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BAH or EXPO or ICFI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) vs. Exponent, Inc. (EXPO) vs. ICF International, Inc. (ICFI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BAH, EXPO, and ICFI are all professional services firms with exposure to government and commercial clients, yet they differ in sector focus and recent price volatility.
- In recent market activity, BAH has shown resilience in its national security portfolio amid broader federal funding pressures, while EXPO and ICFI experienced sharper daily swings following earnings updates.
- Valuation metrics indicate BAH trades at a lower forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple compared to the other two, reflecting its larger market capitalization and established defense contracts.
- EXPO benefits from diversified science and engineering consulting demand, contributing to steadier long-term growth patterns relative to peers.
- ICFI reaffirmed its full-year 2026 outlook after a first-quarter earnings per share (EPS) miss, highlighting ongoing commercial energy growth as a potential offset to federal headwinds.
- Relative performance in recent weeks shows all three stocks sensitive to macroeconomic sentiment, with BAH displaying the most consistent backlog expansion.
Introduction
Professional services companies with government and commercial exposure often attract investors seeking defensive growth in uncertain economic environments. BAH, EXPO, and ICFI represent distinct approaches within consulting and technology solutions, making them relevant for traders comparing relative performance, sector positioning, and market sentiment. This analysis appeals to institutional and individual investors monitoring federal spending trends, earnings consistency, and valuation differences in the current market environment.
BAH Overview and Recent Performance
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation delivers technology and consulting services focused on artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, and digital transformation, primarily serving U.S. government and commercial clients. In recent weeks, BAH stock has traded in a volatile range amid analyst price target adjustments and leadership transitions, including the appointment of a new chief financial officer. The company maintains a substantial backlog exceeding $40 billion, supported by national security contracts, which has helped stabilize sentiment despite broader federal funding slowdowns. Recent market activity reflects mixed reactions to earnings previews and partnership announcements in space and cyber domains.
EXPO Overview and Recent Performance
Exponent, Inc. provides science and engineering consulting services across areas such as biomechanics, environmental health, and product safety for clients in energy, manufacturing, and government sectors. In recent weeks, EXPO shares have exhibited notable daily gains, including a strong close following broader market recovery, though longer-term performance shows moderation from prior highs. The firm’s diversified service offerings and consistent demand in litigation support and regulatory consulting have contributed to relatively steady operational trends. Recent market activity highlights sensitivity to analyst revisions and sector-specific momentum in engineering services.
ICFI Overview and Recent Performance
ICF International, Inc. offers management, technology, and policy consulting with emphasis on energy, health, and infrastructure projects for federal, state, and commercial clients. In recent weeks, ICFI stock has fluctuated after reporting first-quarter results, including a modest EPS miss offset by reaffirmed full-year guidance. Commercial energy growth and contract wins in digital modernization have supported sentiment, while federal revenue pressures remain a noted factor. Recent market activity underscores the stock’s response to earnings details and dividend declarations amid stabilizing risk profiles.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BAH emphasizes large-scale defense and technology integration with extensive government backlog, contrasting EXPO’s narrower but specialized science and engineering niche that supports steadier commercial revenue streams. ICFI occupies an intermediate position with balanced federal and commercial exposure, though its recent earnings trajectory reflects greater sensitivity to quarterly federal funding shifts. Valuation sensitivity appears highest for EXPO given its smaller market capitalization, while BAH offers scale advantages in backlog visibility. Market sentiment across the trio remains tied to federal policy developments, with BAH showing more consistent long-term positioning in national security compared to the more variable momentum observed in EXPO and ICFI.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency in backlog metrics and relative stability amid sector volatility, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic weighting to BAH for its established defense-oriented revenue visibility. This assessment draws from comparative positioning rather than absolute forecasts, acknowledging that shifts in federal appropriations or broader market conditions could alter relative rankings.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Disclaimers and LimitationsLong-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BAH’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileEXPO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and ICFI’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- BAH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- EXPO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ICFI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BAH’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EXPO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and ICFI’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BAH’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- EXPO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- ICFI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
BAH (@Data Processing Services) experienced а -2.79% price change this week, while EXPO (@Engineering & Construction) price change was -4.28% , and ICFI (@Data Processing Services) price fluctuated +5.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Data Processing Services industry was -8.59%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +24.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15.35%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Engineering & Construction industry was +0.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.92%.
