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BUD or DEO or STZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) vs. Diageo (DEO) vs. Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BUD leads year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 17%, supported by U.S. manufacturing expansions and upcoming earnings momentum.
- DEO trails peers with YTD gains around 7%, pressured by a dividend cut and spirits sector slowdowns.
- STZ posts YTD returns near 12%, boosted by analyst upgrades and new high-ABV beer product launches.
- All three stocks operate in the alcoholic beverages sector, emphasizing premiumization strategies amid cost pressures.
- BUD provides broad global beer exposure, while DEO focuses on spirits and STZ on U.S. imported premium beers.
Introduction
Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD), Diageo (DEO), and Constellation Brands (STZ) are prominent players in the alcoholic beverages industry, spanning beer, spirits, and wine. This comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance trends, and sector dynamics. Investors and traders interested in consumer staples with defensive qualities, premium brand growth, or relative strength in a volatile environment will find value here. Amid shifting consumer preferences toward premium products and non-alcoholic options, these stocks offer insights into sector resilience and opportunities.
BUD Overview and Recent Performance
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD) is a global brewing leader with brands like Budweiser, Corona, and Stella Artois, operating across North America, Europe, and emerging markets. Its business emphasizes volume leadership and premiumization, complemented by non-beer ventures like soft drinks and digital platforms such as BEES. In recent market activity, BUD shares have traded around $75, within a 52-week range of $57 to $82, reflecting solid recovery. YTD gains near 17% outpace the sector, influenced by $600 million in U.S. manufacturing investments, veteran training programs, and partnerships like Budweiser's FIFA World Cup campaign. Sentiment remains positive ahead of Q1 earnings, with revenue growth at 4.82% quarterly year-over-year (YoY) and analysts raising price targets.
DEO Overview and Recent Performance
Diageo plc (DEO) specializes in premium spirits, with iconic brands including Johnnie Walker, Smirnoff, and Guinness, distributed worldwide. Its portfolio focuses on high-margin categories like Scotch, vodka, and ready-to-drink products. Recently, shares hover near $80, down significantly from a 52-week high of $117, amid broader declines since 2022. YTD performance around 7% lags peers, impacted by lowered guidance, a dividend cut, and softer spirits demand. Positive notes include potential U.S. tariff relief on Scotch whisky and strong free cash flow generation. Quarterly revenue dipped 4.05% YoY, contributing to cautious sentiment despite a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 18.41.
STZ Overview and Recent Performance
Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) focuses on imported premium beers like Modelo Especial and Corona, alongside wines and spirits, generating over 90% of revenue from U.S. Mexican beer imports. Recent weeks show shares around $153, within a 52-week range of $126 to $197. YTD returns approximate 12%, supported by Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings with net income up year-over-year and analyst upgrades, including TD Cowen to Buy with a $190 target. Key drivers include the nationwide launch of 8% ABV Modelo Chelada Suprema targeting younger consumers and beer volume stabilization. A PE ratio of 15.90 signals relative value.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BUD, DEO, and STZ share sector exposure to alcoholic beverages but differ in models: BUD’s global beer volume scale contrasts DEO’s spirits premium focus and STZ’s U.S.-centric imported beer dominance. Growth drivers include premiumization across all, yet BUD benefits from non-alcoholic expansion and manufacturing scale, while STZ leverages beer inflection points. Recent momentum favors BUD and STZ over DEO’s headwinds. Risks involve input costs and consumer shifts; DEO shows higher valuation sensitivity post-dividend cut. Market sentiment tilts toward beer stability versus spirits volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors BUD for its consistent YTD outperformance, revenue growth stability, and catalysts like U.S. investments and earnings visibility. Relative to peers, it exhibits stronger trend positioning and lower near-term risks in the beer segment, though all carry sector uncertainties.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BUD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileDEO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and STZ’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- BUD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- DEO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- STZ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BUD’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DEO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and STZ’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BUD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- DEO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- STZ’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
BUD (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) experienced а +0.78% price change this week, while DEO (@Beverages: Alcoholic) price change was +0.96% , and STZ (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price fluctuated -4.85% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was -1.89%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.72%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.14%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Alcoholic industry was -2.44%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.69%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.16%.
Reported Earning Dates
BUD is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
DEO is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
STZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 08, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (-1.89% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
@Beverages: Alcoholic (-2.44% weekly)The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.
| BUD | DEO | STZ | |
| Capitalization | 155B | 45.3B | 24.5B |
| EBITDA | 15.8B | 6.39B | 3.16B |
| Gain YTD | 26.475 | -5.032 | 4.679 |
| P/E Ratio | 22.11 | 18.74 | 14.83 |
| Revenue | 61B | 19.8B | 9.14B |
| Total Cash | 5.28B | 905M | 102M |
| Total Debt | 73B | 23.5B | 11.2B |
BUD | DEO | STZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 61 | 52 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 53 Fair valued | 20 Undervalued | 37 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 98 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 62 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 43 | 79 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DEO's Valuation (20) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as STZ (37) and is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (53). This means that DEO's stock grew similarly to STZ’s and somewhat faster than BUD’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's Profit vs Risk Rating (68) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as DEO (100) and is in the same range as STZ (100). This means that BUD's stock grew similarly to DEO’s and similarly to STZ’s over the last 12 months.
STZ's SMR Rating (43) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (76) and is somewhat better than the same rating for DEO (98). This means that STZ's stock grew somewhat faster than BUD’s and somewhat faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as DEO (62) and is in the same range as STZ (63). This means that BUD's stock grew similarly to DEO’s and similarly to STZ’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's P/E Growth Rating (35) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as DEO (43) and is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (79). This means that BUD's stock grew similarly to DEO’s and somewhat faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
| BUD | DEO | STZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 41% | N/A | 1 day ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | N/A | 1 day ago 48% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 54% | 8 days ago 41% | 8 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 60% | 3 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 32% | 1 day ago 38% |
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BUD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BUD has been loosely correlated with BUDFF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BUD jumps, then BUDFF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BUD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUD | 100% | -0.06% | ||
| BUDFF - BUD | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.46% | ||
| ABEV - BUD | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.61% | ||
| DEO - BUD | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.10% | ||
| HKHHY - BUD | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.11% | ||
| HEINY - BUD | 49% Loosely correlated | -0.37% | ||
More | ||||
DEO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DEO has been closely correlated with PRNDY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DEO jumps, then PRNDY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DEO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEO | 100% | -1.10% | ||
| PRNDY - DEO | 69% Closely correlated | -0.48% | ||
| BUD - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.06% | ||
| MGPI - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.77% | ||
| STZ - DEO | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.08% | ||
| REMYY - DEO | 44% Loosely correlated | -2.62% | ||
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