology), ADI (Analog Devices), and QCOM (Qualcomm). Because individual weights are capped, SOXX spreads its exposure more evenly across processors, memory, analog, and semiconductor equipment, reducing single-stock concentration risk while retaining a pure-play chip mandate.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The semiconductor sector sits at the center of the artificial intelligence investment cycle, with demand for high-performance compute, memory, and networking chips driving capital flows into the space. Data-center buildouts, cloud infrastructure spending, and the expansion of advanced packaging have supported revenue growth for many of the largest constituents of both funds. At the same time, the industry remains highly cyclical, exposed to inventory corrections, trade and export-control policy, and geopolitical tension surrounding Taiwan's role in leading-edge manufacturing.

Interest-rate expectations also influence the sector's relative performance, as semiconductor equities carry elevated valuations and long-duration cash-flow profiles. In recent market cycles, momentum has rotated between concentrated AI-accelerator leaders and a broader set of cyclical memory and analog names, a dynamic that directly affects how SMH and SOXX diverge.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent months, the two funds have produced broadly similar directional returns but with meaningful differences in magnitude and volatility. SMH's heavier weighting to NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor has made it more responsive to AI-infrastructure momentum, allowing it to outperform during periods when mega-cap accelerator and foundry names lead. Its concentrated structure also means a single stock's earnings surprise or guidance revision can move the entire fund more sharply.

SOXX, by contrast, has benefited from its more balanced allocation to memory and analog names, which have shown distinct cyclical strength at times. Its caps on individual positions reduce the influence of any one holding, historically translating into somewhat lower single-name concentration risk. For investors, the trade-off is straightforward: SMH offers purer, higher-beta exposure to the largest AI chip franchises, while SOXX provides more diversified sector exposure across the broader semiconductor value chain.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener is designed to surface trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own semiconductor analysis.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely express a modest preference for SOXX in the current environment. While SMH's concentrated mega-cap tilt can deliver stronger returns when a narrow group of AI leaders drives the market, SOXX's position caps and broader holdings offer a more balanced risk profile across the chip cycle, supported by a marginally lower expense ratio and reduced single-stock dependence. That said, if trend consistency and momentum in large-cap AI accelerators remain intact, SMH's concentration could prove the stronger driver of relative performance. The verdict is probabilistic rather than absolute, and it hinges on which segment of the semiconductor complex leads over the coming weeks.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
SMH vs. SOXX commentary
Oct 26, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SMH is a Hold and SOXX is a Hold.

Interact to see
Advertisement
SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SMH with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

SMH's RSI Oscillator is staying in oversold zone for 1 day

It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +2.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in 328 of 358 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SMH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 299 of 315 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMH as a result. In 69 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMH turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.

SMH moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SMH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SOXX with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

SOXX's RSI Indicator is staying in oversold zone for 1 day

It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +2.29% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SOXX advanced for three days, in 310 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

SOXX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 285 of 305 cases where SOXX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SOXX as a result. In 74 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SOXX turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 44 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 86%.

SOXX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SOXX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SOXX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
SMHSOXX
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
87%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
86%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
87%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
88%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 22 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 22 days ago
89%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 11 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 11 days ago
85%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
View a ticker or compare two or three
SMH
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SOXX
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
Interesting Tickers
1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
1 Day
ETFs / NAMEPrice $Chg $Chg %
ASMU23.990.33
+1.39%
Direxion Daily ASML Bull 2X ETF (ASMU)
DFSE44.980.12
+0.26%
Dimensional Emerging Markets Sustainability Core 1 ETF (DFSE)
FFIU20.95N/A
-0.01%
UVA Unconstrained Medium-Term Fixed Income ETF (FFIU)
AGZD22.57-0.01
-0.03%
WisdomTree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD)
CGMS26.42-0.07
-0.26%
Capital Group U.S. Multi-Sector Income ETF (CGMS)