Advertisement
AMD or NVDA or TSM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) vs. NVIDIA (NVDA) vs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AMD, NVDA, and TSM represent interconnected segments of the semiconductor supply chain, with NVDA focused on AI accelerators, AMD on competing chips and processors, and TSM as the primary foundry manufacturer.
- Recent market activity shows AMD shares declining after earnings despite data center revenue growth, influenced by competitive shifts in customer commitments.
- NVDA maintained relative strength amid positive developments in AI infrastructure demand and supplier positioning.
- TSM exhibited steady performance tied to broad AI chip production demand, with year-to-date gains reflecting foundry utilization trends.
- Valuation sensitivity varies, with growth drivers centered on AI but exposed to differing risk factors including customer concentration and geopolitical elements.
- Relative performance in recent weeks highlights contrasts in momentum and external catalysts across the three equities.
Introduction
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), NVIDIA (NVDA), and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) are leading participants in the semiconductor industry, each occupying distinct positions in the AI and high-performance computing ecosystem. This comparison examines their business models, recent price behavior, and market positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating exposure to technology sector growth. Portfolio managers, active traders, and long-term equity allocators focused on relative value within semiconductors may find the analysis relevant for assessing diversification, momentum differentials, and sector-specific risks in the prevailing environment.
AMD Overview and Recent Performance
Advanced Micro Devices designs and markets central processing units, graphics processing units, and related technologies for data centers, gaming, and embedded applications. In recent weeks, the stock experienced volatility following second-quarter earnings that showed data center revenue doubling year-over-year alongside overall revenue of approximately $11.5 billion. Despite narrowly surpassing analyst estimates, shares declined notably after reports of shifting customer preferences toward competing solutions. Sentiment reflected both the strength in AI-related sales and concerns over competitive dynamics, contributing to a pullback from prior highs achieved earlier in the year.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVIDIA specializes in graphics processing units and accelerated computing platforms that power artificial intelligence training and inference workloads. Recent market activity indicated resilience, supported by announcements of expanded commitments from major technology users for AI infrastructure. The company continues to benefit from dominant positioning in data center accelerators, with revenue trends reflecting sustained hyperscale spending. Price behavior in recent weeks showed modest gains amid broader sector movements, underscoring relative stability compared with peers facing direct competitive challenges.
TSM Overview and Recent Performance
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company operates as the world's largest dedicated semiconductor foundry, producing advanced chips for numerous fabless designers. Recent performance has been supported by elevated demand for leading-edge process nodes used in AI accelerators and high-performance computing. The stock recorded year-to-date advances consistent with utilization rates at advanced manufacturing facilities, with price movements in recent weeks remaining relatively contained amid global supply chain considerations. Sentiment has been influenced by ongoing capacity expansions and the company's central role in the semiconductor value chain.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of AI trading bots designed for various market conditions. Tickeron offers hundreds of AI Trading Bots that trade thousands of different tickers, yet only the strongest performers suited to prevailing environments earn placement in the Trending section. Available bots display a wide range of historical metrics, including annualized returns spanning double-digit percentages in favorable periods, varying win rates, maximum drawdowns, and trade frequencies across multiple timeframes and strategies. Each bot employs distinct approaches, from trend-following to mean-reversion, with differing ticker sets and risk parameters. Review the full selection on the Trending AI Robots page for additional details.
Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models differ markedly: NVDA and AMD develop proprietary chip architectures, while TSM provides manufacturing services to both and additional clients. Growth drivers center on AI adoption, though NVDA holds the largest share of accelerator revenue, AMD competes for incremental market share, and TSM captures volume across multiple designers. Recent momentum favored NVDA following customer announcements, contrasted with AMD’s post-earnings reaction and TSM’s steadier trajectory. Risk factors include customer concentration for designers and geographic exposure for the foundry. Valuation multiples reflect growth expectations, with sensitivity to AI spending forecasts and competitive shifts. Sector exposure remains concentrated in semiconductors, where sentiment responds to earnings, technological milestones, and macroeconomic influences on capital expenditure.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in recent market activity, stability of positioning within the AI supply chain, and near-term catalysts, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of relative outperformance to NVDA compared with the alternatives. The assessment incorporates data center demand patterns and competitive developments without implying certainty or future results.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMD’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNVDA’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TSM’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- AMD’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TSM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMD’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVDA’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and TSM’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMD’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- TSM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AMD (@Semiconductors) experienced а -8.00% price change this week, while NVDA (@Semiconductors) price change was -4.64% , and TSM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated -1.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -7.69%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +37.02%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMD is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on Aug 26, 2026.
TSM is expected to report earnings on Oct 15, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-7.69% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| AMD | NVDA | TSM | |
| Capitalization | 773B | 5.2T | 1.96T |
| EBITDA | 8.09B | 193B | 2.99T |
| Gain YTD | 120.980 | 15.277 | 39.280 |
| P/E Ratio | 120.73 | 32.88 | 31.21 |
| Revenue | 37.5B | 253B | 4.1T |
| Total Cash | 12.3B | 80.6B | N/A |
| Total Debt | 3.87B | 12.3B | N/A |
AMD | NVDA | TSM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 20 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 73 Overvalued | 60 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 6 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 12 | 28 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 49 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 26 | 90 | 25 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 85 | 35 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TSM's Valuation (60) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NVDA (73) and is in the same range as AMD (82). This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to NVDA’s and similarly to AMD’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSM (9) and is in the same range as AMD (15). This means that NVDA's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and similarly to AMD’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (12) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSM (28) and is somewhat better than the same rating for AMD (76). This means that NVDA's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and somewhat faster than AMD’s over the last 12 months.
AMD's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSM (43) and is in the same range as NVDA (49). This means that AMD's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's P/E Growth Rating (25) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMD (26) and is somewhat better than the same rating for NVDA (90). This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to AMD’s and somewhat faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
| AMD | NVDA | TSM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | 3 days ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 11 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 69% | 5 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 67% |
Advertisement
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| MFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| SCVNX | 43.76 | 0.22 | +0.51% |
| Allspring Small Company Value Inst | |||
| MUIGX | 20.14 | 0.09 | +0.45% |
| Nationwide BNY Mellon Dyn US Core R6 | |||
| CLIQX | 27.38 | 0.10 | +0.37% |
| Lone Peak Value Super Institutional | |||
| VNUIX | 3.57 | 0.01 | +0.28% |
| Vontobel U.S. Equity Institutional | |||
| FSDIX | 20.05 | N/A | N/A |
| Fidelity Strategic Dividend & Income | |||
AMD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMD has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMD jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD | 100% | +0.81% | ||
| LRCX - AMD | 75% Closely correlated | +1.12% | ||
| KLAC - AMD | 71% Closely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| FORM - AMD | 71% Closely correlated | -1.34% | ||
| ENTG - AMD | 71% Closely correlated | -0.67% | ||
| AMAT - AMD | 70% Closely correlated | -0.78% | ||
More | ||||