SPXU
Price
$36.00
Change
+$1.85 (+5.42%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
419.34M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SRTY
Price
$26.36
Change
+$1.28 (+5.10%)
Updated
Oct 30 closing price
Net Assets
67.42M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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SPXU vs SRTY

SPXU vs SRTY Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 25, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 (SPXU) vs. ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (SRTY)

Key Takeaways

  • Both SPXU and SRTY are inverse leveraged exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that seek three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of a broad U.S. equity index, meaning they are designed to rise when their benchmark falls.
  • SPXU provides short exposure to large-cap U.S. equities through the S&P 500 Index, while SRTY provides short exposure to U.S. small-cap equities through the Russell 2000 Index.
  • Neither fund holds the underlying stocks directly; both build exposure through index swaps, futures contracts, Treasury bills, and money-market collateral rather than individual equities.
  • SPXU carries a net expense ratio of 0.90%, while SRTY carries a slightly higher net expense ratio of 0.95%.
  • Both funds reset daily and are intended for short-term tactical use; their compounding effect can cause longer-term returns to deviate sharply from three times the inverse of their index.
  • The key structural difference is benchmark capitalization: SRTY targets smaller, more rate- and credit-sensitive companies, while SPXU targets the largest, most liquid U.S. corporations.

Introduction

Investors looking to hedge downside risk or profit from market declines often turn to inverse and leveraged ETFs, and this ETF comparison focuses on two ProShares products that serve that purpose across different corners of the U.S. equity market. SPXU and SRTY do not compete as substitutes for each other; instead, they offer alternative short exposure within the same broad strategy, distinguished by the size of the companies they target. Understanding their structural differences, sector exposure, cost profiles, and relative positioning is essential for anyone evaluating these high-octane instruments in the current market environment.

ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 (SPXU) Overview

SPXU is a passively managed, leveraged inverse ETF that seeks daily investment results corresponding to three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the S&P 500 Index. Launched in June 2009, the fund does not hold the 500 constituent stocks directly; instead, it obtains its inverse leveraged exposure through financial instruments including S&P 500 index swaps, equity futures, U.S. Treasury bills, and money-market funds held as collateral. The fund is non-diversified, and its reported holdings—typically around 20 positions—are dominated by derivatives and cash equivalents rather than equities.

The benchmark represents the 500 largest companies listed and domiciled in the United States, giving SPXU effective short exposure to large-cap, mega-cap, and technology-heavy names. Its net expense ratio is 0.90%. Because the fund resets its leverage daily, it is designed for single-day tactical hedging or speculation and is not intended as a buy-and-hold vehicle.

ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (SRTY) Overview

SRTY is a passively managed, leveraged inverse ETF that seeks daily investment results corresponding to three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the Russell 2000 Index. Launched in February 2010, the fund builds its exposure through Russell 2000 index swaps, E-mini Russell 2000 futures, U.S. Treasury bills, and a money-market ETF used as collateral, holding roughly 20 positions overall. Like SPXU, it is non-diversified and holds no meaningful individual equity positions.

The Russell 2000 tracks approximately 2,000 of the smallest U.S.-domiciled, publicly traded companies within the Russell 3000 Index, so SRTY offers short exposure to small-cap equities, including a higher share of regional banks, financials, industrials, and rate-sensitive cyclical names. Its net expense ratio is 0.95%. As with SPXU, the daily reset means returns over periods longer than one day can diverge materially from three times the inverse of the index.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds are shaped by the same macro forces, but the impact differs by benchmark composition. Large-cap indices such as the S&P 500 are heavily weighted toward mega-cap technology and growth stocks, whose valuations are sensitive to interest rate expectations and earnings momentum. Small-cap indices such as the Russell 2000 are more exposed to domestic economic conditions, bank lending, and borrowing costs, since smaller companies often rely more on floating-rate debt and regional financing.

In the current environment, investors are weighing persistent inflation, central-bank rate policy, and the resilience of corporate earnings against elevated equity valuations. Capital flows and risk appetite shift between large-cap and small-cap segments depending on whether the market favors quality and liquidity or cyclical recovery and domestic growth. Regulatory developments and credit conditions also matter more for small-cap-heavy benchmarks, making SRTY more sensitive to financing conditions than SPXU.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent weeks and recent market cycles, both funds have tended to move inversely to their underlying benchmarks, with amplified daily volatility consistent with their -3x mandate. Because large-cap indices have generally trended upward over recent years, leveraged inverse products such as SPXU have experienced sustained downward pressure when the S&P 500 advances, punctuated by sharp rallies during pullbacks. Relative positioning between the two funds depends heavily on sector rotation: when investors rotate into small-cap value and cyclical names, SRTY can face more headwinds than SPXU, and vice versa.

Volatility differences also matter. Small-cap benchmarks historically carry higher beta (sensitivity to market moves) and greater dispersion than large-cap benchmarks, meaning SRTY can exhibit more pronounced swings than SPXU over the same period. Both products are structurally suited to short-horizon tactical use, and their daily compounding makes multi-day holding periods inherently different from simple inverse-index exposure.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to surface actionable signals tailored to your strategy.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Between the two, Tickeron's AI would likely express a nuanced preference depending on the prevailing trend regime. In a market environment characterized by mega-cap leadership and resilient large-cap earnings, the AI would tend to view SRTY as the higher-risk vehicle, given its greater benchmark beta, its sensitivity to credit and rate conditions, and its slightly higher expense ratio. Conversely, in a scenario where small-cap momentum and risk appetite fade while large-cap quality holds up, SRTY may offer more attractive short-side opportunity on a relative basis. Probabilistically, the AI would favor SPXU as the structurally more cost-efficient and liquid instrument for broad-market hedging, while acknowledging that both are tactical tools unsuited to long-term holding.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
SPXU vs. SRTY commentary
Nov 02, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SPXU is a StrongBuy and SRTY is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SPXU with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

Momentum Indicator for SPXU turns positive, indicating new upward trend

SPXU saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 29, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 79 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 71 of the 79 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 59 of 68 cases where SPXU's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPXU just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where SPXU's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 46 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

SPXU moved above its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SPXU crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Following a +6.73% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPXU advanced for three days, in 231 of 268 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPXU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

SPXU broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for SPXU entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SRTY with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

SRTY's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SRTY moved out of overbought territory on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 25 of the 25 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SRTY as a result. In 88 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SRTY turned negative on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SRTY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +7.19% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SRTY advanced for three days, in 246 of 269 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SRTY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 163 of 183 cases where SRTY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
SPXUSRTY
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
87%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
88%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
86%
Bullish Trend 19 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
90%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
89%
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Daily Signal:
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