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TM vs TOYOF
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) vs. Toyota Industries Corporation (TOYOF) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- TM trades around $188 with a market cap over $220B, showing YTD gains of about 12% but recent weeks of downward pressure amid broader auto sector challenges.
- TOYOF, the OTC ticker for Toyota Industries (world's top forklift maker), hovers near $19, with similar YTD performance around 12% and lower liquidity.
- Both offer attractive dividends near 3%, low betas under 0.5 indicating stability, and P/E ratios around 10-11, appealing for value-oriented investors.
- Recent market activity reflects supply chain strains and geopolitical risks, yet hybrids and industrial equipment provide resilience for TM and TOYOF.
- Tickeron's AI tools favor TM in short-term trend consistency due to higher liquidity and global scale.
- Long-term, both benefit from Toyota Group's ecosystem, but TM's vehicle focus edges out in growth catalysts like hydrogen tech.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines TM (Toyota Motor Corporation) and TOYOF (Toyota Industries Corporation), two pillars of the Toyota ecosystem. TM dominates global vehicle manufacturing, while TOYOF leads in industrial equipment like forklifts. Traders seeking exposure to automotive and materials handling sectors, or investors eyeing value plays with dividends and low volatility, will find this analysis relevant. In the current environment of supply disruptions and electrification shifts, their relative performance highlights trade-offs in scale, liquidity, and sector resilience.
TM Overview and Recent Performance
Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) designs, manufactures, and sells vehicles worldwide, emphasizing hybrids, hydrogen fuel cells, and EVs. With a market cap exceeding $220 billion, it holds a P/E ratio (price-to-earnings, a valuation multiple) of about 10.6 and a beta (volatility measure vs. market) of 0.33, signaling stability. Shares trade around $188, within a 52-week range of $167-$249.
In recent weeks, TM has faced downward momentum, declining roughly 8% monthly amid U.S. sales dips (down 8.5% in March) and Middle East disruptions impacting suppliers. Sentiment reflects tariff concerns and EV transition costs, offset by hydrogen collaborations like Hyroad Energy and executive shifts for sustainability. YTD returns stand at 12%, trailing Nikkei but with strong 3-year gains of 47%.
TOYOF Overview and Recent Performance
Toyota Industries Corporation (TOYOF), trading OTC, is the world's largest forklift manufacturer by revenue, also producing textile machinery, engines, and logistics solutions. As Toyota Group's origin (founded 1926), it supports automotive via parts. Shares near $19, with a 52-week range of $16-$25, similar P/E around 10.6, dividend yield of 3.1%, and low beta.
Recent market activity mirrors TM, with shares down about 10% monthly and low volume. YTD performance is 12%, 1-year flat at 0.07%, but 5-year returns reach 72%. Influences include fiscal 2025 results over ¥4 trillion in sales and Toyota Motor's buyout talks (raised to $35B earlier), boosting prior highs but now stabilizing amid industrial demand steadiness.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
TM boasts massive scale in passenger vehicles and global reach, driving growth via hybrids and hydrogen (e.g., fuel cell trucks), but faces higher exposure to consumer cyclicality, tariffs, and EV competition. TOYOF differentiates with industrial focus—forklifts (top global share), logistics—offering steadier B2B demand less tied to auto sales cycles.
Recent momentum favors neither strongly, both down in recent weeks on shared supply/geopolitical risks, but TM's higher liquidity (NYSE vs. OTC) aids traders. Risk factors: TM more volatile on volume; TOYOF illiquid but potentially undervalued post-buyout buzz. Sector exposure contrasts autos (hybrids strong) vs. materials handling (logistics boom). Sentiment tilts to TM for scale, though TOYOF offers diversification.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI leans toward TM currently, citing superior short-term trend signals, liquidity for execution, and catalysts like hydrogen advancements amid auto resilience. While TOYOF shows long-term value parity, TM's stability (low beta) and relative positioning suggest higher probability of outperformance in coming months, barring major shifts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To understand the difference between Toyota Motor Corporation - ADR (TM) vs. Toyota Motor Corporation (TOYOF) it is enough to know the definitions of ADR
ADR - American depositary receipt (ADR) is a certificate issued by a U.S. depositary bank representing a specified number of shares (often 1 share) of a foreign company's stock. ADRs are denominated in U.S. dollars and trade on U.S. stock markets and OTC depending on the ADRs classification.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
TM’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTOYOF’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- TM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TOYOF’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
TM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TOYOF’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- TM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TOYOF’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
TM (@Motor Vehicles) experienced а -2.39% price change this week, while TOYOF (@Motor Vehicles) price change was -0.63% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Motor Vehicles industry was +3.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.09%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12.41%.
Reported Earning Dates
TM is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Motor Vehicles (+3.04% weekly)Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.
| TM | TOYOF | TM / TOYOF | |
| Capitalization | 217B | 217B | 100% |
| EBITDA | 7.63T | 7.63T | 100% |
| Gain YTD | -14.136 | -11.622 | 122% |
| P/E Ratio | 9.75 | 9.99 | 98% |
| Revenue | 50.69T | 50.69T | 100% |
| Total Cash | 16.64T | 16.64T | 100% |
| Total Debt | 43.21T | 43.21T | 100% |
TM | TOYOF | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 51 | 87 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 27 Undervalued | 28 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 75 | 78 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 65 | 65 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 82 | 81 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 27 | 24 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TM's Valuation (27) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as TOYOF (28) in the null industry. This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to TOYOF’s over the last 12 months.
TM's Profit vs Risk Rating (75) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as TOYOF (78) in the null industry. This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to TOYOF’s over the last 12 months.
TM's SMR Rating (65) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as TOYOF (65) in the null industry. This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to TOYOF’s over the last 12 months.
TOYOF's Price Growth Rating (81) in the null industry is in the same range as TM (82) in the Motor Vehicles industry. This means that TOYOF’s stock grew similarly to TM’s over the last 12 months.
TOYOF's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the null industry is in the same range as TM (27) in the Motor Vehicles industry. This means that TOYOF’s stock grew similarly to TM’s over the last 12 months.
| TM | TOYOF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 56% | 7 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 75% |
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TM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TM has been closely correlated with TOYOF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TM jumps, then TOYOF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TM | 100% | -1.99% | ||
| TOYOF - TM | 83% Closely correlated | -1.07% | ||
| HMC - TM | 73% Closely correlated | -2.16% | ||
| FUJHY - TM | 66% Closely correlated | -2.06% | ||
| MZDAY - TM | 59% Loosely correlated | +0.32% | ||
| NSANY - TM | 49% Loosely correlated | +0.94% | ||
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TOYOF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TOYOF has been closely correlated with TM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TOYOF jumps, then TM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TOYOF | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOYOF | 100% | -1.07% | ||
| TM - TOYOF | 84% Closely correlated | -1.99% | ||
| FUJHY - TOYOF | 59% Loosely correlated | -2.06% | ||
| HMC - TOYOF | 58% Loosely correlated | -2.16% | ||
| MZDAY - TOYOF | 49% Loosely correlated | +0.32% | ||
| NSANY - TOYOF | 40% Loosely correlated | +0.94% | ||
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