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Howmet Aerospace Inc offers engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries... Show more

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A.I.Advisor
Oct 26, 2026

Why Howmet Aerospace (HWM) Stock Is Down -20% in the Last 30 Days

Key Takeaways

  • Howmet Aerospace (HWM) shares fell roughly 20% over the trailing 30 days, sliding from about $232 to near $186 as competitive and sector-wide pressures intensified.
  • The decline extends a broader three-month pullback of roughly 35% from levels near $287 in late July.
  • Investor sentiment was pressured by SpaceX's plan to bring gas-turbine blade and vane casting in-house and General Electric (GE) Aerospace's $11.75 billion agreement to acquire castings supplier CPP.
  • Defense budget uncertainty and a rotation out of premium-valued aerospace suppliers compounded the selloff even as underlying fundamentals remained strong.
  • Q2 2026 revenue rose 24% and adjusted EPS rose 46% year over year, and management raised full-year guidance; Q3 results are scheduled for October 29.
  • Get additional detail on Howmet Aerospace's Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast on Tickeron's dedicated pages.
  • Explore Trending AI Robots to see AI-driven trading strategies active across the market.

Howmet Aerospace (HWM) Company Overview and Market Position

Howmet Aerospace Inc., headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, is a leading global provider of advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace, gas turbine, and transportation industries. The company operates through four segments: Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. Its core offerings include investment castings such as airfoils, seamless rolled rings, aerospace fastening systems, titanium ingots and mill products, and forged aluminum wheels for commercial transportation. With roughly 1,200 granted and pending patents, Howmet's technologies enable lighter, more fuel-efficient aircraft and trucks. Investors follow the stock for its exposure to commercial aerospace, defense, and industrial gas turbines, including rising demand tied to power generation for data centers.

Howmet Aerospace (HWM) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter

Over the 30 days through late October, HWM declined approximately 20%, from a closing level of about $232.48 to $185.91. The slide accelerated in the final week of the period, with shares falling from roughly $211 to $186 across four consecutive sessions. The move is part of a larger trend: over the last quarter, the stock has fallen about 35% from near $287 in late July. After reaching a 52-week high of $310 on August 6 following strong second-quarter results, shares retraced much of that advance and now trade near their 52-week low.

What Drove HWM Stock Price in the Last 30 Days

The recent decline was driven primarily by competitive concerns rather than weak company results. Reports that SpaceX intends to build in-house turbine blade and vane casting at a new foundry in Bastrop, Texas, raised questions about Howmet's future share of industrial gas-turbine castings. At the same time, GE Aerospace's agreement to acquire castings supplier Consolidated Precision Products for $11.75 billion added to uncertainty around Howmet's long-term competitive position in aerospace castings.

Broader market forces amplified the selling. Defense budget uncertainty and a rotation out of richly valued aerospace-and-defense suppliers weighed on the sector, and cautious positioning ahead of the October 29 earnings report added pressure. Analyst actions were mixed: RBC Capital lowered its price target to $300 from $350, TD Cowen cut its target to $280 from $320, and Wells Fargo reduced its target, while Goldman Sachs, Susquehanna, Citi, and Bernstein maintained Buy ratings and Morgan Stanley named Howmet a top pick in the sector.

What Drove HWM Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter

The quarterly decline reflects a sharp de-rating from an elevated valuation. Howmet reached its 52-week high of $310 on August 6 after reporting second-quarter revenue of $2.55 billion (up 24% year over year) and adjusted EPS of $1.33 (up 46%), while raising full-year guidance. The stock then reversed as late-August comments about SpaceX's in-house casting plans triggered a single-day drop of roughly 7.5%. In the months that followed, the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF weakened on defense-spending concerns, and investors reassessed premium multiples across the supplier group. Howmet's forward price-to-earnings ratio, which had traded well above the industry average, compressed as sentiment cooled even though reported results and guidance remained solid.

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Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of AI-powered trading bots. While Tickeron offers hundreds of bots trading thousands of tickers, only the top-performing and most relevant strategies are highlighted in this section, helping traders filter signal from noise. The bots vary widely in strategy, timeframe, and performance metrics, covering approaches from short-term technical patterns to longer-horizon trend-following systems. For investors monitoring names like Howmet Aerospace, these tools offer an additional, data-driven perspective on market activity. Browsing the section can help traders identify AI strategies aligned with their own objectives and risk tolerance.

HWM Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next

The next major catalyst is Howmet's third-quarter earnings report on October 29, with consensus expectations of roughly $1.37 in EPS on about $2.59 billion in revenue. Investors will focus on management's full-year guidance and commentary on aerospace aftermarket demand, commercial delivery rates, and industrial gas-turbine growth. Competitive developments remain central, including any further detail on SpaceX's casting plans and the integration of CPP within GE Aerospace. Macro factors such as U.S. defense budget outcomes and midterm election clarity could also influence sentiment across the aerospace-and-defense sector. These forward-looking drivers are informational and do not constitute investment advice.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for HWM with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

HWM sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for HWM moved below the 200-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HWM as a result. In 45 of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HWM turned negative on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 62%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HWM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

The Aroon Indicator for HWM entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HWM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 10 of 16 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 35 of 47 cases where HWM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Following a +7.27% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HWM advanced for three days, in 255 of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

HWM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HWM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: HWM's P/B Ratio (13.861) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.106). P/E Ratio (42.751) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.082). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.450) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.003) settles around the average of (0.060) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.081) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

HWM is expected to pay dividends on November 25, 2026

Howmet Aerospace HWM Stock Dividends
A quarterly dividend of $0.14 per share will be paid with a record date of November 25, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of November 06, 2026. The last dividend of $0.14 was paid on August 25. Read more...
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published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE), Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:LMT), Boeing Company (NYSE:BA), Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:NOC), Virgin Galactic Holdings (NYSE:SPCE).

Industry description

Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Aerospace & Defense Industry is 37.85B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.49 to 1.78T. SPCX holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.78T. The lowest valued company is BDRPF at 4.49.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -17%. FBDT experienced the highest price growth at 26%, while VWAV experienced the biggest fall at -28%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was 5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -3% and the average quarterly volume growth was 7%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 11 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a company, which engages in manufacturing and engineering of lightweight metals

Industry AerospaceDefense

Industry
N/A
Address
201 Isabella Street
Phone
+1 412 553-1950
Employees
25430
Web
https://www.howmet.com
Why Howmet Aerospace (HWM) Stock Is Down -20% in the Last 30 Days