Howmet Aerospace Inc offers engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries... Show more
Howmet Aerospace Inc., headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, is a leading global provider of advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace, gas turbine, and transportation industries. The company operates through four segments: Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. Its core offerings include investment castings such as airfoils, seamless rolled rings, aerospace fastening systems, titanium ingots and mill products, and forged aluminum wheels for commercial transportation. With roughly 1,200 granted and pending patents, Howmet's technologies enable lighter, more fuel-efficient aircraft and trucks. Investors follow the stock for its exposure to commercial aerospace, defense, and industrial gas turbines, including rising demand tied to power generation for data centers.
Over the 30 days through late October, HWM declined approximately 20%, from a closing level of about $232.48 to $185.91. The slide accelerated in the final week of the period, with shares falling from roughly $211 to $186 across four consecutive sessions. The move is part of a larger trend: over the last quarter, the stock has fallen about 35% from near $287 in late July. After reaching a 52-week high of $310 on August 6 following strong second-quarter results, shares retraced much of that advance and now trade near their 52-week low.
The recent decline was driven primarily by competitive concerns rather than weak company results. Reports that SpaceX intends to build in-house turbine blade and vane casting at a new foundry in Bastrop, Texas, raised questions about Howmet's future share of industrial gas-turbine castings. At the same time, GE Aerospace's agreement to acquire castings supplier Consolidated Precision Products for $11.75 billion added to uncertainty around Howmet's long-term competitive position in aerospace castings.
Broader market forces amplified the selling. Defense budget uncertainty and a rotation out of richly valued aerospace-and-defense suppliers weighed on the sector, and cautious positioning ahead of the October 29 earnings report added pressure. Analyst actions were mixed: RBC Capital lowered its price target to $300 from $350, TD Cowen cut its target to $280 from $320, and Wells Fargo reduced its target, while Goldman Sachs, Susquehanna, Citi, and Bernstein maintained Buy ratings and Morgan Stanley named Howmet a top pick in the sector.
The quarterly decline reflects a sharp de-rating from an elevated valuation. Howmet reached its 52-week high of $310 on August 6 after reporting second-quarter revenue of $2.55 billion (up 24% year over year) and adjusted EPS of $1.33 (up 46%), while raising full-year guidance. The stock then reversed as late-August comments about SpaceX's in-house casting plans triggered a single-day drop of roughly 7.5%. In the months that followed, the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF weakened on defense-spending concerns, and investors reassessed premium multiples across the supplier group. Howmet's forward price-to-earnings ratio, which had traded well above the industry average, compressed as sentiment cooled even though reported results and guidance remained solid.
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The next major catalyst is Howmet's third-quarter earnings report on October 29, with consensus expectations of roughly $1.37 in EPS on about $2.59 billion in revenue. Investors will focus on management's full-year guidance and commentary on aerospace aftermarket demand, commercial delivery rates, and industrial gas-turbine growth. Competitive developments remain central, including any further detail on SpaceX's casting plans and the integration of CPP within GE Aerospace. Macro factors such as U.S. defense budget outcomes and midterm election clarity could also influence sentiment across the aerospace-and-defense sector. These forward-looking drivers are informational and do not constitute investment advice.
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The 50-day moving average for HWM moved below the 200-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HWM as a result. In 45 of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HWM turned negative on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 62%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HWM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
The Aroon Indicator for HWM entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HWM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 10 of 16 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 35 of 47 cases where HWM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +7.27% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HWM advanced for three days, in 255 of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
HWM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HWM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: HWM's P/B Ratio (13.861) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.106). P/E Ratio (42.751) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.082). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.450) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.003) settles around the average of (0.060) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.081) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a company, which engages in manufacturing and engineering of lightweight metals
Industry AerospaceDefense