TLT
Price
$81.74
Change
+$1.50 (+1.87%)
Updated
Oct 22 closing price
Net Assets
46.91B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
UTEN
Price
$41.59
Change
+$0.50 (+1.22%)
Updated
Oct 22 closing price
Net Assets
259.32M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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TLT vs UTEN

TLT vs UTEN Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) vs. F/m US Treasury 10 Year Note ETF (UTEN)

Key Takeaways

  • TLT provides broad exposure to U.S. Treasuries with maturities exceeding 20 years, resulting in significantly higher interest rate sensitivity compared to UTEN’s targeted 10-year note focus.
  • Both ETFs maintain identical expense ratios of 0.15%, offering cost parity for investors seeking government bond exposure.
  • TLT holds approximately 47 securities in a passive index-tracking structure, delivering greater diversification within the long-duration segment than UTEN’s concentrated single-note approach.
  • UTEN’s strategy centers on the most recently issued on-the-run 10-year Treasury note, enabling precise duration targeting with minimal holdings.
  • TLT exhibits substantially higher trading liquidity and assets under management, making it more suitable for large-scale or frequent positioning.
  • In the current Treasury market environment, duration differences drive relative risk profiles, with TLT carrying elevated volatility from longer maturities.

Introduction

Investors seeking U.S. Treasury exposure often compare duration-specific vehicles to align with interest rate outlooks and portfolio risk targets. TLT and UTEN both deliver passive government bond strategies but target distinct segments of the yield curve. TLT emphasizes long-duration bonds, while UTEN focuses on the intermediate 10-year tenor. These ETFs serve as alternatives within the fixed-income sector rather than direct competitors, allowing investors to express views on different maturity buckets or to fine-tune overall portfolio duration without holding individual bonds.

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Overview

TLT seeks to track the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index, providing exposure to U.S. Treasury securities with remaining maturities greater than 20 years. The fund holds approximately 47 bonds and maintains a passive, index-replicating strategy with monthly rebalancing aligned to index rules. Top holdings typically include longer-maturity issues such as various 30-year and 20+-year Treasury bonds. Allocations are 100% in U.S. Treasuries, with no sector diversification beyond government debt. The expense ratio stands at 0.15%. Distinguishing features include high liquidity, deep options markets, and substantial scale that supports institutional use for duration management and hedging.

F/m US Treasury 10 Year Note ETF (UTEN) Overview

UTEN aims to track the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bellwether 10Y Total Return USD Unhedged Index, which consists of the single most recently issued 10-year U.S. Treasury note. The fund typically holds two positions—the on-the-run note and a small cash allocation—reflecting its single-security, passive strategy. Rebalancing occurs as new 10-year notes are auctioned, rolling into the latest issue. Expense ratio is 0.15%. This structure offers targeted intermediate-duration exposure with monthly distributions. Key characteristics include minimal holdings concentration and operational efficiency for investors requiring precise 10-year tenor positioning.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The U.S. Treasury market remains central to global fixed-income strategies amid evolving monetary policy expectations and fiscal dynamics. Both ETFs respond to interest rate movements, with longer-duration instruments like those in TLT displaying greater price sensitivity. Capital flows into Treasury ETFs reflect demand for safe-haven assets and duration hedging. Macro drivers include Federal Reserve policy signals, inflation trends, and government borrowing needs. Risks encompass interest rate volatility and potential shifts in supply dynamics, while opportunities arise from yield curve positioning across maturities.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent market cycles, TLT has shown higher volatility due to its extended duration, amplifying price responses to rate changes. UTEN has delivered comparatively steadier behavior aligned with the 10-year segment. In periods of shifting rate expectations, TLT’s longer-maturity focus has produced more pronounced movements relative to UTEN’s intermediate exposure. Relative positioning favors TLT for investors seeking amplified duration effects and UTEN for more contained sensitivity within the Treasury complex.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your ETF analysis.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable factors including structural strength, liquidity profile, diversification, and established positioning within the long-duration Treasury segment, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favor to TLT. Its scale, trading depth, and broad index coverage provide advantages in risk management and execution efficiency over UTEN’s more concentrated single-note strategy.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

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TLT vs. UTEN commentary
Oct 23, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is TLT is a StrongBuy and UTEN is a Buy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TLT with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

TLT in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026

TLT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 40 of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLT as a result. In 70 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLT just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where TLT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Following a +2.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLT advanced for three days, in 194 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

TLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for TLT entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for UTEN with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

UTEN's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UTEN turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where UTEN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UTEN as a result. In 40 of 71 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

UTEN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +0.86% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UTEN advanced for three days, in 132 of 242 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UTEN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

UTEN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for UTEN entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
TLTUTEN
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
57%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
56%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
69%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
66%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
59%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
61%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
69%
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
55%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 18 days ago
78%
Bearish Trend 18 days ago
58%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
59%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
61%