TLH
Price
$95.33
Change
-$0.43 (-0.45%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
11.82B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TLT
Price
$81.34
Change
-$0.40 (-0.49%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
47.28B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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TLH vs TLT

TLH vs TLT Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLH) vs. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

Key Takeaways

  • TLH and TLT both provide targeted exposure to U.S. Treasury bonds but differ in maturity profiles, with TLH focusing on the 10-20 year segment and TLT on bonds with 20+ years remaining.
  • Both ETFs are passively managed, track ICE U.S. Treasury indices, and maintain low expense ratios of 0.15%.
  • TLH offers moderate duration risk (approximately 11.5 years effective duration) compared to TLT’s higher sensitivity (approximately 14.8 years), resulting in distinct interest-rate exposure profiles.
  • Holdings are concentrated in U.S. government securities for both funds, with TLH holding around 61 bonds and TLT around 47, emphasizing pure duration plays without credit or equity components.
  • These ETFs serve complementary roles for investors seeking government bond exposure, with TLH providing intermediate-long positioning and TLT delivering extended duration for specific rate views.
  • Cost structures and liquidity profiles are comparable, though TLT typically exhibits higher average trading volume due to its established market presence.

Introduction

TLH and TLT represent two distinct slices of the U.S. Treasury yield curve, making them relevant for comparison in an environment shaped by interest-rate expectations and fixed-income allocation strategies. Rather than competing directly, the funds offer alternative duration exposures within the same asset class, allowing investors to fine-tune sensitivity to changes in long-term rates. Both are iShares products from BlackRock that track government bond indices, appealing to those seeking pure Treasury exposure without corporate credit risk.

iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLH) Overview

TLH seeks to track the ICE U.S. Treasury 10-20 Year Bond Index, which measures the performance of publicly issued U.S. Treasury securities with remaining maturities between 10 and 20 years. The fund holds approximately 61 bonds, providing diversified exposure across this intermediate-long segment of the yield curve. Top holdings consist primarily of U.S. Treasury notes and bonds in the specified maturity range, with sector allocation limited to 100% government securities. TLH employs a passive management approach with physical replication and monthly rebalancing to align with index changes. Its expense ratio stands at 0.15%, and the fund features an effective duration of roughly 11.5 years and weighted average maturity near 16.6 years.

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Overview

TLT tracks the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index, focusing on U.S. Treasury securities with remaining maturities greater than 20 years. The fund typically holds around 47 bonds, concentrating exposure in the longest portion of the yield curve. Holdings are exclusively U.S. government obligations, resulting in a sector allocation of 100% Treasuries. Like TLH, TLT uses a passive strategy with physical replication and periodic index-aligned rebalancing. The expense ratio is 0.15%, supported by an effective duration of approximately 14.8 years and weighted average maturity exceeding 26 years.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The U.S. Treasury bond market remains influenced by Federal Reserve monetary policy, inflation trends, and broader economic growth expectations. Both ETFs operate within the long-duration government debt segment, where capital flows often reflect shifts in rate anticipation and portfolio hedging demand. Macroeconomic drivers such as employment data, consumer price readings, and fiscal developments continue to shape investor positioning in duration-sensitive instruments. Risks include potential volatility from changing rate outlooks, though the absence of credit exposure limits default-related concerns.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, duration differences have driven relative behavior, with TLT exhibiting greater price sensitivity to interest-rate movements compared to TLH. TLH’s shorter maturity band within the long end has historically moderated volatility relative to TLT during periods of shifting yield-curve dynamics. Both funds respond to sector rotation toward or away from fixed income, earnings-independent Treasury price action, and geopolitical or macro shifts that influence safe-haven demand. Relative positioning favors TLH for investors seeking balanced long-duration exposure and TLT for those emphasizing maximum rate sensitivity.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Visit the AI Screener to explore tailored ETF and equity opportunities.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on structural characteristics, TLH presents a favorable profile for Tickeron’s AI analysis due to its balanced duration exposure, solid diversification across 61 holdings, and equivalent cost efficiency. The fund’s positioning offers potentially more consistent trend alignment in varied rate environments compared to TLT’s higher-volatility longer-duration stance, though both remain viable depending on specific investor duration preferences.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
TLH vs. TLT commentary
Oct 25, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is TLH is a Hold and TLT is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TLH with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

TLH in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026

TLH moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 29 of 37 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLH as a result. In 53 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLH just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where TLH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

Following a +1.75% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLH advanced for three days, in 193 of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TLH moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 86%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

TLH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for TLH entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TLT with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

TLT in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026

TLT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 39 of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLT as a result. In 71 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLT just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where TLT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

Following a +2.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLT advanced for three days, in 194 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TLT moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 22 of the 23 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

TLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for TLT entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
TLHTLT
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
75%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
61%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
75%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
73%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
72%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
65%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
69%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 20 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 20 days ago
78%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
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