Rogers Communications is the largest wireless service provider in Canada with more than 11 million subscribers, equating to one-third of the total Canadian market... Show more
Rogers Communications, Canada's largest wireless provider, faces intense competition and regulatory pressures in the telecom sector. This Q1 2026 report, covering the quarter ended March 31, 2026, highlights progress post-Shaw merger integration, with focus on wireless growth, cable stability, and media expansion via MLSE (Maple Leaf Sports & Entertainment) assets. Investors watch for cash flow generation to support deleveraging and dividends amid rising interest costs and capex discipline. Strong results signal operational efficiency, crucial for sustaining market share against rivals like BCE and Telus in a maturing market.
Rogers reported total revenue of CAD 5.5 billion, up 10% from CAD 5.0 billion in Q1 2025, surpassing consensus estimates by about 1.4%. Total service revenue hit CAD 4.9 billion, also up 10% year-over-year, fueled by an 82% surge in media revenue to CAD 988 million from MLSE contributions.
Adjusted EBITDA increased 5% to CAD 2.4 billion, with margins at 43.1%, reflecting growth across segments: wireless up 1%, cable up 1% (2% organically), and media turning breakeven from a loss. Net income attributable to shareholders rose 56% to CAD 438 million, yielding diluted EPS of CAD 0.80. Adjusted diluted EPS of CAD 1.01 edged up 2% year-over-year and topped expectations.
Operationally, wireless added 28,000 postpaid mobile phones (ARPU—average revenue per user—at CAD 55.60, down slightly) with churn at 1.22% (up from 1.01%). Cable saw 7,000 retail internet adds, ARPA (average revenue per account) at CAD 133.16. Free cash flow jumped 32% to CAD 776 million on capex cuts.
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RCI shares rallied around 3% in premarket trading post-earnings, reflecting optimism over revenue beats, robust free cash flow, and upbeat guidance despite mixed segment churn. Investors praised capex efficiency and deleveraging progress, though some noted regulatory headwinds and competitive pressures weighing on ARPU and churn. Sentiment turned positive heading into the quarter, buoyed by MLSE value unlock potential.
Rogers reaffirmed 2026 guidance for total service revenue growth of 3% to 5% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 1% to 3% over 2025 levels. Notably, it slashed capital expenditures to CAD 2.5-2.7 billion (from prior CAD 3.3-3.5 billion), targeting ~12% intensity, while boosting free cash flow outlook to CAD 4.1-4.3 billion—up ~CAD 0.8 billion from last year.
Key to watch: execution on capex reprioritization amid regulatory decisions and competition. Wireless subscriber trends, churn stabilization, and ARPA recovery will signal demand health. In cable, internet growth and bundling penetration (now 45.9%) remain vital.
Media's path to profitability via sports assets, including planned MLSE minority buyout, could unlock value. Broader factors include interest rate impacts on debt, dividend sustainability, and Shaw synergies. Balanced monitoring of these will gauge sustained momentum.
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a provider of communications and media services
Industry MajorTelecommunications