MNTN stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
MNTN Inc is a performance TV software company... Show more
MNTN (MNTN) Stock Analysis: A Profitable Connected TV Growth Story Trading Below Its IPO Price
Key Takeaways
- MNTN, Inc. (NYSE: MNTN) is a connected TV (CTV) advertising software platform whose self-serve "Performance TV" product lets brands run measurable television campaigns with search-and-social-style simplicity.
- Shares last closed near $9.68, down roughly 8% over the trailing month and well below the company's $16 IPO price, even as revenue and profitability continue to improve.
- Second-quarter 2026 revenue rose 21% year over year to $82.5 million, while adjusted EBITDA climbed 48% to $21.5 million.
- Wall Street consensus remains a Buy, with an average 12-month price target near $18 and individual targets ranging from about $15 to $22.
- Growth is being driven by new product tiers (Express, Pro, Premium), the QuickFrame AI creative suite, and expanding access to premium sports and live-streaming inventory.
- Management guided third-quarter 2026 revenue to $86–89 million (about 25% growth at the midpoint) and reiterated full-year revenue of $347–357 million.
- For additional context on valuation and expectations, explore MNTN's Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast pages.
- Explore Trending AI Robots to review top-performing automated trading strategies across the market.
Current Market Snapshot
MNTN last closed at $9.68, leaving the stock down about 8% over the past month from roughly $10.56 in late September. The decline extends a longer slide: the shares are down more than 40% from their $16 May 2025 IPO price and remain far below their 52-week high of $18.61, though comfortably above the 52-week low of $7.67. With roughly 74.8 million shares outstanding, the company carries a market capitalization near $720 million.
The contrast between fundamentals and price action is notable. The business is expanding revenue at a double-digit pace and generating positive net income, yet investor sentiment has been tempered by an earnings-per-share figure that landed below consensus in August, a sharp single-session decline in late September, elevated short interest, and reported insider selling from one large holder.
MNTN (MNTN) Business Overview and Competitive Position
Headquartered in Austin, Texas, and founded in 2009, MNTN brands itself as "the Hardest Working Software in Television." Its platform brings performance marketing to connected TV, allowing small and mid-sized advertisers to plan, launch, and measure streaming campaigns with the ease and accountability typically associated with search and social advertising. The company says the vast majority of its advertisers had never bought television advertising before using its platform.
MNTN's core offering, Performance TV, is sold through three tiers — Express, Pro, and Premium — aimed at different advertiser sizes. The company complements this with MNTN Matched, an AI-powered targeting and data tool, and QuickFrame AI, a creative suite for generating and editing TV-ready video. At the end of the second quarter, MNTN reported 4,225 active Performance TV customers on a trailing-12-month basis, up about 40% year over year, with a customer expansion rate management described as well north of 115%.
Recent Developments Driving MNTN
Several product and data integrations have extended MNTN's platform reach in recent weeks. The company brought Tealium first-party audience data natively into MNTN Matched to sharpen AI-powered targeting, and announced an expanded AppsFlyer integration that gives mobile marketers clearer visibility into how Performance TV campaigns drive app installs and in-app actions. MNTN also confirmed it will report third-quarter 2026 results on November 4 and was recognized as a 2026 Inc. Power Partner Award winner for a third consecutive year.
The shares have nevertheless faced pressure. A late-September session saw an intraday decline of roughly 8% to 9%, contributing to the month's overall slide. Short interest stood near 4 million shares in late September, equivalent to roughly four days of average volume. Separately, the company remains involved in patent litigation with Alpha Modus, where a federal court denied MNTN's motion to dismiss and moved the case into claim construction and discovery.
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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch
The next major catalyst is MNTN's third-quarter 2026 earnings report on November 4, where investors will focus on whether revenue lands within the $86–89 million guidance range and whether adjusted EBITDA of $22–25 million materializes as guided. Management has reiterated full-year revenue of $347–357 million and adjusted EBITDA of $96–101 million, excluding the Maximum Effort divestiture.
Beyond the quarter, key watch items include the pace of MNTN Express adoption among small businesses, progress toward monetizing QuickFrame AI, and continued expansion of premium sports and live-streaming inventory. The company's $100 million share repurchase authorization, running through August 2027, provides a capital-allocation backstop. Macro risks such as advertising-budget sensitivity, political-spending-driven CPM volatility, and intensifying competition in CTV advertising remain worth monitoring alongside the Street's evolving price targets.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
MNTN in +10.20% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on November 04, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where MNTN advanced for three days, in 61 of 119 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
MNTN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MNTN as a result. In 22 of 68 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 32%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MNTN turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 13 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 28%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MNTN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Aroon Indicator for MNTN entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.193) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.906). P/E Ratio (2.978) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.554). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.069) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.814) is also within normal values, averaging (70.383).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MNTN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MNTN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
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