Reported Earning Dates
BAH is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2026.
EXPO is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
ICFI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Data Processing Services (-8.59% weekly)The industry involves capturing raw data from various sources, extracting meaningful information from it and presenting it in a more accessible digital format. Many people would agree that data is the new gold, which makes data processing services all the more relevant for businesses’ strategic decisions. PayPal Holdings Inc., Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. and Automatic Data Processing, Inc. some of the big players in his burgeoning industry.
@Engineering & Construction (+0.18% weekly)Engineering & Construction includes companies that engage in non-residential construction and contract services, including ventilation, heating and air conditioning (HVAC) services. The level/value of construction & engineering activity is one of the potentially relevant indicators of the health of businesses, and hence of the overall economy. Some of the large-cap U.S. companies in this industry include Jacobs Engineering Group Inc,, AECOM and Quanta Services, Inc.
| BAH | EXPO | ICFI | |
| Capitalization | 9.24B | 2.75B | 1.31B |
| EBITDA | 1.23B | 127M | 196M |
| Gain YTD | -7.095 | -17.686 | -14.663 |
| P/E Ratio | 11.19 | 26.47 | 15.66 |
| Revenue | 11.2B | 603M | 1.82B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 119M | 3.88M |
| Total Debt | 4.12B | 81M | 602M |
BAH | EXPO | ICFI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 84 | 63 | 27 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 8 Undervalued | 29 Undervalued | 17 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 97 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 15 | 35 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 77 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 80 | 47 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BAH's Valuation (8) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as ICFI (17) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry, and is in the same range as EXPO (29) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that BAH's stock grew similarly to ICFI’s and similarly to EXPO’s over the last 12 months.
BAH's Profit vs Risk Rating (97) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as ICFI (100) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry, and is in the same range as EXPO (100) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that BAH's stock grew similarly to ICFI’s and similarly to EXPO’s over the last 12 months.
BAH's SMR Rating (15) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as EXPO (35) in the Engineering And Construction industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for ICFI (77) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that BAH's stock grew similarly to EXPO’s and somewhat faster than ICFI’s over the last 12 months.
ICFI's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as BAH (59) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry, and is in the same range as EXPO (77) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that ICFI's stock grew similarly to BAH’s and similarly to EXPO’s over the last 12 months.
ICFI's P/E Growth Rating (47) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as BAH (71) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for EXPO (80) in the Engineering And Construction industry. This means that ICFI's stock grew similarly to BAH’s and somewhat faster than EXPO’s over the last 12 months.
| BAH | EXPO | ICFI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 54% | 7 days ago 56% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 2 days ago 59% | 9 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 59% | N/A |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| MFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
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| EKSRX | 6.52 | N/A | N/A |
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BAH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BAH has been loosely correlated with ICFI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BAH jumps, then ICFI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BAH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAH | 100% | -0.12% | ||
| ICFI - BAH | 51% Loosely correlated | +1.26% | ||
| EXPO - BAH | 50% Loosely correlated | +2.29% | ||
| MMS - BAH | 39% Loosely correlated | +1.04% | ||
| FCN - BAH | 36% Loosely correlated | -2.47% | ||
| CPRT - BAH | 33% Loosely correlated | -0.96% | ||
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EXPO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXPO has been loosely correlated with CTAS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EXPO jumps, then CTAS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EXPO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXPO | 100% | +2.29% | ||
| CTAS - EXPO | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.82% | ||
| ALLE - EXPO | 61% Loosely correlated | +3.37% | ||
| CBZ - EXPO | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.76% | ||
| DLB - EXPO | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.30% | ||
| TRI - EXPO | 55% Loosely correlated | -2.07% | ||
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ICFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ICFI has been loosely correlated with BAH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ICFI jumps, then BAH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ICFI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICFI | 100% | +1.26% | ||
| BAH - ICFI | 50% Loosely correlated | -0.12% | ||
| EXPO - ICFI | 44% Loosely correlated | +2.29% | ||
| MMS - ICFI | 44% Loosely correlated | +1.04% | ||
| FORR - ICFI | 42% Loosely correlated | +1.49% | ||
| CRAI - ICFI | 40% Loosely correlated | -1.19% | ||
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