Aflac Inc offers supplemental health insurance and life insurance in the United States and Japan... Show more
Aflac Incorporated, a leading provider of supplemental health and life insurance, operates primarily in Japan and the U.S. This first quarter 2026 report is crucial as it reflects the company's resilience amid currency headwinds from a weaker yen and variable investment returns. Investors watch closely for sales momentum in Japan, where new products drove growth, and steady U.S. expansion in group benefits. With shares repurchased aggressively and dividends hiked for the 43rd consecutive year, the results underscore Aflac's capital return strategy. In a competitive insurance landscape, these earnings signal operational execution and potential for profitable growth, influencing valuation amid interest rate shifts and economic uncertainty.
Aflac delivered first quarter 2026 total revenues of $4.346 billion, surging 27.9% from $3.398 billion in the prior year, largely due to net investment gains of $49 million compared to losses of $963 million last year. Net earnings reached $1.019 billion, or $1.98 per diluted share, versus $29 million, or $0.05 per share, a year ago.
However, on an adjusted basis excluding investment gains/losses, earnings were $901 million, down 0.6% year-over-year, with adjusted EPS of $1.75, up 5.4% from $1.66 but missing Wall Street's $1.80 consensus. Revenue exceeded expectations of around $4.32 billion.
In Japan, pretax adjusted earnings rose 8.3% in yen to ¥119 billion ($759 million), with new business sales up 25.5% despite a 1 percentage point drop in premium persistency to 92.8%. U.S. pretax adjusted earnings grew 1.4% to $363 million, with sales up 2.9% and persistency steady at 79.3%. Adjusted net investment income was $902 million, slightly below prior year.
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Following the April 29 after-market release, Aflac shares traded lower in pre-market on April 30, dropping about 3.9% to $111.67 overnight, reflecting disappointment over the adjusted EPS miss despite the revenue beat. By market close on April 30, the stock recovered somewhat, ending at $116.21, down just 0.07% from the April 29 close of $116.29. Sentiment appears mixed, with praise for Japan sales growth and capital returns tempered by weaker investment income and currency impacts.
Aflac emphasized continued focus on profitable growth through product innovation in Japan and the U.S., with no major changes to prior guidance. The company anticipates Japan's earned premiums to decline 1-2% for full-year 2026, while U.S. premiums target the lower end of 3-6% growth.
Investors should track Japan premium persistency, which dipped slightly this quarter, and new sales momentum from hits like Anshin Palette medical insurance. In the U.S., group voluntary benefits and dental/vision uptake remain key amid competitive pressures.
Investment portfolio performance is critical, as variable income fell short of expectations by $14 million. A weaker yen (average 156.87 vs. 152.40 prior year) pressured USD results, so currency trends will influence adjusted EPS. Ongoing share repurchases—$1.0 billion this quarter—and the 43-year dividend increase streak signal strong capital deployment, but rising interest expenses in corporate warrant attention.
Upcoming catalysts include the Q2 earnings in August and broader economic signals affecting supplemental insurance demand, such as healthcare costs and employment trends.
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a provider of supplemental life and health insurance services
Industry LifeHealthInsurance