Howmet Aerospace Inc offers engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries... Show more
Howmet Aerospace is a leading supplier of advanced engineered components for aerospace and transportation markets, including jet engine parts, precision fasteners, and forged aluminum wheels. Its quarterly results offer a direct read-through on commercial aircraft build rates, engine aftermarket demand, and industrial gas turbine activity. After second-quarter 2026 delivered 24% revenue growth and record margin expansion, third-quarter guidance implies continued momentum. Investors are watching closely whether aerospace and power-generation demand can sustain that pace, and whether margins and cash generation stay on track amid rising capital expenditures and the integration of the CAM fastener acquisition completed in April 2026.
For the third quarter of 2026, Howmet Aerospace guided revenue to a range of $2.565–$2.585 billion, adjusted EBITDA to $825–$835 million, and adjusted EPS to $1.34–$1.36. That guidance, issued alongside second-quarter results in August 2026, landed above the consensus estimate of roughly $1.26 at the time, prompting analysts to lift their forecasts.
Heading into the report, consensus estimates sit near $1.36 in adjusted EPS on about $2.58 billion in revenue. The year-over-year comparison is steep but favorable: in third-quarter 2025, Howmet posted adjusted EPS of $0.95 on revenue of $2.09 billion, meaning current guidance implies roughly 40% earnings growth at the midpoint.
Investors will also focus on adjusted EBITDA margin, which reached 32.1% in the second quarter of 2026 (up approximately 340 basis points, or 3.4 percentage points, year over year), and on free cash flow, with full-year 2026 guidance set at $1.85–$1.95 billion. Segment-level detail across Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Forged Wheels, and Engineered Structures will help gauge the breadth of demand.
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Howmet Aerospace has a track record of beating consensus estimates, delivering positive earnings surprises in each of the past several quarters. Sentiment heading into the third-quarter report remains constructive, supported by strong commercial aerospace build rates, record order backlogs, and what management has described as "extraordinary" gas turbine demand.
Still, the setup carries risk. Following its second-quarter 2026 report, the stock experienced a notable post-earnings drift, a reminder that even strong results can be met with elevated expectations. Because the company’s own guidance was set above the then-current consensus, a simple in-line result may not satisfy a market that has already priced in robust growth. Valuation, margin sustainability, and commentary on capital spending will be closely scrutinized.
Beyond the third-quarter headline, investors should watch whether management reaffirms or adjusts its full-year 2026 outlook. Current guidance calls for revenue of $10.00–$10.10 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $3.21–$3.25 billion, adjusted EPS of $5.23–$5.31, and free cash flow of $1.85–$1.95 billion.
Capital expenditure is a key theme. Management has signaled that spending requirements are rising and may increase further in 2027 to support organic growth in both aerospace and gas turbines. The pace and scale of that investment will shape how investors view future cash flow and free cash flow conversion.
The integration of the CAM fastener acquisition is another area to track, alongside debt actions that management expects to reduce annualized interest expense by about $12 million. On the demand side, commercial aircraft production rates, engine spares activity, defense programs, and the early recovery in commercial transportation volumes will all influence the growth trajectory. Balanced against these positives, any softening in build rates or power-generation orders would be the primary downside to monitor.
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a company, which engages in manufacturing and engineering of lightweight metals
Industry AerospaceDefense