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MNTN
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MNTN stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

MNTN Inc is a performance TV software company... Show more

MNTN
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Why Is MNTN, Inc. (MNTN) Stock Down -22.49% Today?

Key Takeaways

  • MNTN, Inc. (MNTN) shares plunged 22.49% to $8.81 in the May 6 session from the prior close of $11.36.
  • Primary catalyst: Post-earnings selloff after Q1 results showed a narrow EPS miss ($0.11 vs. $0.12 expected) and Q2 revenue guidance below consensus ($81-83M vs. ~$85M).
  • Secondary drivers: Profit-taking following a 7.37% rally on May 5 amid high expectations for record results.
  • Trading volume spiked to over 1.3 million shares, 150%+ above the 3-month average of ~850K, indicating heavy selling pressure.
  • Move diverged from flat broader market; ad tech peers mixed but MNTN underperformed sharply.
  • Traders watching Q2 execution, AI product adoption like QuickFrame AI 3.0, and analyst updates amid strong full-year guidance.

Opening Summary

MNTN, Inc. (MNTN), a technology platform delivering performance marketing to Connected TV advertising, saw shares plunge 22.49% on May 6, 2026. The stock closed the prior session at $11.36 after a 7.37% gain but opened at $10.63 and fell to a low of $8.65 amid heavy volume. Markets attributed the sharp decline to investor disappointment over a slight earnings miss and conservative Q2 guidance, overshadowing robust revenue growth and profitability gains.

Earnings Results

MNTN reported record Q1 2026 results after market close on May 5, with revenue of $73.7 million, up 25% year-over-year on an adjusted basis (14% GAAP) and beating estimates by 1.05%. The company swung to positive net income and delivered adjusted EBITDA of $16.3 million, up 74% year-over-year with gross margins expanding to 81% from 69%. However, EPS of $0.11 narrowly missed the $0.12 consensus by 4.35%, prompting a negative reaction. Investors focused on the shortfall despite the overall beat on key metrics like revenue and margins.

Q2 Guidance Disappointment

Adding pressure, MNTN guided Q2 revenue to $81-83 million, implying 20% growth at the midpoint but falling short of analyst expectations around $85 million. Full-year 2026 guidance was raised to $347-357 million (24% adjusted growth), with adjusted EBITDA of $96-101 million, signaling confidence in scaling. Yet the Q2 conservatism, amid high growth expectations for the ad tech space, fueled selling as traders questioned near-term momentum.

Market Context and Trading Activity

Volume surged to over 1.3 million shares by midday, more than 150% above the 850K average, reflecting intense profit-taking after the May 5 rally. The stock breached key support near $10, the 50-day moving average, and approached the recent low around $8.65, signaling potential further downside if $7.71 52-week low tests. Broader indices were mixed, but ad tech peers like PubMatic (PUBM) fell less sharply, highlighting MNTN-specific reaction. The move decoupled from sector ETFs amid post-earnings digestion.

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What Comes Next for MNTN

Investors eye Q2 execution against guidance, with focus on Performance TV adoption and QuickFrame AI 3.0 rollout for creative efficiency. Upcoming earnings in August will test full-year trajectory amid analyst price targets averaging $21+. Sector tailwinds in CTV ad spend persist, but risks include macroeconomic ad budget cuts and competition. Analyst consensus remains bullish with "Strong Buy" ratings, though short interest at ~3.6% of float adds volatility potential.

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for MNTN with price predictions
May 12, 2026

MNTN in -4.79% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on May 12, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where MNTN declined for three days, in of 85 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MNTN moved out of overbought territory on May 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MNTN as a result. In of 60 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MNTN turned negative on May 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

MNTN moved below its 50-day moving average on May 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MNTN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 9 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MNTN advanced for three days, in of 85 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MNTN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 268 cases where MNTN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.891) is normal, around the industry mean (22.437). P/E Ratio (5.863) is within average values for comparable stocks, (67.500). MNTN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.619). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.013) is also within normal values, averaging (53.901).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MNTN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MNTN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 96, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Zoom Communications Inc (NASDAQ:ZM), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 6.2B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 198.47B. SAPGF holds the highest valuation in this group at 198.47B. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 38%. SFCX experienced the highest price growth at 59%, while RPGL experienced the biggest fall at -73%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -17%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -25% and the average quarterly volume growth was 11%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 76
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 95
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

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Why Is MNTN, Inc. (MNTN) Stock Down -22.49% Today?